Alert archive / Michigan / Winter Storm Warnings in 2006
Winter Storm Warning 4, NWS Gaylord, MI
NWS Gaylord, MI issued this winter storm warning at Mar 13, 2006, 4:26 AM EST for 7 counties in Michigan. It took effect at Mar 13, 2006, 6:00 PM EST. It was in force for 35 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 13, 2006, 4:26 AM EST (09:26 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 13, 2006, 6:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Mar 15, 2006, 4:44 AM EST
- In force
- 35 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Gaylord, MI
Counties Antrim County, MI, Cheboygan County, MI, Crawford County, MI, Emmet County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI, Leelanau County, MI, Otsego County, MI
The radar
The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 30 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 00:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 204 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 3258 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 71 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -35 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 123 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS43 KAPX 130926 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 426 AM EST MON MAR 13 2006 ...WINTER RETURNS... .A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...IN IOWA THIS MORNING...WILL MOVE ACROSS LOWER MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON...AND THEN MOVE AWAY FROM THE REGION. A WINTRY MIX OF SNOW...SLEET...AND RAIN WILL OCCUR TODAY IN EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN. COLD AIR WILL SURGE INTO THE REGION TONIGHT AS THE LOW DEPARTS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT...AND WILL BE HEAVY IN SOME SNOWBELT REGIONS LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE IN THE SNOWBELTS INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. MIZ019>022-027-028-132300- /O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0006.060313T2300Z-060314T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0004.060313T2300Z-060315T1100Z/ CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA... GAYLORD...KALKASKA...GRAYLING 426 AM EST MON MAR 13 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING. TOTAL SNOWFALL OF 5 TO 9 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE BY NOON TUESDAY...WITH SEVERAL ADDITIONAL INCHES OF ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. IN ADDITION...STRONG WESTERLY WINDS GUSTING TO AS HIGH AS 40 MPH WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW THAT WILL FURTHER REDUCE VISIBILITIES. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ026-132300- /O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0006.060313T2300Z-060314T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0004.060313T2300Z-060314T2300Z/ GRAND TRAVERSE- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...TRAVERSE CITY 426 AM EST MON MAR 13 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. TOTAL SNOWFALL OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE BY NOON TUESDAY. IN ADDITION...STRONG WESTERLY WINDS GUSTING TO AS HIGH AS 40 MPH THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW THAT WILL FURTHER REDUCE VISIBILITIES. ROADS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BECOME SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. SLOW DOWN AND GIVE YOURSELF PLENTY OF TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. $$ MIZ016>018-023>025-029-031>034-132300- /O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0004.060313T2300Z-060314T2300Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-OSCODA- MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY... ATLANTA...ALPENA...FRANKFORT...MIO...MANISTEE...CADILLAC... LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE 426 AM EST MON MAR 13 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. TOTAL SNOWFALL OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE BY NOON TUESDAY. IN ADDITION...STRONG WESTERLY WINDS GUSTING TO AS HIGH AS 40 MPH THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW THAT WILL FURTHER REDUCE VISIBILITIES. ROADS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. SLOW DOWN AND GIVE YOURSELF PLENTY OF TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. $$ MIZ008-015-132300- /O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-060314T2300Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE 426 AM EST MON MAR 13 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY. A MIX OF RAIN...SNOW AND SLEET WILL CONTINUE TODAY ACROSS EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN. SNOW WILL INCREASE AS YOU HEAD WEST FROM I-75...WITH A TENDENCY FOR MORE RAIN TO THE EAST. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS COULD BE AS HIGH AS 5 INCHES TODAY IN FAR WESTERN CHIPPEWA AND MACKINAC COUNTIES...DECREASING TO AN INCH OR LESS EAST OF I-75. LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND STRONG WINDS WILL KICK IN TONIGHT...AND CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY. TWO TO FIVE INCHES OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED WEST OF I-75 TONIGHT...WITH AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 5 INCHES ON TUESDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 40 MPH WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW THAT WILL FURTHER REDUCE VISIBILITIES. ROADS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. SLOW DOWN AND GIVE YOURSELF PLENTY OF TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. $$ JZ
10 follow-up statements
000 WWUS43 KAPX 131559 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1059 AM EST MON MAR 13 2006 ...WINTER RETURNS... .A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTHWARD OUT OF WISCONSIN AND INTO EASTERN UPPER MICHGIAN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A WINTRY MIX OF SNOW...SLEET...AND RAIN WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON IN EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...MAINLY ALONG AND WEST OF M-123. THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO ALL SNOW BY LATE AFTERNOON. COLD AIR WILL SURGE INTO THE REGION TONIGHT AS THE LOW DEPARTS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT...AND WILL BE HEAVY IN SOME SNOWBELT REGIONS LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE IN THE SNOWBELTS INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. MIZ019>022-027-028-140600- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0004.060313T2300Z-060315T1100Z/ CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA... GAYLORD...KALKASKA...GRAYLING 1059 AM EST MON MAR 13 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING. TOTAL SNOWFALL OF 5 TO 9 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE BY NOON TUESDAY...WITH SEVERAL ADDITIONAL INCHES OF ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. IN ADDITION...STRONG WESTERLY WINDS GUSTING TO AROUND 45 MPH WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW THAT WILL FURTHER REDUCE VISIBILITIES. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ008-015-140600- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-060314T2300Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE 1059 AM EST MON MAR 13 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY. A MIX OF RAIN...SNOW AND SLEET WILL CONTINUE TODAY ACROSS EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...ALONG AND WEST OF M-123. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS COULD BE AS HIGH AS 4 INCHES THIS AFTERNOON IN FAR WESTERN CHIPPEWA AND MACKINAC COUNTIES. LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND STRONG WINDS WILL KICK IN TONIGHT...AND CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY. TWO TO FIVE INCHES OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED WEST OF I-75 TONIGHT...WITH AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 5 INCHES ON TUESDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO AROUND 45 MPH WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW THAT WILL FURTHER REDUCE VISIBILITIES. ROADS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. SLOW DOWN AND GIVE YOURSELF PLENTY OF TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. $$ MIZ016>018-023>026-029-031>034-140600- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0004.060313T2300Z-060314T2300Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE- GRAND TRAVERSE-OSCODA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY... ATLANTA...ALPENA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...MIO...MANISTEE... CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE 1059 AM EST MON MAR 13 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. TOTAL SNOWFALL OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE BY NOON TUESDAY. IN ADDITION...STRONG WESTERLY WINDS GUSTING TO AROUND 45 MPH THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW THAT WILL FURTHER REDUCE VISIBILITIES. ROADS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. SLOW DOWN AND GIVE YOURSELF PLENTY OF TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. $$ KAS
