Alert archive / Michigan / Winter Storm Warnings in 2006
Winter Storm Warning 2, NWS Gaylord, MI
NWS Gaylord, MI issued this winter storm warning at Feb 4, 2006, 4:28 AM EST for 15 counties in Michigan. It took effect at Feb 4, 2006, 6:00 PM EST. It was in force for 22 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 4, 2006, 4:28 AM EST (09:28 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 4, 2006, 6:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Feb 5, 2006, 4:20 PM EST
- In force
- 22 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Gaylord, MI
Counties Alcona County, MI, Alpena County, MI, Antrim County, MI, Arenac County, MI, Cheboygan County, MI, Crawford County, MI, Emmet County, MI, Gladwin County, MI, Iosco County, MI, Montmorency County, MI, Ogemaw County, MI, Oscoda County, MI, Otsego County, MI, Presque Isle County, MI, Roscommon County, MI
The radar
The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 43 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 00:00Z, 9.5 hours before the alert went out and 146 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 776 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 24 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 18 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 35 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS43 KAPX 040928 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 428 AM EST SAT FEB 4 2006 ...SNOW AND WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN... .A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES TONIGHT...THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. HEAVY SNOW WILL DEVELOP TO THE WEST OF THIS SYSTEM...AND AFFECT LOCATIONS IN NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN. AS COOLER AIR FILTERS IN FROM THE NORTH...THE SNOW WILL BE ENHANCED BY LAKE HURON. IN ADDITION...WINDY CONDITIONS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY WILL PRODUCE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. WINDS MAY GUST UP TO 40 MPH TONIGHT...INTO SUNDAY MORNING. MIZ018-024-030-042330- /O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0003.060204T1700Z-060205T1700Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0002.060204T2300Z-060205T1700Z/ PRESQUE ISLE-ALPENA-ALCONA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...ALPENA...HARRISVILLE 428 AM EST SAT FEB 4 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM EST SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON...AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. STORM TOTALS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE BY NOON SUNDAY. THIS SNOW...COMBINED WITH WINDS GUSTING TO 40 MPH...WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO UNDER A HALF MILE AT TIMES OVERNIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY MORNING. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ017-022-023-028-029-034>036-041-042-042330- /O.NEW.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.060204T2300Z-060205T1700Z/ CHEBOYGAN-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW- IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEBOYGAN...GAYLORD...ATLANTA... GRAYLING...MIO...HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY... GLADWIN...STANDISH 428 AM EST SAT FEB 4 2006 ...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM EST SUNDAY. SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON...AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. SNOW AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH THE HIGHER AMOUNTS EAST OF I-75. THIS SNOW...COMBINED WITH WINDS GUSTING TO 40 MPH...WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO UNDER A MILE AT TIMES OVERNIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY MORNING. A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ KAS
10 follow-up statements
000 WWUS43 KAPX 041617 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1117 AM EST SAT FEB 4 2006 ...AN ABRUPT RETURN TO WINTER IN NORTHERN MICHIGAN... .LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM OHIO THIS AFTERNOON INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO BY TONIGHT. THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. WINDS MAY GUST UP TO 40 MPH...RESULTING IN CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE BY THIS EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN. MIZ018-024-030-042300- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.060204T2300Z-060205T1700Z/ PRESQUE ISLE-ALPENA-ALCONA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...ALPENA...HARRISVILLE 1117 AM EST SAT FEB 4 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM EST SUNDAY. A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW WILL CHANGE TO ALL SNOW BY TONIGHT...AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY. BY MIDDAY SUNDAY...FROM 6 TO 8 INCHES OF NEW SNOW WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS THE WARNING AREA. THE SNOW WILL COMBINE WITH WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH TO PRODUCE REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL EXTREMELY TREACHEROUS. $$ MIZ017-022-023-028-029-034>036-041-042-042300- /O.CON.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.060204T2300Z-060205T1700Z/ CHEBOYGAN-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW- IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEBOYGAN...GAYLORD...ATLANTA... GRAYLING...MIO...HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY... GLADWIN...STANDISH 1117 AM EST SAT FEB 4 2006 ...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM EST SUNDAY... A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM EST SUNDAY. SNOW WILL INCREASE IN INTENSITY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY. BY MIDDAY SUNDAY...UP TO 5 INCHES OF NEW SNOW WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. THE SNOW WILL COMBINE WITH WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH TO PRODUCE REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ SMITH
