Alert archive / Michigan / Winter Storm Warnings in 2006
Winter Storm Warning 3, NWS Gaylord, MI
NWS Gaylord, MI issued this winter storm warning at Feb 15, 2006, 4:42 PM EST for 22 counties in Michigan. It took effect at Feb 16, 2006, 12:00 AM EST. It was in force for 59 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 15, 2006, 4:42 PM EST (21:42 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 16, 2006, 12:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Feb 18, 2006, 10:31 AM EST
- In force
- 59 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Gaylord, MI
All 22 counties
Alcona County, MI, Alpena County, MI, Antrim County, MI, Arenac County, MI, Benzie County, MI, Cheboygan County, MI, Crawford County, MI, Emmet County, MI, Gladwin County, MI, Grand Traverse County, MI, Iosco County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI, Leelanau County, MI, Manistee County, MI, Missaukee County, MI, Montmorency County, MI, Ogemaw County, MI, Oscoda County, MI, Otsego County, MI, Presque Isle County, MI, Roscommon County, MI, Wexford County, MI
The radar
The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 21 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 12:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 184 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 508 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 102 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -6 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 94 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS43 KAPX 152142 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 442 PM EST WED FEB 15 2006 ...A MAJOR WINTER STORM TO IMPACT NORTHERN MICHIGAN LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY... .LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING ACROSS THE PLAINS WILL INTENSIFY TONIGHT AND TRACK RAPIDLY NORTHEAST REACHING CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN THURSDAY NIGHT BRINGING HEAVY SNOW TO THE REGION. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO LEAD TO EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW CREATING NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY. MIZ020>029-031>033-161100- /O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0004.060216T0500Z-060217T1000Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0003.060216T0500Z-060217T2300Z/ LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE- KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD... ATLANTA...ALPENA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA... GRAYLING...MIO...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY 442 PM EST WED FEB 15 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS ALL OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN LATE TONIGHT. THE SNOW WILL THEN BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL INCREASE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY CREATING EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...AND PRODUCE NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF A FOOT TO A FOOT AND A HALF BY FRIDAY. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ030-034>036-041-042-161100- /O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0004.060216T0500Z-060217T1000Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0003.060216T0500Z-060217T2300Z/ ALCONA-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARRISVILLE...HOUGHTON LAKE... WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH 442 PM EST WED FEB 15 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS ALL OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY MORNING. THE SNOW WILL THEN MIX WITH AND CHANGE OVER TO A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING LEADING TO SOME ICING. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL THEN CHANGE BACK TO SNOW AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES LATE THURSDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE INTO EARLY FRIDAY. WINDS WILL INCREASE THURSDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY CREATING EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...AND PRODUCE NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF A FOOT OR MORE BY FRIDAY. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ008-015-161100- /O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0004.060216T1100Z-060217T1000Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0003.060216T1700Z-060217T2300Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE 442 PM EST WED FEB 15 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM THURSDAY TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM THURSDAY TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. IN ADDITION...WINDS WILL INCREASE THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY CREATING EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...AND PRODUCE NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF A FOOT OR MORE BY FRIDAY. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ016>019-161100- /O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0004.060216T0500Z-060217T1000Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0003.060216T1700Z-060217T2300Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY... CHARLEVOIX 442 PM EST WED FEB 15 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM THURSDAY TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM THURSDAY TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS FAR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN LATE TONIGHT THEN BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND AND THURSDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL INCREASE THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY CREATING EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...AND PRODUCE NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF A FOOT OR MORE BY FRIDAY. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ AJS
12 follow-up statements
000 WWUS43 KAPX 160925 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 425 AM EST THU FEB 16 2006 ...A MAJOR WINTER STORM TO IMPACT NORTHERN MICHIGAN THROUGH FRIDAY... .LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING ACROSS THE PLAINS WILL TRACK RAPIDLY NORTHEAST REACHING CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN TONIGHT BRINGING HEAVY SNOW TO THE REGION. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO LEAD TO EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW CREATING NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY. MIZ020>029-031>033-162330- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-060217T2300Z/ LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE- KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD... ATLANTA...ALPENA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA... GRAYLING...MIO...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY 425 AM EST THU FEB 16 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY... SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT. WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY CREATING EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...AND NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF A FOOT TO A FOOT AND A HALF BY FRIDAY. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ008-015-162330- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.060216T1700Z-060217T2300Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE 425 AM EST THU FEB 16 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY... SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES INTO TONIGHT. IN ADDITION...WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY CREATING EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...AND NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF A FOOT OR MORE BY FRIDAY. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ016>019-162330- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.060216T1700Z-060217T2300Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY... CHARLEVOIX 425 AM EST THU FEB 16 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY... SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON AND AND TONIGHT. WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY CREATING EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...AND NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF A FOOT OR MORE BY FRIDAY. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ030-034>036-041-042-162330- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-060217T2300Z/ ALCONA-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARRISVILLE...HOUGHTON LAKE... WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH 425 AM EST THU FEB 16 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY... THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING AND THEN MIX WITH AND CHANGE OVER TO A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING LEADING TO SOME ICING. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL THEN CHANGE BACK TO SNOW AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES LATE THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE INTO EARLY FRIDAY. WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY CREATING EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...AND NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF A FOOT OR MORE BY FRIDAY. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ JL
000 WWUS43 KAPX 162101 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 401 PM EST THU FEB 16 2006 ...A MAJOR WINTER STORM CONTINUES TO BATTER NORTHERN MICHIGAN... .LOW PRESSURE IN SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN WILL TRACK THROUGH SOUTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN AND THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES TONIGHT. HEAVY SNOWS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL OCCUR IN ALL OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN TONIGHT. STRONG WINDS GUSTING TO 35 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH THE SNOW AND RESULT IN EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS IN MANY AREAS. PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOWER WILL EXPERIENCE SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS MIXING IN WITH THE SNOW THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE ALL SNOW OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...AND WITH PERSISTENT STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE PRESENT THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT AND INTO TOMORROW. TRAVEL IS EXTREMELY DISCOURAGED TONIGHT AS THERE HAVE ALREADY BEEN NUMEROUS ACCIDENTS IN THIS VERY HAZARDOUS WEATHER. MIZ008-015-171115- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-060217T2300Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE 401 PM EST THU FEB 16 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY. SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL EXPAND ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE INTO TOMORROW. THIS SNOW WILL COMBINE WITH STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS GUSTING TO 35 MPH...RESULT IN EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS INTO TOMORROW WILL RANGE BETWEEN 7 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS REACHING A FOOT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL OCCUR TONIGHT...AS ONLY A COUPLE OF INCHES IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. HOWEVER...THE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN PERSISTENT VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. TRAVEL IS EXTREMELY DISCOURAGED...ESPECIALLY TONIGHT. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ016>019-171115- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-060217T2300Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY... CHARLEVOIX 401 PM EST THU FEB 16 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY. SNOW...WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES AGAIN TONIGHT...AND CONTINUE INTO TOMORROW. THIS SNOW WILL COMBINE WITH STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS GUSTING TO 35 MPH RESULTING IN EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS INTO TOMORROW WILL RANGE BETWEEN 7 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS REACHING A FOOT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL OCCUR TONIGHT...AS ONLY A COUPLE OF INCHES IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. HOWEVER...THE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN PERSISTENT VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. TRAVEL IS EXTREMELY DISCOURAGED...ESPECIALLY TONIGHT. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ020>029-031>033-171115- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-060217T2300Z/ LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE- KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD... ATLANTA...ALPENA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA... GRAYLING...MIO...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY 401 PM EST THU FEB 16 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY. SNOW...WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES AGAIN TONIGHT...AND CONTINUE INTO TOMORROW. THIS SNOW WILL COMBINE WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AND STRONG WINDS GUSTING TO 35 MPH WHICH WILL RESULT IN EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS INTO TOMORROW WILL RANGE BETWEEN 7 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS REACHING A FOOT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL OCCUR TONIGHT...AS ONLY A COUPLE OF INCHES IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. HOWEVER...THE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN PERSISTENT VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. TRAVEL IS EXTREMELY DISCOURAGED...ESPECIALLY TONIGHT. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ030-034>036-041-042-171115- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-060217T2300Z/ ALCONA-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARRISVILLE...HOUGHTON LAKE... WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH 401 PM EST THU FEB 16 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY. SNOW...MIX WITH SLEET AND SOME FREEZING RAIN WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING...ALONG WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO ALL SNOW OVERNIGHT AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES. THE SNOW WILL COMBINE STRONG WINDS GUSTING TO 35 MPH WHICH WILL RESULT IN EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AT TIMES. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS INTO TOMORROW WILL RANGE BETWEEN 5 TO 9 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL OCCUR TONIGHT...AS ONLY A COUPLE OF INCHES IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. HOWEVER...THE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN PERSISTENT VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. TRAVEL IS EXTREMELY DISCOURAGED...ESPECIALLY TONIGHT. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ SD