000 WWUS43 KAPX 132108 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 408 PM EST MON MAR 13 2006 ...HAZARDOURS WINTER WEATHER EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... .AS STRONG LOW PRESSURE LIFTS NORTHEAST INTO ONTARIO THIS EVENING...SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD NORTHERN MICHIGAN FROM WEST TO EAST BY LATE EVENING. MUCH COLDER AIR FLOWING OVER LAKES SUPERIOR AND MICHIGAN WILL CONTRIBUTE TO PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW ACROSS SNOWBELT REGIONS LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. THEN...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SNOWBELTS INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. MEANWHILE...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. MIZ019>022-027-028-141115- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0004.060313T2300Z-060315T1100Z/ CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA... GAYLORD...KALKASKA...GRAYLING 408 PM EST MON MAR 13 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 4 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE ACROSS NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN TONIGHT...WITH LOCALLY GREATER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THEN... ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY...AND YET AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW MAY ACCUMULATE TUESDAY NIGHT. ALSO... WINDS GUSTING TO AROUND 45 MPH WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND AREAS OF POOR VISIBILITY OVERNIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ008-015-141115- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-060314T2300Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE 408 PM EST MON MAR 13 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY. MIXED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL CHANGE TO ALL SNOW BEFORE MIDNIGHT...AS COLDER AIR SWEEPS INTO THE REGION. 2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED WEST OF I-75 TONIGHT...WITH LOCALLY GREATER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE ALONG AND WEST OF M-123. THEN...EXPECT AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW ACROSS EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN TUESDAY. ALSO...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO GUST TO AROUND 40 MPH OVERNIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...PRODUCING SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND AREAS OF POOR VISIBILITY. ROADS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. SLOW DOWN AND GIVE YOURSELF PLENTY OF TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. $$ MIZ016>018-023>026-029-031>034-141115- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0004.060313T2300Z-060314T2300Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE- GRAND TRAVERSE-OSCODA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY... ATLANTA...ALPENA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...MIO...MANISTEE... CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE 408 PM EST MON MAR 13 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP BY MIDNIGHT AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY. SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE 2 TO 4 INCHES TONIGHT... WITH LOCALLY GREATER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE...AND 1 TO 3 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TUESDAY. ALSO... WINDS GUSTING TO 45 TO 50 MPH WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND AREAS OF POOR VISIBILITY OVERNIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. ROADS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. SLOW DOWN AND GIVE YOURSELF PLENTY OF TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. $$ SR
000 WWUS43 KAPX 140358 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1058 PM EST MON MAR 13 2006 ...HAZARDOURS WINTER WEATHER EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... .STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTHEAST INTO ONTARIO OVERNIGHT. SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD NORTHERN MICHIGAN AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. MUCH COLDER AIR FLOWING OVER LAKES SUPERIOR AND MICHIGAN WILL CONTRIBUTE TO THE PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW EXPECTED ACROSS SNOWBELT REGIONS LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. THEN...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SNOWBELTS INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. MEANWHILE...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. MIZ019>022-027-028-141800- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-060315T1100Z/ CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA... GAYLORD...KALKASKA...GRAYLING 1058 PM EST MON MAR 13 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AND RESULT IN 3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW BY DAYBREAK...WITH LOCALLY GREATER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THEN...ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED TUESDAY...AND YET AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW MAY ACCUMULATE TUESDAY NIGHT. ALSO... WINDS GUSTING TO AROUND 45 MPH WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND PERIODS OF POOR VISIBILITY THROUGH TUESDAY. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ008-015-141800- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-060314T2300Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE 1058 PM EST MON MAR 13 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY. 2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED WEST OF I-75 TONIGHT...WITH LOCALLY GREATER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE ALONG AND WEST OF M-123. THEN...EXPECT AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW TUESDAY. IN ADDITION...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AND INCREASE TO 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY...AND WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND PERIODS OF POOR VISIBILITY. ROADS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. SLOW DOWN AND GIVE YOURSELF PLENTY OF TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. $$ MIZ016>018-023>026-029-031>034-141800- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-060314T2300Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE- GRAND TRAVERSE-OSCODA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY... ATLANTA...ALPENA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...MIO...MANISTEE... CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE 1058 PM EST MON MAR 13 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT...AND THEN CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY. SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE 2 TO 4 INCHES TONIGHT...WITH LOCALLY GREATER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE...AND 1 TO 3 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TUESDAY. ALSO... WINDS GUSTING TO 45 TO 50 MPH WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND PERIODS OF POOR VISIBILITY THROUGH TUESDAY. ROADS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. SLOW DOWN AND GIVE YOURSELF PLENTY OF TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. $$ SD