000 WWUS43 KAPX 041847 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 147 PM EST SAT FEB 4 2006 ...AN ABRUPT RETURN TO WINTER IN NORTHERN MICHIGAN... .LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM OHIO THIS AFTERNOON INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO BY TONIGHT. THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. WINDS MAY GUST UP TO 40 MPH...RESULTING IN CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE BY THIS EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN. MIZ023-029-035-036-042-042300- /O.UPG.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.060204T2300Z-060205T1700Z/ /O.EXA.KAPX.WS.W.0002.060204T2300Z-060205T1700Z/ MONTMORENCY-OSCODA-OGEMAW-IOSCO-ARENAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATLANTA...MIO...WEST BRANCH... TAWAS CITY...STANDISH 147 PM EST SAT FEB 4 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS UPGRADED THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY TO A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR PARTS OF NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN. THE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM EST SUNDAY. A MIX OF LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW WILL CHANGE TO ALL SNOW BY TONIGHT...AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY. BY MIDDAY SUNDAY...FROM 6 TO 8 INCHES OF NEW SNOW WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS THE WARNING AREA. THE SNOW WILL COMBINE WITH WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH TO PRODUCE REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL EXTREMELY TREACHEROUS. $$ MIZ018-024-030-042300- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.060204T2300Z-060205T1700Z/ PRESQUE ISLE-ALPENA-ALCONA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...ALPENA...HARRISVILLE 147 PM EST SAT FEB 4 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM EST SUNDAY. LIGHT RAIN WILL GRADUALLY CHANGE TO ALL SNOW BY TONIGHT...AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY. BY MIDDAY SUNDAY...FROM 6 TO 8 INCHES OF NEW SNOW WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS THE WARNING AREA. THE SNOW WILL COMBINE WITH WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH TO PRODUCE REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL EXTREMELY TREACHEROUS. $$ MIZ017-022-028-034-041-042300- /O.CON.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.060204T2300Z-060205T1700Z/ CHEBOYGAN-OTSEGO-CRAWFORD-ROSCOMMON-GLADWIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEBOYGAN...GAYLORD...GRAYLING... HOUGHTON LAKE...GLADWIN 147 PM EST SAT FEB 4 2006 ...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM EST SUNDAY... A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM EST SUNDAY. SNOW WILL INCREASE IN INTENSITY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY. BY MIDDAY SUNDAY...UP TO 5 INCHES OF NEW SNOW WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA...ESPECIALLY EAST OF I-75. THE SNOW WILL COMBINE WITH WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH TO PRODUCE REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ SMITH
000 WWUS43 KAPX 042117 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 417 PM EST SAT FEB 4 2006 ...AN ABRUPT RETURN TO WINTER IN NORTHERN MICHIGAN... .LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM OHIO THIS AFTERNOON INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO BY TONIGHT. THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. WINDS MAY GUST UP TO 40 MPH...RESULTING IN CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE BY THIS EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN. MIZ018-023-024-029-030-035-036-042-051100- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.060204T2300Z-060205T1700Z/ PRESQUE ISLE-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-OSCODA-ALCONA-OGEMAW-IOSCO-ARENAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...ATLANTA...ALPENA...MIO... HARRISVILLE...WEST BRANCH...OSCODA...STANDISH 417 PM EST SAT FEB 4 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY. A MIX OF LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW WILL CHANGE TO ALL SNOW BY TONIGHT... AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY. BY MIDDAY SUNDAY...FROM 6 TO 10 INCHES OF NEW SNOW WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS THE WARNING AREA. SNOW WILL COMBINE WITH WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH TO PRODUCE REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL EXTREMELY TREACHEROUS. $$ MIZ017-022-028-034-041-051100- /O.CON.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.060204T2300Z-060205T1700Z/ CHEBOYGAN-OTSEGO-CRAWFORD-ROSCOMMON-GLADWIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEBOYGAN...GAYLORD...GRAYLING... HOUGHTON LAKE...GLADWIN 417 PM EST SAT FEB 4 2006 ...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY... A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY. SNOW WILL INCREASE IN INTENSITY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY. BY MIDDAY SUNDAY...UP TO 6 INCHES OF NEW SNOW WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA...ESPECIALLY EAST OF I-75. SNOW WILL COMBINE WITH WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH TO PRODUCE REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ JPB