000 WWUS43 KAPX 170127 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 827 PM EST THU FEB 16 2006 ...THE BRUNT OF THE STORM SYSTEM HAS ENDED BUT THE WINTRY WEATHER IS NOT OVER... .LOW PRESSURE TRACKING THROUGH SOUTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN WILL ENTER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE HEAVIEST OF SNOWS HAS ENDED ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN...BUT ADDITIONAL SNOWS WILL MOVE IN LATER TONIGHT...WHILE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW. STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP AND PRODUCE WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW THROUGH TOMORROW...AND TRAVEL WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS. MIZ008-015-171530- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-060217T2300Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE 827 PM EST THU FEB 16 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY. SNOWFALL CONTINUES OVER THE FAR WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY WHILE A LULL IN THE SNOWFALL IS OCCURRING ELSEWHERE. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO PICK UP IN INTENSITY HEADING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND ADDITIONAL LAKE EFFECT SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW. TOTAL SNOWFALL THROUGH TOMORROW WILL RANGE BETWEEN 2 AND 5 INCHES WITH UP TO 8 INCHES ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY. THE SNOW...COMBINED WITH GUSTY WINDS UP TO 35 MPH...WILL RESULT WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. TRAVELING CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS THROUGH TOMORROW. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ016>019-171530- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-060217T2300Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY... CHARLEVOIX 827 PM EST THU FEB 16 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY. A LULL IN THE SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING. HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT AND ADDITIONAL LAKE EFFECT SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW. TOTAL SNOWFALL THROUGH TOMORROW WILL RANGE BETWEEN 2 AND 5 INCHES. THE SNOW...COMBINED WITH GUSTY WINDS UP TO 35 MPH...WILL RESULT WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. TRAVELING CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS THROUGH TOMORROW. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ020>029-031>033-171530- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-060217T2300Z/ LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE- KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD... ATLANTA...ALPENA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA... GRAYLING...MIO...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY 827 PM EST THU FEB 16 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY. A LULL IN THE SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING. HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT AND ADDITIONAL LAKE EFFECT SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW. TOTAL SNOWFALL THROUGH TOMORROW WILL RANGE BETWEEN 2 AND 5 INCHES. THE SNOW...COMBINED WITH GUSTY WINDS UP TO 35 MPH...WILL RESULT WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. TRAVELING CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS THROUGH TOMORROW. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ030-034>036-041-042-171530- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-060217T2300Z/ ALCONA-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARRISVILLE...HOUGHTON LAKE... WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH 827 PM EST THU FEB 16 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY. FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW WILL END BY LATE THIS EVENING. PERSIST THIS EVENING. TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TENTH TO AROUND A QUARTER OF AN INCH WILL OCCUR. THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO JUST SNOW OVERNIGHT BUT AMOUNTS THROUGH TOMORROW WILL ONLY RANGE BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES. THE SNOW...COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS GUSTING UP TO 35 MPH WILL CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW THROUGH TOMORROW. THE ICE...SNOW AND BLOWING AND DRIFTING WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TRAVELING CONDITIONS THROUGH TOMORROW. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ SD
000 WWUS43 KAPX 170356 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1056 PM EST THU FEB 16 2006 ...THE BRUNT OF THE STORM SYSTEM HAS ENDED BUT THE WINTRY WEATHER IS NOT OVER... .LOW PRESSURE TRACKING THROUGH SOUTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN WILL ENTER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE HEAVIEST OF SNOWS HAS ENDED ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN...BUT ADDITIONAL SNOWS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE IN FROM THE WEST OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. THIS SNOW WILL BECOME ENHANCED THROUGH EARLY TOMORROW MORNING FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN UPPER AND NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP AND PRODUCE WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW THROUGH TOMORROW...AND TRAVEL WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS. MIZ030-034>036-041-042-170500- /O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-060217T2300Z/ ALCONA-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARRISVILLE...HOUGHTON LAKE... WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH 1056 PM EST THU FEB 16 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WARNING. THE HEAVY SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN HAS ENDED ACROSS THE AREA. ONLY MINOR ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. THERE WILL STILL BE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW HOWEVER...AS WINDS INCREASE OVERNIGHT AND INTO TOMORROW MORNING WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. SO EXPECT SOME REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. $$ MIZ008-015-171800- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-060217T2300Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE 1056 PM EST THU FEB 16 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY. SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT AND MAY BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES IN THE FAR WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY AND LAKE EFFECT SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW. ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL THROUGH TOMORROW WILL BE IN THE 1 TO 5 INCH RANGE. THE COMBINATION OF INCREASING NORTHERLY WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH AND THE SNOW...WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. TRAVELING CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS THROUGH TOMORROW. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ016>019-171800- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-060217T2300Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY... CHARLEVOIX 1056 PM EST THU FEB 16 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY. ALTHOUGH THE SNOWFALL HAS BECOME LIGHT. ADDITIONAL SNOWS WILL MOVE IN OVERNIGHT AND TOMORROW. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL ONLY BE IN THE 1 TO 5 INCH RANGE...BUT INCREASING NORTHERLY WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH...WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. TRAVELING CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS THROUGH TOMORROW. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ020>029-031>033-171800- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-060217T2300Z/ LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE- KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD... ATLANTA...ALPENA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA... GRAYLING...MIO...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY 1056 PM EST THU FEB 16 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY. ALTHOUGH THE SNOWFALL HAS BECOME LIGHT. ADDITIONAL SNOWS WILL MOVE IN OVERNIGHT AND TOMORROW. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL ONLY BE IN THE 1 TO 5 INCH RANGE...BUT INCREASING NORTHERLY WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH...WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. TRAVELING CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS THROUGH TOMORROW. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ SD
000 WWUS43 KAPX 170459 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1159 PM EST THU FEB 16 2006 ...THE BRUNT OF THE STORM SYSTEM HAS ENDED BUT THE WINTRY WEATHER IS NOT OVER... .LOW PRESSURE TRACKING THROUGH SOUTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN WILL ENTER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE HEAVIEST OF SNOWS HAS ENDED ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN...BUT ADDITIONAL SNOWS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE IN FROM THE WEST OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. THIS SNOW WILL BECOME ENHANCED THROUGH EARLY TOMORROW MORNING FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN UPPER AND NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP AND PRODUCE WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW THROUGH TOMORROW...AND TRAVEL WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS. MIZ020-025-026-031-032-171100- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-060217T2300Z/ LEELANAU-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-WEXFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY... MANISTEE...CADILLAC 1159 PM EST THU FEB 16 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 6 INCHES WILL FALL OVERNIGHT. THIS SNOWFALL COMBINED WITH SNOW ALREADY ON THE GROUND...AND INCREASING NORTHERLY WINDS TO UP TO 35 MPH...WILL RESULT IN EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. VISIBILITIES WILL DROP TO A QUARTER OF A MILE OR LESS AT TIMES OVERNIGHT. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TOMORROW WILL BE AN INCH OR TWO...BUT THE WINDS WILL REMAIN STRONG THROUGH A GOOD PORTION OF THE DAY. TRAVELING CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN VERY HAZARDOUS THROUGH TOMORROW. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ008-015-171100- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-060217T2300Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE 1159 PM EST THU FEB 16 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY. SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT AND MAY BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES IN THE FAR WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY AND LAKE EFFECT SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW. ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL THROUGH TOMORROW WILL BE IN THE 1 TO 5 INCH RANGE. THE COMBINATION OF INCREASING NORTHERLY WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH AND THE SNOW...WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. TRAVELING CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS THROUGH TOMORROW. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ016>019-171100- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-060217T2300Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY... CHARLEVOIX 1159 PM EST THU FEB 16 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY. ALTHOUGH THE SNOWFALL HAS BECOME LIGHT. ADDITIONAL SNOWS WILL MOVE IN OVERNIGHT AND TOMORROW. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL ONLY BE IN THE 1 TO 5 INCH RANGE...BUT INCREASING NORTHERLY WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH...WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. TRAVELING CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS THROUGH TOMORROW. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ021>024-027>029-033-171100- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-060217T2300Z/ ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA- MISSAUKEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...ATLANTA... ALPENA...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO...LAKE CITY 1159 PM EST THU FEB 16 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY. ALTHOUGH THE SNOWFALL HAS BECOME LIGHT. ADDITIONAL SNOWS WILL MOVE IN OVERNIGHT AND TOMORROW. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL ONLY BE IN THE 1 TO 5 INCH RANGE...BUT INCREASING NORTHERLY WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH...WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. TRAVELING CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS THROUGH TOMORROW. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ SD
000 WWUS43 KAPX 170852 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 352 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2006 ...BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL BE THE MAIN PROBLEM TODAY... .LOW PRESSURE OVER GEORGIAN BAY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM MICHIGAN. HOWEVER...STRONG WINDS ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. WITH PLENTY OF FRESH SNOW ON THE GROUND...AND UP TO 3 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL SNOW TODAY...BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO BE A MAJOR PROBLEM. IT WILL BE DIFFICULT TO KEEP ROADS CLEAR...AND TRAVEL WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS. MIZ008-015-172300- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-060217T2300Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE 352 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING UP TO 35 MPH WILL PRODUCE SUBSTANTIAL BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...WITH VISIBILITIES REDUCED BELOW A MILE AT TIMES. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL BRING 1 TO 3 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION TODAY IN EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS NEAR WHITEFISH BAY. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ016>029-031>033-172300- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-060217T2300Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO- MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA- MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY... CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA... FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO... MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY 352 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING UP TO 35 MPH WILL PRODUCE SUBSTANTIAL BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...WITH VISIBILITIES REDUCED BELOW A MILE AT TIMES. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL BRING 1 TO 3 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION TODAY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS NEAR AND WEST OF I-75. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ JZ