000 WWUS43 KAPX 140404 CCA WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1101 PM EST MON MAR 13 2006 ...HAZARDOURS WINTER WEATHER EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... .STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTHEAST INTO ONTARIO OVERNIGHT. SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD NORTHERN MICHIGAN AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. MUCH COLDER AIR FLOWING OVER LAKES SUPERIOR AND MICHIGAN WILL CONTRIBUTE TO THE PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW EXPECTED ACROSS SNOWBELT REGIONS LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. THEN...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SNOWBELTS INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. MEANWHILE...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. MIZ019>022-027-028-141830- /O.COR.KAPX.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-060315T1100Z/ CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA... GAYLORD...KALKASKA...GRAYLING 1101 PM EST MON MAR 13 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AND RESULT IN 3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW BY DAYBREAK...WITH LOCALLY GREATER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THEN...ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED TUESDAY...AND YET AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW MAY ACCUMULATE TUESDAY NIGHT. ALSO...WINDS GUSTING 45 TO 50 MPH WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. PERIODS OF POOR VISIBILITY IS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...WHEN NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ008-015-141830- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-060314T2300Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE 1101 PM EST MON MAR 13 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY. 2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED WEST OF I-75 TONIGHT...WITH LOCALLY GREATER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE ALONG AND WEST OF M-123. THEN...EXPECT AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW TUESDAY. IN ADDITION...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AND INCREASE TO 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY...AND WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND PERIODS OF POOR VISIBILITY. ROADS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. SLOW DOWN AND GIVE YOURSELF PLENTY OF TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. $$ MIZ016>018-023>026-029-031>034-141830- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-060314T2300Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE- GRAND TRAVERSE-OSCODA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY... ATLANTA...ALPENA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...MIO...MANISTEE... CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE 1101 PM EST MON MAR 13 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT...AND THEN CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY. SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE 2 TO 4 INCHES TONIGHT...WITH LOCALLY GREATER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE...AND 1 TO 3 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TUESDAY. ALSO... WINDS GUSTING TO 45 TO 50 MPH WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND PERIODS OF POOR VISIBILITY THROUGH TUESDAY. ROADS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. SLOW DOWN AND GIVE YOURSELF PLENTY OF TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. $$ SD
000 WWUS43 KAPX 140736 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 236 AM EST TUE MAR 14 2006 ...HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER EXPECTED INTO TUESDAY... .STRONG LOW PRESSURE NORTH OF SAULT STE MARIE WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTHEAST INTO ONTARIO OVERNIGHT. MUCH COLDER AIR FLOWING OVER LAKES SUPERIOR AND MICHIGAN WILL CONTRIBUTE TO THE PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW EXPECTED ACROSS SNOWBELT REGIONS LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SNOWBELTS INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. MEANWHILE...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. MIZ016-017-142300- /O.UPG.KAPX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-060314T2300Z/ /O.EXB.KAPX.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-060314T2300Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN 236 AM EST TUE MAR 14 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SUBSTANTIAL BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY...AS LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS AND STRONG WINDS PERSIST. ANOTHER 2 TO 5 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAY TODAY...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS IN THE SOUTH HALF OF EMMET AND CHEBOYGAN COUNTIES. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GUST TO 45 MPH...PRODUCING NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS IN FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ019>022-027-028-142300- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-060315T1100Z/ CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA... GAYLORD...KALKASKA...GRAYLING 236 AM EST TUE MAR 14 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. SUBSTANTIAL BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY...AS LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS AND STRONG WINDS PERSIST. ANOTHER 2 TO 5 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAY TODAY...AND ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES TONIGHT. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GUST UP TO 45 MPH TODAY...PRODUCING NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS IN FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. WINDS WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ008-015-142300- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-060314T2300Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE 236 AM EST TUE MAR 14 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. SUBSTANTIAL BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL DEVELOP. 1 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS TODAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS NEAR WHITEFISH BAY. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH...WILL PRODUCE NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES IN FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. ROADS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. SLOW DOWN AND GIVE YOURSELF PLENTY OF TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. $$ MIZ018-023>026-029-031>034-142300- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-060314T2300Z/ PRESQUE ISLE-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-OSCODA- MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...ATLANTA...ALPENA... FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...MIO...MANISTEE...CADILLAC... LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE 236 AM EST TUE MAR 14 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY. OCCASIONAL LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL PRODUCE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS. NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 40 MPH WILL PRODUCE SPOTTY NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS IN FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. ROADS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. SLOW DOWN AND GIVE YOURSELF PLENTY OF TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. $$ JZ
000 WWUS43 KAPX 140907 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 407 AM EST TUE MAR 14 2006 ...HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER EXPECTED INTO TUESDAY... .STRONG LOW PRESSURE NORTH OF SAULT STE MARIE WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTHEAST INTO ONTARIO OVERNIGHT. MUCH COLDER AIR FLOWING OVER LAKES SUPERIOR AND MICHIGAN WILL CONTRIBUTE TO THE PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW EXPECTED ACROSS SNOWBELT REGIONS LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SNOWBELTS INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. MEANWHILE...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. MIZ019>022-027-028-142300- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-060315T1100Z/ CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA... GAYLORD...KALKASKA...GRAYLING 407 AM EST TUE MAR 14 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. SUBSTANTIAL BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY...AS LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS AND STRONG WINDS PERSIST. ANOTHER 2 TO 5 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAY TODAY...AND 1 TO 3 INCHES TONIGHT. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GUST UP TO 45 MPH TODAY...PRODUCING NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS IN FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. WINDS WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ016-017-142300- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-060314T2300Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN 407 AM EST TUE MAR 14 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. SUBSTANTIAL BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY...AS LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS AND STRONG WINDS PERSIST. ANOTHER 2 TO 5 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAY TODAY...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS IN THE SOUTH HALF OF EMMET AND CHEBOYGAN COUNTIES. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GUST TO 45 MPH...PRODUCING NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS IN FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ008-015-142300- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-060314T2300Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE 407 AM EST TUE MAR 14 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. SUBSTANTIAL BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL DEVELOP. 1 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS TODAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS NEAR WHITEFISH BAY. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH...WILL PRODUCE NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES IN FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. ROADS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. SLOW DOWN AND GIVE YOURSELF PLENTY OF TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. $$ MIZ018-023>026-029-031>034-142300- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-060314T2300Z/ PRESQUE ISLE-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-OSCODA- MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...ATLANTA...ALPENA... FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...MIO...MANISTEE...CADILLAC... LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE 407 AM EST TUE MAR 14 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY. OCCASIONAL LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL PRODUCE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS. NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 40 MPH WILL PRODUCE SPOTTY NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS IN FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. ROADS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. SLOW DOWN AND GIVE YOURSELF PLENTY OF TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. $$ JZ/BA
000 WWUS43 KAPX 141605 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1105 AM EST TUE MAR 14 2006 ...HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON... .STRONG LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD HUDSON BAY AND WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING. WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS BLOWING ACROSS LAKES SUPERIOR AND MICHIGAN WILL ADD LAKE ENHANCED SNOW SHOWERS TO THE MIX AND RESULT IN HEAVY SNOW EXPECTED ACROSS SNOWBELT REGIONS OF EASTERN UPPER AND NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. ADDITIONALLY...THE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN THROUGH THIS EVENING. MIZ019>022-027-028-142300- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-060315T1100Z/ CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA... GAYLORD...KALKASKA...GRAYLING 1105 AM EST TUE MAR 14 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. SUBSTANTIAL BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY...AS LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS AND STRONG WINDS PERSIST. ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES TONIGHT. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GUST AS HIGH AS 40 MPH TODAY...PRODUCING NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS IN FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. WINDS TONIGHT WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ016-017-142300- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-060314T2300Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN 1105 AM EST TUE MAR 14 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. SUBSTANTIAL BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY...AS LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS AND STRONG WINDS PERSIST. ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THE GREATEST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF EMMET AND CHEBOYGAN COUNTIES. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GUST TO 40 MPH...PRODUCING NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS IN FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ008-015-142300- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-060314T2300Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE 1105 AM EST TUE MAR 14 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. SUBSTANTIAL BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING. 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH...WILL PRODUCE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING WITH NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. ROADS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. SLOW DOWN AND GIVE YOURSELF PLENTY OF TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. $$ MIZ018-023>026-029-031>034-142300- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-060314T2300Z/ PRESQUE ISLE-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-OSCODA- MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...ATLANTA...ALPENA... FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...MIO...MANISTEE...CADILLAC... LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE 1105 AM EST TUE MAR 14 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. OCCASIONAL LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL PRODUCE UP TO 2 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION THIS AFTERNOON. NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 35 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH THE FALLING SNOW TO PRODUCE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...WITH GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. ROADS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. SLOW DOWN AND GIVE YOURSELF PLENTY OF TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. $$ MP
000 WWUS43 KAPX 142102 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 402 PM EST TUE MAR 14 2006 ...HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... .STRONG LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO MOVE OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION BUT WILL CONTINUE PRODUCING STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW ACROSS EASTERN UPPER AND THE TIP OF THE MITT. WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS BLOWING ACROSS LAKES SUPERIOR AND MICHIGAN WILL ADD LAKE ENHANCED SNOW SHOWERS TO THE MIX AND RESULT IN SNOW ACROSS THE SNOWBELT REGIONS OF EASTERN UPPER AND NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. MIZ016-017-151100- /O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-060314T2300Z/ /O.EXB.KAPX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-060315T1100Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN 402 PM EST TUE MAR 14 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. THIS REPLACES THE WINTER STORM WARNING WHICH WAS IN EFFECT. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH...WILL PRODUCE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING WITH NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. IN ADDITION TO THE BLOWING AND DRIFTING ISSUES AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. ROADS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. SLOW DOWN AND GIVE YOURSELF PLENTY OF TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. $$ MIZ023>026-029-031>034-142215- /O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-060314T2300Z/ MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-OSCODA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD- MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATLANTA...ALPENA...FRANKFORT... TRAVERSE CITY...MIO...