000 WWUS43 KAPX 171124 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 624 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2006 ...BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL BE THE MAIN PROBLEM TODAY... .LOW PRESSURE OVER GEORGIAN BAY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM MICHIGAN. HOWEVER...STRONG WINDS ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. WITH PLENTY OF FRESH SNOW ON THE GROUND...AND 1 TO 5 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL SNOW TODAY...BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO BE A MAJOR PROBLEM. IT WILL BE DIFFICULT TO KEEP ROADS CLEAR...AND TRAVEL WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS. MIZ008-015-172300- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-060217T2300Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE 624 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING UP TO 35 MPH WILL PRODUCE SUBSTANTIAL BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...WITH VISIBILITIES REDUCED BELOW A MILE AT TIMES. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL BRING 1 TO 3 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION TODAY IN EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS NEAR WHITEFISH BAY. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ016>029-031>033-172300- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-060217T2300Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO- MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA- MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY... CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA... FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO... MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY 624 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING UP TO 35 MPH WILL PRODUCE SUBSTANTIAL BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...WITH VISIBILITIES REDUCED BELOW A MILE AT TIMES. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL BRING 1 TO 5 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION TODAY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS FROM GLEN ARBOR AND INTERLOCHEN...EASTWARD TO GAYLORD AND GRAYLING. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ JZ
000 WWUS43 KAPX 172054 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 354 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2006 ...MORE ACCUMULATING SNOW IS ON THE WAY FOR CHIPPEWA COUNTY... .AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE THROUGH EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN TONIGHT AND WILL ENHANCE THE ONGOING LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ALREADY IMPACTING PORTIONS OF THIS REGION. WINDS GUSTING TO 25 TO 30 MPH WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT. TRAVEL WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS. MIZ015>029-031>033-172200- /O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-060217T2300Z/ MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM- OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD- OSCODA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. IGNACE...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN... ROGERS CITY...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD... ATLANTA...ALPENA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA... GRAYLING...MIO...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY 354 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WARNING. ONE TO THREE INCHES OF NEW SNOWFALL CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE SNOWBELT REGIONS OF MACKINAC COUNTY AND FOR NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN TONIGHT. $$ MIZ008-181100- /O.EXT.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-060218T1700Z/ CHIPPEWA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE 354 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SATURDAY... THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SATURDAY. SNOW SHOWERS...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE TO TO IMPACT PORTIONS OF CHIPPEWA COUNTY THROUGH THE NIGHT. THE MOST PERSISTENT SNOW SHOWERS WILL FALL ACROSS LOCATIONS WEST OF I 75...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW IMPACTING LOCATIONS NORTH OF M 28. UP TO 6 INCHES OF NEW SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED IN THIS REGION TONIGHT. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MR
000 WWUS43 KAPX 172251 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 551 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2006 ...MORE ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL FALL FOR EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN AND PORTIONS OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN... .AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE THROUGH EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN TONIGHT AND WILL ENHANCE THE ONGOING LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ALREADY IMPACTING PORTIONS OF THIS REGION AND FAR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. WINDS GUSTING TO 25 TO 35 MPH WILL RESULT IN PLENTY OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT. TRAVEL WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ALONG THE LAKES. MIZ008-181300- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-060218T1700Z/ CHIPPEWA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE 551 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SATURDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SATURDAY. SNOW SHOWERS...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE TO TO IMPACT PORTIONS OF CHIPPEWA COUNTY THROUGH THE NIGHT. TOTAL NIGHTTIME ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 4 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW. THESE HEAVY SNOW AMOUNTS WILL MAINLY IMPACT AREAS IN AND AROUND THE COMMUNITIES OF PARADISE...BAY MILLS AND SAULT SAINT MARIE. LESSER AMOUNTS CAN BE EXPECTED SOUTH OF A LINE FROM ECKERMAN TO PICKFORD. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ016-017-019-181100- /O.NEW.KAPX.SB.Y.0006.060217T2251Z-060218T1100Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX 551 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2006 ...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY. SNOW WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING...AND WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES. TOTAL SNOWFALL FOR THE NIGHT WILL RANGE BETWEEN 1 AND 4 INCHES. THE COMBINATION OF THE SNOW AND GUSTY WEST WINDS TO 35 MPH WILL RESULT IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WHICH WILL FURTHER REDUCE VISIBILITIES. TRAVEL WILL BE HAZARDOUS THROUGH AT LEAST THE EVENING. THE ACCUMULATING SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA BY MIDNIGHT. A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ SD