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY... HOUGHTON LAKE 402 PM EST TUE MAR 14 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. $$ MIZ019>022-027-028-151100- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-060315T1100Z/ CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA... GAYLORD...KALKASKA...GRAYLING 402 PM EST TUE MAR 14 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... SUBSTANTIAL BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT...AS LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS AND STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS PERSIST. ALONG WITH THE BLOW AND DRIFTING...AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS IN FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ008-015-151100- /O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-060315T1100Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE 402 PM EST TUE MAR 14 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... SUBSTANTIAL BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 1 TO 3 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THE WINDS COMBINED WITH ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL WILL PRODUCE NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. ROADS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. SLOW DOWN AND GIVE YOURSELF PLENTY OF TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. $$ MIZ018-151100- /O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-060315T1100Z/ PRESQUE ISLE- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ROGERS CITY 402 PM EST TUE MAR 14 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH...WILL PRODUCE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING WITH NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. IN ADDITION TO THE BLOWING AND DRIFTING ISSUES AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. ROADS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. SLOW DOWN AND GIVE YOURSELF PLENTY OF TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. $$ MP
000 WWUS43 KAPX 150332 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1032 PM EST TUE MAR 14 2006 ...HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... .STRONG LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO MOVE OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION BUT WILL CONTINUE PRODUCING STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW ACROSS EASTERN UPPER AND THE TIP OF THE MITT. WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS BLOWING ACROSS LAKES SUPERIOR AND MICHIGAN WILL ADD LAKE ENHANCED SNOW SHOWERS TO THE MIX AND RESULT IN SNOW ACROSS THE SNOWBELT REGIONS OF EASTERN UPPER AND NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. MIZ019>022-027-028-151100- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-060315T1100Z/ CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA... GAYLORD...KALKASKA...GRAYLING 1032 PM EST TUE MAR 14 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. NUMEROUS AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT...AS LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 30 MPH PERSIST. ALONG WITH THE BLOWING AND DRIFTING...AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. VISIBILITIES WILL BRIEFLY REDUCE TO BELOW A HALF MILE AT TIMES THROUGH THE NIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN OR UNPROTECTED AREAS. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ008-015>017-151100- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-060315T1100Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE... PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN 1032 PM EST TUE MAR 14 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. NUMEROUS AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT...AS LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 35 MPH PERSIST. ALONG WITH THE BLOWING AND DRIFTING...AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. VISIBILITIES WILL BRIEFLY REDUCE TO BELOW A MILE AT TIMES THROUGH THE NIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN OR UNPROTECTED AREAS. ROADS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. SLOW DOWN AND GIVE YOURSELF PLENTY OF TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. $$ MIZ018-151100- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-060315T1100Z/ PRESQUE ISLE- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ROGERS CITY 1032 PM EST TUE MAR 14 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. NUMEROUS AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT...WITH UP TO AN ADDITIONAL INCH OF ACCUMULATION. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 35 MPH WILL PERSIST AND RESULT IN REDUCTIONS TO VISIBILITIES AT TIMES OVERNIGHT. VISIBILITIES WILL BRIEFLY REDUCE TO BELOW A MILE AT TIMES THROUGH THE NIGHT... ESPECIALLY IN OPEN OR UNPROTECTED AREAS. ROADS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS. SLOW DOWN AND GIVE YOURSELF PLENTY OF TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. $$ SD
000 WWUS43 KAPX 150944 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 444 AM EST WED MAR 15 2006 MIZ019>022-027-028-151045- /O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-060315T1100Z/ CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...LELAND...BELLAIRE... GAYLORD...KALKASKA...GRAYLING 444 AM EST WED MAR 15 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WARNING. LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS THIS MORNING WILL TAPER TO FLURRIES WITH LITTLE ACCUMULATION. WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY FROM THE NORTHWEST TODAY...SO SOME POCKETS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. $$ MIZ008-015>017-151045- /O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-060315T1100Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE MARIE...ST IGNACE... PELLSTON...CHEBOYGAN 444 AM EST WED MAR 15 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. $$ MIZ018-151045- /O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-060315T1100Z/ PRESQUE ISLE- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ROGERS CITY 444 AM EST WED MAR 15 2006 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. $$ JPB
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Mar 12, 10:52 PM EST, 5 hours 34 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 12, 10:52 PM EST, 5 hours 34 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1052 PM EST SUN MAR 12 2006
.UPDATE...STRONG SURFACE LOW HAS REACHED THE KANSAS MISSOURI BORDER
LATE THIS EVENING. WELL-DEFINED LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE CONVECTION
CONTINUES TO FIRE AHEAD OF THE SURFACE LOW CENTER...WITH ADDITIONAL
CONVECTION DEVELOPING NORTH AND EAST OF THE MAIN LINE. SB CAPES HAVE
REACHED NEAR 2000 J/KG OVER MISSOURI AND THE SRN TWO-THIRDS OF
ILLINOIS...HELPING TO FUEL THIS CONVECTION WITH A PRONOUNCED 850 MB
THETA E RIDGE AXIS. CONVECTION NORTH OF THIS REGION (I.E. OVER NRN
ILLINOIS AND SRN LAKE MICHIGAN IS MAINLY ELEVATED IN NATURE...WITH
SHOWALTER INDICES APPROACHING ZERO ATTM. CLOSER TO HOME...ATMOSPHERE
OVERHEAD REMAINS QUITE STABLE AND DRY PER LATEST LAPS ANALYSIS AND
OBSERVED SURFACE DWPTS REMAINED IN THE TEENS FOR MANY LOCATIONS
DURING EARLY EVENING. HOWEVER...SURFACE TEMPS HAVE COOLED SLOWER
THAN ANTICIPATED...AND DWPTS ARE RISING INTO THE 20S. KAPX RADAR
TREND OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS INDICATES THAT THE PROCESS OF LOW
LEVEL MOISTENING IN UNDERWAY...AND THUSFAR...EVAPORATIVE COOLING
EFFECTS AT THE SURFACE HAVE BEEN MINIMAL.
LATEST MESOETA IS STILL TOO COLD AT THE SURFACE IN COMPARISON TO
REALITY (UP TO 5 DEGREES TOO COLD IN SOME LOCATIONS). WILL NEED TO
ADJUST OVERNIGHT TEMPS TO BETTER REFLECT THIS MORE GRADUAL COOLING
TREND. STILL THINK SOME INTERIOR LOCATIONS OF NRN LOWER MICHIGAN AND
NEAR THE STRAITS WILL SEE TEMPS DIP NEAR THE FREEZING MARK
OVERNIGHT. THUS...WILL MAINTAIN A CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN FOR THESE
LOCATIONS...BUT WILL FORGO THE ISSUANCE OF A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY
AS THIS PRECIP TYPE SHOULD BE MORE THE EXCEPTION THAN THE RULE. WITH
RESPECT TO THE PROSPECT OF HEAVY RAIN...CONCERNED THE STRONGER
CONVECTION TO THE SOUTH MAY ROB US OF MOISTURE AND ENERGY. WILL
ADJUST FORECAST TO MORE OF A LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN OVERNIGHT.
SHOWALTER INDICES NEAR ZERO DO INTO NRN LOWER MICHIGAN OVERNIGHT...
SO WILL KEEP A MENTION OF ISOLATED THUNDER IN THE FORECAST. STILL
EXPECT A HEAVIER BURST OF SNOW ACROSS ERN UPR MICHIGAN WHERE THE
WARM NOSE WILL NOT REACH...PROVIDING A QUICK 2 TO 3 INCHES OR SO
THROUGH DAYBREAK. WILL KEEP THE WINTER WX ADVISORY IN FACT.
.PREV DISCUSSION...ISSUED 418 PM EST SUN MAR 12 2006
DISCUSSION...RUC/SAT SHOWING HIGH CLOUDS NOW BEGINNING TO SPREAD
ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN. TEMPERATURES HAVE AGAIN REACHED INTO THE
40S TO AROUND 50 ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN...WHILE DEWPOINTS HAVE
PLUMMETED INTO THE TEENS IN MOST LOCATIONS. THIS SURFACE DRY AIR
WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON PRECIPITATION TYPE LATER TONIGHT.
MEANWHILE...996MB SURFACE LOW RESIDES OVER WESTERN KANSAS...WITH
CONVECTION BREAKING OUT ALONG THE WARM FRONT ACROSS SOUTHERN
IOWA...AND ALONG THE COLD FRONT IN EASTERN KANSAS. THE SURFACE LOW
AND ASSOCIATED MOISTURE IS LIFTING NORTHWARD TOWARDS NORTHERN
MICHIGAN.
HYDRO ISSUES...RIVER LEVELS CONTINUE TO FALL AT MOST LOCATIONS
ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SHERMAN AND RED
OAK...WHICH ARE BOTH RISING EXTREMELY SLOWLY. SHERMAN IS NOW
FORECASTED TO REACH 14 FEET ON TUESDAY...BUT WITH A RETURN TO COLDER
WEATHER...SHOULD PREVENT THE RIVER FROM GETTING OUT OF HAND. STILL
NEED TO WATCH OUT FOR POTENTIAL ICE JAMS. RED OAK IS EXPECTED TO
RISE TO 5.5 FEET BY WEDNESDAY...AND SAME APPLIES FOR THIS RIVER.
FORECAST CONCERNS TONIGHT AND MONDAY...REVOLVE AROUND PRECIP TYPE
AND AMOUNTS. DRY SLOT PUNCHING THROUGH NORTHERN MICHIGAN...WILL HAVE
AN IMPACT ON PRECIPITATION CHANCES ON MONDAY...WITH TRIPLE POINT
MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE CWA.
AS MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY...BOTH THE NAM AND GFS AGREE ON CONTINUING
TO SHOW A MORE NORTHERLY STORM TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW FOR TONIGHT
AND MONDAY...COMING ACROSS CENTRAL WISCONSIN...AND NORTHERN LAKE
MICHIGAN...REACHING EASTERN UPPER BY MONDAY EVENING. WILL ADJUST THE
FORECAST ACCORDINGLY TO REFLECT THIS STORM TRACK.
TONIGHT...SURFACE LOW MOVES JUST NORTH OF THE KC AREA AND INTO IOWA.
DEEP MOISTURE WILL SURGE NORTHWARD AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE ACROSS
NORTHERN MICHIGAN...WITH PRECIP MOVING IN AROUND MIDNIGHT. ABUNDANT
QG FORCING IS PRESENT WITH LLJ REACHING INTO LOWER MICHIGAN. STRONG
ISENTROPIC ASCENT WILL BE PRESENT WITH THIS FEATURE. PRECIP TYPE IS
A CONCERN AS PLENTY OF DRY AIR IS IN PLACE ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN
AT THE MOMENT (DEWPOINTS IN TEENS). THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO
FALL FAIRLY QUICKLY AROUND SUNSET...ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN
AND EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...WHERE THE DRIEST AIR IS SEEN.
IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...THE LAKE HURON SHORELINE ALSO CURRENTLY
HAS SOME DRY AIR PRESENT...BUT WINDS WILL BE VEERING TO THE
EAST...BRINGING IN SOME HIGHER SURFACE MOISTURE FROM LAKE HURON.
HOWEVER...WINDS AND CLOUDS WILL BE INCREASING OVERNIGHT ACROSS ALL
OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...WHICH WILL KEEP TEMPS STEADY OR ALLOW
THEM TO SLOWLY RISE DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE NIGHT.
TEMPERATURES MAY FALL BELOW THE FREEZING MARK IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN
AND NEAR THE TIP OF THE MITT...WHICH WILL ALLOW A BRIEF WINDOW FOR
SOME FREEZING RAIN...MAINLY NEAR THE ONSET OF THE PRECIPITATION
AROUND MIDNIGHT. EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO RISE SLOWLY FOR THE SECOND
HALF OF THE NIGHT...REMOVING THE THREAT OF FREEZING RAIN IN NORTHERN
LOWER BY AFTER 9Z...ALTHOUGH THIS WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED. IF TEMPS
REMAIN COLDER...A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY OR ICE STORM WARNING MAY BE
NEEDED IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND TIP OF THE MITT.
IN EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...INITIALLY CONDITIONS WILL BE COLD ENOUGH
FOR ALL SNOW ACROSS ALL OF EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN. HOWEVER...WITH
WARM AIR SURGING NORTH ALOFT...WILL SEE TEMPS REACHING +1C IN THE
WARM LAYER...ALLOWING SOME MELTING. THE SURFACE COLD LAYER IS RATHER
DEEP...SO SOME SLEET MAY MIX IN TOWARDS MORNING. WITH THE NEWEST 18Z
NAM RUN...THE WARM LAYER LOOKS A LITTLE LESS IMPRESSIVE...AND MAY BE
MORE SNOW THAN SLEET. HOWEVER...WITH THE SLEET MIXING IN...THIS WILL
CUT DOWN ON SNOW AMOUNTS. MIXING RATIOS ARE QUITE HIGH AROUND 4G/KG
ON THE 295K ISENTROPIC SURFACE. BUT WITH SLEET MIXING IN...SNOW
AMOUNTS WILL BE SLIGHTLY LESS THAN THE 8 INCHES IN 12 HOURS
POTENTIAL. WILL GO WITH A 2-5 INCH RANGE WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS
FURTHER NORTH NEAR WHITEFISH POINT. WILL KEEP THE WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY GOING WITH NO CHANGES AS SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL MAKE
A MESSY SITUATION FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE NIGHT. THE PRECIP WILL
BECOME ALL RAIN MONDAY MORNING ENDING THE WINTER THREATS.