000 WWUS43 KAPX 180245 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 945 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2006 ...HEAVY SNOW PERSISTS IN CHIPPEWA COUNTY OF EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN... .AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS IMPACTING CHIPPEWA COUNTY. WINDS GUSTING AT TIMES TO 25 TO 35 MPH WILL RESULT IN PLENTY OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT. TRAVEL WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ALONG THE LAKES. THE BLOWING SNOW WILL ALSO CONTINUE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN TONIGHT. MIZ016-017-019-180345- /O.CAN.KAPX.SB.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-060218T1100Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX 945 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2006 ...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY. THE BETTER ACCUMULATING SNOW HAS SLIPPED SOUTH OF THE AREA. HOWEVER...PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT...WITH ANOTHER INCH POSSIBLE. WINDS WILL REMAIN IN THE 15 TO 30 MPH RANGE PRODUCING AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW THROUGH THE NIGHT. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED TO A HALF OF A MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. $$ MIZ008-181645- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-060218T1700Z/ CHIPPEWA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE 945 PM EST FRI FEB 17 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SATURDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SATURDAY. SNOW SHOWERS...HEAVY AT TIMES...AND AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...WILL CONTINUE TO POUND MUCH OF THE NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE COUNTY. TOTAL SNOWFALL FOR THE NIGHT ACROSS THESE AREAS WILL BE IN THE 4 TO 10 INCH RANGE...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS AROUND THE COMMUNITY OF PARADISE. LESSER AMOUNTS WILL FALL SOUTH OF A LINE FROM ECKERMAN TO PICKFORD...ALTHOUGH A BRIEF PERIOD OF HEAVY SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...THE BRISK WINDS COMBINED WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING TO AS COLD AS ZERO TO 10 BELOW ZERO...WILL RESULT IN A FEW LOCATIONS EXPERIENCING WIND CHILLS AS COLD AS 25 TO 30 BELOW ZERO BY LATE TONIGHT. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ SD
000 WWUS43 KAPX 180835 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 335 AM EST SAT FEB 18 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW IN CHIPPEWA COUNTY CONTINUES... ...BRUTALLY COLD WIND CHILLS ELSEWHERE... .BITTERLY COLD WINDS BLOWING ACROSS LAKE SUPERIOR WILL KEEP LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW GOING INTO CHIPPEWA COUNTY...THOUGH SNOW WILL DIMINISH AS THE MORNING WEARS ON. WIND CHILLS WILL NEAR DANGEROUS LEVELS ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN. MIZ008-181700- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-060218T1700Z/ CHIPPEWA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE 335 AM EST SAT FEB 18 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT WESTERN AND NORTHERN CHIPPEWA COUNTY THIS MORNING...ESPECIALLY EARLY. THE HEAVIEST SNOW HAS ALREADY FALLEN...BUT ANOTHER 2 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS THIS MORNING. IN ADDITION...WIND CHILLS WILL APPROACH 25 BELOW ZERO...MAINLY IN THE WESTERN PART OF CHIPPEWA COUNTY. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ015-181700- /O.NEW.KAPX.WC.Y.0001.060218T0835Z-060218T1700Z/ MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST. IGNACE 335 AM EST SAT FEB 18 2006 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. WIND CHILLS WILL BE AS COLD AS 30 BELOW ZERO THIS MORNING IN WESTERN MACKINAC COUNTY...WEST OF I-75. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. $$ MIZ016-017-019>023-025>029-031>034-181700- /O.NEW.KAPX.WC.Y.0001.060218T0835Z-060218T1700Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY- BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD- MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX... NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...FRANKFORT... TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO...MANISTEE...CADILLAC... LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE 335 AM EST SAT FEB 18 2006 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. WIND CHILLS WILL BE AROUND 20 BELOW ZERO THIS MORNING IN NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. $$ JZ
000 WWUS43 KAPX 181531 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1031 AM EST SAT FEB 18 2006 MIZ008-181645- /O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-060218T1700Z/ CHIPPEWA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE 1031 AM EST SAT FEB 18 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WARNING. SNOW SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF ACROSS CHIPPEWA COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH ONLY MINOR ACCUMULATIONS UNDER HALF AN INCH EXPECTED THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY...MAINLY AROUND WHITEFISH POINT. $$ MIZ015>017-019>023-025>029-031>034-181645- /O.CAN.KAPX.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-060218T1700Z/ MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO- MONTMORENCY-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA- MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. IGNACE...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN... CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...ATLANTA... FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO... MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE 1031 AM EST SAT FEB 18 2006 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY. $$ KAS
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Feb 15, 4:15 PM EST, 27 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 15, 4:15 PM EST, 27 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
415 PM EST WED FEB 15 2006
.DISCUSSION...SURFACE RIDGING CONTINUES TO BUILD INTO NRN
MICHIGAN...WITH THE PARENT HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM REMAINING OVER THE
NRN PLAINS. VIGOROUS SURFACE LOW IS GAINING STRENGTH OVER THE
CENTRAL PLAINS...WITH A WELL-DEFINED WARM FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE
SURFACE LOW THRU CENTRAL MISSOURI AND ILLINOIS. LATEST IR SATELLITE
LOOP CONTINUES TO SHOW AN ELONGATED AREA OF COOLER CLOUD TOPS NORTH
OF THE WARM FRONT AS WAA/ISENTROPIC LIFT STRENGTHENS AS WELL. DRY
MID LEVEL AIR HAS ENDED ALL SYNOPTICALLY DRIVEN SNOW ACROSS NRN
LOWER MICHIGAN...AND HAS ACTUALLY ALLOWED FOR SOME PEAKS OF SUN THIS
AFTERNOON. ONLY SCATTERED LIGHT LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS REMAIN OVER
ERN UPPER MICHIGAN WHERE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS STILL DEEP ENOUGH TO
PRODUCE PRECIP. ALL REMAINS QUIET ON THE HOME FRONT THROUGH MUCH OF
THIS EVENING...AS ALL EYES TURN UPSTREAM TO THAT STRONG SURFACE LOW
HEADING NE TOWARD MICHIGAN. PRIMARY FORECAST CONCERNS THROUGH FRIDAY
WILL BE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY SNOWFALL... FREEZING RAIN AND STRONG
WINDS AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES THRU THE STATE.
TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING...AS MENTIONED ABOVE...THE EVENING
REMAINS FAIRLY QUIET AS MID LEVEL DRY AIR STAYS FIRMLY IN PLACE
ACROSS THE CWA. STRENGTHENING ISENTROPIC ASCENT (I290) AND
INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL GRADUALLY ERODE THE MID LEVEL DRY
AIR TOWARD MID EVENING. STRONG OMEGA FIELDS ALOFT DEVELOP WITHIN
FAVORABLE TEMP REGIME OVERNIGHT...AT THE SAME TIME ISENTROPIC LIFT
MAXIMIZES AND DRY LAYER COMPLETELY ERODES. MIXING RATIOS INCREASE TO
AROUND 3 TO 4 G/KG AT THIS TIME. PERIOD OF GOOD LIFT AND MOISTURE
WILL ONLY LAST FOR AROUND 6 HOURS...THUS EXPECT A GENERAL AREA OF 2
TO 4 INCHES FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND SOUTH OF M 32 OVERNIGHT WITH
HIGHEST AMOUNTS ALONG THE SRN TIER OF COUNTIES. LOCATIONS NORTH OF M
32 TO THE STRAITS WILL SEE 1 TO 3 INCHES OVERNIGHT...WITH ERN UPR
MICHIGAN ONLY SEEING AN INCH OR LESS. DRY AIR WILL MAKE A BRIEF
REAPPEARANCE THURSDAY MORNING BETWEEN THIS INITIAL WAVE OF ENERGY
MOVING THRU OVERNIGHT AND THE MAIN WAVE OF ENERGY WITH THE SURFACE
LOW ITSELF THAT WILL IMPACT THE REGION THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.
THUS...EXPECT A BIT OF A LULL IN THE ACTION DURING THURSDAY
MORNING...ALTHOUGH DO NOT EXPECT SNOW WILL COME TO A COMPLETE END.
STILL EXPECT CATEGORICAL TO LIKELY POPS INTO THURSDAY MORNING FOR
NRN LOWER MICHIGAN AND CHANCE IN ERN UPPER MICHIGAN...BUT SNOWFALL
INTENSITIES WILL BE LIGHT DUE TO LAKE OF DEEP MOISTURE AND PRESENCE
OF ONLY WEAK LIFT BETWEEN THE TWO WAVES OF ENERGY. AS FAR AS
HEADLINE MANAGEMENT...WILL ISSUE A WINTER STORM WARNING BEGINNING
LATE TONIGHT FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND SOUTH OF M 32 IN NRN LOWER
MICHIGAN...AND WILL MAINTAIN THIS HEADLINE THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY
AS THIS LOOKS TO BE A PROLONGED HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER EVENT (SEE
MORE DETAILS FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND BEYOND IN DISCUSSION
BELOW).
LONGER TERM (THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)...THE MORE
INTENSE PORTION OF THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE AREA STARTING
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE RAMPING UP OF THIS SYSTEM ALONG WITH THE
FORM OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS SOUTHEAST COUNTIES WILL BE THE MAIN
EMPHASIS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS PACKAGE.
THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY...MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT
THAT THE IMPRESSIVE STORM SYSTEM WILL ROCKET NORTHEAST FROM A
POSITION IN THE VICINITY OF KANSAS EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...ACROSS
THE THUMB OF MICHIGAN EARLY THURSDAY NIGHT...THEN INTO SOUTHEAST
ONTARIO FRIDAY MORNING. STRONG FORCING ALONG WITH COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF
MOISTURE VIA THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL ACCOMPANY THIS SYSTEM DUE TO A
VERY IMPRESSIVE BAROCLINIC ZONE (850 MB TEMPERATURES RANGE FROM -16C
ACROSS THE WESTERN UPPER PENINSULA TO PLUS 8 ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOWER).