MONDAY...DRY SLOT PUSHES THROUGH NORTHERN MICHIGAN...ENDING THE
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION. PRECIP MAY HOLD ON A BIT LONG ALONG AND
EAST OF I-75...BUT SHOULD END BY MID MORNING. WITH WARM AIR SURGING
NORTHWARD...WILL TRANSITION TO JUST RAIN ACROSS EASTERN UPPER DURING
THE MORNING HOURS. WITH SURFACE COLD FRONT HOVERING ACROSS NORTHERN
LOWER MICHIGAN WITH WARM FRONT ALONG THE M-72 CORRIDOR...THERE IS
SOME POTENTIAL FOR SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO
DEVELOP DURING THE MORNING HOURS NEAR THE TRIPLE POINT. 900-700MB
LAPSE RATES APPROACH 7C/KM DURING THE MORNING HOURS...BUT THE BEST
CAPE WILL BE JUST SOUTH OF THE AREA WHERE THE BETTER DEWPOINTS WILL
RESIDE. PUT IN A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AS THE COLD FRONT PASSES
THROUGH DURING THE MORNING. THE AFTERNOON WILL DRY OUT...EXCEPT
ACROSS EASTERN UPPER...WHERE LOCATIONS WEST OF I-75 MAY HANG ONTO
THE PRECIPITATION AS THE DRY SLOT PASSES BY TO THE EAST.
HOWEVER...BY AFTERNOON... PRECIPITATION WILL BE MAINLY RAIN...AS
WARM AIR CONTINUES TO SURGE NORTH.
KAS
LATER PERIODS...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...OVERVIEW. UPPER
TROUGH AND ONSET OF A RETURN TO WINTER BEGINS MONDAY NIGHT AS STRONG
SFC LOW WILL BE LIFTING NE AWAY FROM NRN MICHIGAN. COLDER AIR WILL
BE DRAWN IN OVER THE REGION WITH POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TO CONTEND WITH. THE LAKE EFFECT
WANES TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WHILE SFC HIGH PRESSURE AND WEAK
RIDGING ALOFT SETTLES IN. NEXT SYSTEM TRACKS ACROSS THE SRN GREAT
LAKES THURSDAY WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOWS EMERGING ONCE AGAIN THROUGH
FRIDAY. THE WEEKEND...LOOKS RATHER NICE WITH GOOD SUNSHINE. SATURDAY
MAY BE CHILLY BUT WARMING SEEN BY SUNDAY.
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...WORST WEATHER TO BE DURING THIS PERIOD.
STRONG SFC LOW WILL BE EXITING TO OUR NE...WITH COLD AIR RETURNING
TO NRN MICHIGAN. SFC COLD FRONT WILL HAVE ALREADY MOVED THROUGH THE
SOUTHWESTERN CWA IN NRN LOWER...AND WILL CLEAR THE EASTERN SIDE
EARLY IN THE EVENING. ACROSS EASTERN UPPER...IT WILL TAKE UNTIL SFC
LOW CAN GET EAST OF SSM. INITIALLY...EXPECT DECENT GUSTS WITH THE
SFC FROPA TO 35-40MPH...BUT STRONGER WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP A
BIT LATER IN THE EVENING AS COLDER AIR CONTINUES TO POUR INTO THE
CWA AND THE MIXED LAYER DEEPENS. THIS ESPECIALLY TRUE DOWNWIND OF
LAKE MICHIGAN AND SUPERIOR...WHERE GUSTS TO 45 AND PERHAPS 50 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE. ALSO...LES WILL EMERGE (AFTER A LITTLE BREAK OF
WARM WEATHER) AS DEFORMATION ZONE ON BACKSIDE OF SURFACE HIGH BRINGS
IN DEEP SYNOPTIC MOISTURE (>90% H8-H5) AND H8 TEMP WILL BE COOLING
DOWN TO -12C (DELTA TS 13-15C). THERE ARE A FEW THINGS THAT ARE
LESS THAN IDEAL...SUCH AS...H8 TEMP COULD BE COLDER...INVERSION
HEIGHTS ARE ONLY 4-4.5 KFT...AND MODELS DO NOT PORTRAY MUCH IN THE
WAY OF -DIVQ TO ENHANCE SNOWFALL RATES. HOWEVER...MICROPHYSICS DO
LOOK VERY GOOD WITH PLENTY OF ICE CRYSTAL ACTIVATION AND A VERY DEEP
ISOTHERMAL LAYER FROM BETWEEN 850 AND 650MB. THE 1000-850MB WIND
FLOW WILL BE ERRATIC TO START...(PLUS H8 TEMPS WILL NOT BE COLD
ENOUGH FOR THE FIRST FEW HOURS OF THE EVENING)...BUT DO EVENTUALLY
SET UP IN A NW/WNW DIRECTION LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. FETCH
LENGTHS ARE STILL A BIT UNCERTAIN ACROSS EASTERN UPPER MONDAY
NIGHT...BUT AFTER A NW DIRECTION SETS UP BY DAYBREAK TUESDAY LES
BANDS WILL HAVE DEVELOPED. OVERALL...AM LOOKING AT 6 TO 8 HOURS OF
DECENT LAKE EFFECT SNOW (GIVE OR TAKE AN HOUR OR TWO FOR THEM TO
ORGANIZE/SET UP AT ONSET). SHOULD BE AT LEAST PERIODS OF MODERATE TO
BORDERLINE HEAVY SNOWFALL INTO TUESDAY MORNING...BEFORE DAYTIME
HEATING DISRUPTS THE BANDING/BETTER ACCUMULATIONS. CAN SEE 4 TO AS
HIGH AS 8 INCHES OF SNOW IMPACTING AREAS MAINLY BETWEEN M-32 AND
M-72...WEST OF I-75. COMBINE THIS SNOW WITH THE STRONG WINDS TO
DEVELOP AND WE HAVE SET THE STAGE FOR POTENTIAL WINTER STORM
CONDITIONS AND WILL HOIST A WATCH FOR LEELANAU...GRAND TRAVERSE (NRN
PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY)...OTSEGO...CRAWFORD/KALKASKA AND CHARLEVOIX.