IN ADDITION...A VERY TIGHT SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE
EVENTUAL 997 MB LOW PRESSURE AND 1050 MB HIGH PRESSURE (ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL CANADA) WILL LEAD TO STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS (20 TO 30 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH). STRONG Q-VECTOR AND JET STREAM FORCING
ARRIVE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY EVENING (GFS
EVEN LINGERS THIS INTO EARLY FRIDAY). THEREFORE...HEAVY SNOW (AN
INCH AN HOUR+) EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. IN ADDITION...EXTENSIVE
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW IS EXPECTED LEADING TO NEAR BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. MODEL SOUNDINGS/CROSS
SECTIONS SHOW WARM AIR NOSING INTO SOUTHEAST ZONES SO A PERIOD OF
FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING LEADING TO
SOME ICE ACCUMULATION. STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL THEN CHANGE
PRECIPITATION BACK TO ALL SNOW LATER THURSDAY EVENING WITH LAKE
ENHANCEMENT ENTERING INTO THE EQUATION. SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
BETWEEN A FOOT AND A FOOT AND A HALF WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AS HIGH
AS 20 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY. SYSTEM SNOW WILL GIVE WAY TO
LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS (NORTHWEST FLOW) ON FRIDAY WITH CONTINUED
EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. LOWS THU NIGHT EXPECTED TO BE
IN THE SINGLE DIGITS WITH HIGHS FRI ONLY IN THE TEENS.
AS FAR AS HEADLINES GO...WILL START WINTER STORM WARNINGS ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF NORTHERN LOWER AS WELL AS IN EASTERN UPPER THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THEM THROUGH FRIDAY.
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY...NORTHWEST FLOW LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS
ARE EXPECTED WEST OF INTERSTATE 75 WITH A CHANCE TO THE EAST. NAM IS
QUITE A BIT DRIER THAN GFS SO ACCUMULATIONS COULD RANGE FROM A
COUPLE TO AS MUCH AS A FEW INCHES. THIS CAN BE NARROWED DOWN BY
LATER SHIFTS. WINDS WILL TAPER DOWN FRIDAY EVENING BUT REMAIN ON THE
BRISK SIDE THROUGH SATURDAY. VERY COLD TEMPERATURES WITH LOWS WITHIN
A FEW DEGREES OF ZERO FRIDAY NIGHT AND HIGHS STRUGGLING TO BREAK
INTO DOUBLE DIGITS ABOVE ZERO ON SATURDAY.
SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY...MEAN TROUGH CONTINUES TO BE ANCHORED
ACROSS THE CENTRAL STATES LEADING TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND
CHANCES FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE UPPER
TEENS AND 20S WITH LOWS RANGING FROM AROUND ZERO TO THE MIDDLE
TEENS.
SULLIVAN
&&
.APX...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER STORM WARNING...LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...
MIZ020>036-041-042.
WINTER STORM WARNING...THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY...
MIZ008-015>019.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 15, 3:45 PM EST, 57 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 345 PM EST WED FEB 15 2006 MIZ008-015>036-041-042-LSZ321-322-LMZ323-341-342-344-345- LHZ345>349-161100- ALCONA-ALPENA-ANTRIM-ARENAC-BENZIE-CHARLEVOIX-CHEBOYGAN-CHIPPEWA- CRAWFORD-EMMET-GLADWIN-GRAND TRAVERSE-IOSCO-KALKASKA-LEELANAU- MACKINAC-MANISTEE-MISSAUKEE-MONTMORENCY-OGEMAW-OSCODA-OTSEGO- PRESQUE ISLE-ROSCOMMON-WEXFORD...INCLUDING THE ADJACENT WATERS WITHIN FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE ON LAKE MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON...AND LAKE SUPERIOR 345 PM EST WED FEB 15 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER AND EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT A MAJOR WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN LATE TONIGHT AS SNOW SPREADS INTO THE REGION AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. THE SNOW MAY BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES. SEE ONGOING WARNINGS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY AS THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE PUSHES THROUGH LOWER MICHIGAN THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY SNOW WILL LIKELY IMPACT THE REGION LEADING TO NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. THE SNOW WILL MIX WITH FREEZING RAIN IN LOCATIONS SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM HARRISVILLE TO HOUGHTON LAKE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH SOME ICE ACCUMULATION EXPECTED. IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE... EXPECT SNOW SHOWERS...STRONG WINDS AND EXTENSIVE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ON FRIDAY. SEE ONGOING WARNINGS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. OVER THE WEEKEND...BOTH SATURDAY MORNING AND SUNDAY MORNING WILL SEE TEMPERATURES LOW ENOUGH AND WINDS STRONG ENOUGH TO LOWER THE WIND CHILLS TO THE 20 BELOW TO 15 BELOW ZERO RANGE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS PLEASE RELAY SNOWFALL REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. && MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING URL: HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD (ALL LOWER CASE) LUTZ/AJS/MLR
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in Michigan, 2006Every winter storm warning in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.