CERTAINLY...THERE WILL BE ADVISORIES (LIKELY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW
ADVISORIES) BOUNDING THESE COUNTIES PROVIDED THAT NO MAJOR CHANGES
ARISE. THE STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO ALLOW THE BANDS OF SNOW TO BE
BLOWN PAST INTERSTATE 75 A GOOD DISTANCE...AND EVEN AREAS AS FAR
WEST AS MONTMORENCY/OSCODA AND ROSCOMMON MAY GET UP TO 3 INCHES OF
SNOW. LES PARAMETERS DO DROP OFF LATE TUESDAY AS DEEPER MOISTURE
PULLS EAST AND BANDS ARE DISRUPTED...BUT THE SNOW SHOWERS WILL STILL
BE OUT THERE...AND WITH WINDS STILL GUSTING STRONG TO 35 MPH...WILL
TAKE THE WATCH INTO ALL OF TUESDAY.
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...WILL KEEP LES CHANCES GOING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...ALTHOUGH MODELS DO INDICATE THAT THINGS COULD BE DONE BY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS MOIST LAYER WILL BE ONLY 1-1.5 KFT THICK. SO
A PRECIP FREE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON IS CERTAINLY POSSIBLE. WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO DECREASE AS WELL WITH SFC HIGH IMPINGING ON THE REGION.
CAN SEE 10-20MPH WINDS WITH SOME SUN RETURNING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
COOLER TEMPS WILL BE LIFTING NE AND OUT OF NRN MICHIGAN...AND DECENT
SUN ANGLE FOR MARCH SHOULD ALLOW TEMPS TO HIT THE LOW TO MIDDLE 30S.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...SFC HIGH SHIFTS EAST LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT WHILE NEXT SYSTEM (DECENTLY AGREED UPON BY THE ECMWF/GFS)
EJECTS INTO THE IOWA/IL/WI AREA BY 12Z THURSDAY. TEMPS WILL DROP OFF
RATHER WELL WEDNESDAY EVENING...LOOKING TO SETTLE INTO THE TEENS AND
POSSIBLY SOME SINGLE DIGITS. CLOUDS DO INCREASE LATE AT NIGHT AND
INTO THURSDAY WHILE SYSTEM THEN WORKS TOWARD THE SRN GREAT LAKES.
RIGHT NOW...LOOKS LIKE SYNOPTIC SNOWFALL WOULD GRACE THE SRN CWA
(SOUTH OF M-72)...BUT THIS IS TOO FAR OUT RIGHT NOW TO GET A HOLD
OF. WILL JUST GO WITH 30% CHANCE INTO THURSDAY NIGHT WITH MORE
DETAILS TO COME IN SUBSEQUENT FORECASTS.
LATER PERIODS...AS THURSDAY SYSTEM WORKS EAST...ANOTHER SHOT OF
COLDER AIR IS SET TO PLUNGE INTO NRN MICHIGAN FRIDAY AS A
RE-ENFORCING SHORTWAVE DIVES ACROSS THE NRN GREAT LAKES. THIS BRINGS
ABOUT ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOWS. SO...THE WARM UP DID
NOT LAST...BUT...STRONGER HIGH PRESSURE AND SUNSHINE DOES LOOK TO
SET UP FOR THE WEEKEND. THE TEMPERATURE TREND WILL BE WARMER...WITH
CHILLY TEMPS SATURDAY IN THE LOW TO MIDDLE 30S...WITH MAYBE SOME 40S
BY SUNDAY. SMD
&&
.APX...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WX ADVISORY...MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM MONDAY...
MIZ008-015.
WINTER STORM WATCH...MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...
MIZ019>022-026>028.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 12, 11:05 PM EST, 5 hours 21 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1105 PM EST SUN MAR 12 2006 MIZ008-015>036-041-042-LSZ321-322-LMZ323-341-342-344-345- LHZ345>349-131100- ALCONA-ALPENA-ANTRIM-ARENAC-BENZIE-CHARLEVOIX-CHEBOYGAN-CHIPPEWA- CRAWFORD-EMMET-GLADWIN-GRAND TRAVERSE-IOSCO-KALKASKA-LEELANAU- MACKINAC-MANISTEE-MISSAUKEE-MONTMORENCY-OGEMAW-OSCODA-OTSEGO- PRESQUE ISLE-ROSCOMMON-WEXFORD...INCLUDING THE ADJACENT WATERS WITHIN FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE ON LAKE MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON...AND LAKE SUPERIOR 1105 PM EST SUN MAR 12 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER AND EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...OVERNIGHT RUNOFF FROM EARLIER RAINFALL AND SNOWMELT WILL KEEP WATER LEVELS HIGH ON RIVERS AND CREEKS...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM TRAVERSE CITY TO ALPENA. RAIN WILL RETURN TO NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN OVERNIGHT...WITH ADDITIONAL RUNOFF PROBLEMS POSSIBLE. SEE ONGOING WATCHES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. A BRIEF PERIOD OF HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT IN MUCH OF EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN. THE SNOW WILL MIX WITH SLEET AND SOME FREEZING RAIN. A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN MAY ALSO AFFECT PORTIONS OF NORTHER LOWER MICHIGAN...PARTICULARLY ON THE HIGHER TERRAIN. SEE ONGOING ADVISORIES AND FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...MAINLY SOUTH OF M-68. SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY HEAVY SNOW MAY LINGER INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING IN PARTS OF EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...ALONG WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. SEE ONGOING ADVISORIES AND FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE INTO TUESDAY MORNING FOR BOTH EASTERN UPPER AND NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS COULD BE LOCALLY HEAVY MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY IN WESTERN CHIPPEWA COUNTY...AND FROM GAYLORD AND GRAYLING WESTWARD TO LEELANAU COUNTY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS WILL PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. SEE ONGOING WATCHES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOWFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY IN CHIPPEWA COUNTY AND IN NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN... HOWEVER THIS SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS...PLEASE REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AND ANY FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. && MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING URL: HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD (ALL LOWER CASE) JZ/SMD
The office that day
Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 4:26 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | APX | Alpena, Benzie, Cheboygan, Emmet, Grand Traverse, Manistee and 6 more | 48 hr |
| Mar 13, 4:44 AM EST | Wind Advisory | APX | Alcona, Arenac, Benzie, Crawford, Gladwin, Grand Traverse and 9 more | 36 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in Michigan, 2006Every winter storm warning in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.