000 WWUS43 KAPX 050024 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 724 PM EST SAT FEB 4 2006 ...HAZARDOUS WINTER CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN... .LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO TONIGHT. THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. ALSO...GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. MIZ018-023-024-029-030-035-036-042-051100- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-060205T1700Z/ PRESQUE ISLE-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-OSCODA-ALCONA-OGEMAW-IOSCO-ARENAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...ATLANTA...ALPENA...MIO... HARRISVILLE...WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...STANDISH 724 PM EST SAT FEB 4 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY. SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. BY MIDDAY SUNDAY...6 TO 10 INCHES OF NEW SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE ACROSS THE WARNING AREA. SNOW WILL COMBINE WITH WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH TO PRODUCE REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL EXTREMELY TREACHEROUS. $$ MIZ017-022-028-034-041-051100- /O.CON.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-060205T1700Z/ CHEBOYGAN-OTSEGO-CRAWFORD-ROSCOMMON-GLADWIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEBOYGAN...GAYLORD...GRAYLING... HOUGHTON LAKE...GLADWIN 724 PM EST SAT FEB 4 2006 ...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY... A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY. SNOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. BY MIDDAY SUNDAY...UP TO 6 INCHES OF NEW SNOW WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA...ESPECIALLY EAST OF I-75. SNOW WILL COMBINE WITH WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH TO PRODUCE REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$
000 WWUS43 KAPX 050125 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 825 PM EST SAT FEB 4 2006 ...WINTER STORM CONTINUES ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN... .LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO TONIGHT. THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. ALSO...GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. MIZ018-023-024-029-030-035-036-042-051100- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-060205T1700Z/ PRESQUE ISLE-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-OSCODA-ALCONA-OGEMAW-IOSCO-ARENAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...ATLANTA...ALPENA...MIO... HARRISVILLE...WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...STANDISH 825 PM EST SAT FEB 4 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY. SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. BY MIDDAY SUNDAY...6 TO 10 INCHES OF NEW SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE ACROSS THE WARNING AREA. SNOW WILL COMBINE WITH WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH TO PRODUCE REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL EXTREMELY TREACHEROUS. $$ MIZ020-025-031-051100- /O.EXB.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-060205T1100Z/ LEELANAU-BENZIE-MANISTEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...MANISTEE 825 PM EST SAT FEB 4 2006 ...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY. SNOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT. BY EARLY SUNDAY...3 TO 4 INCHES OF NEW SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORELINE. SNOW WILL COMBINE WITH WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH TO PRODUCE AREAS OF POOR VISIBILITY AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ MIZ017-022-028-034-041-051100- /O.CON.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-060205T1700Z/ CHEBOYGAN-OTSEGO-CRAWFORD-ROSCOMMON-GLADWIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEBOYGAN...GAYLORD...GRAYLING... HOUGHTON LAKE...GLADWIN 825 PM EST SAT FEB 4 2006 ...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY... A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY. SNOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. BY MIDDAY SUNDAY...UP TO 6 INCHES OF NEW SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA... ESPECIALLY EAST OF I-75. SNOW WILL COMBINE WITH WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH TO PRODUCE PERIODS OF POOR VISIBILITY AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$
000 WWUS43 KAPX 050401 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1101 PM EST SAT FEB 4 2006 ...MAJOR WINTER STORM CONTINUES ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN... .STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH SOUTHERN ONTARIO OVERNIGHT. THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY. ALSO...GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. MIZ017-022-028-034-041-051100- /O.UPG.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-060205T1700Z/ /O.EXA.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-060205T1700Z/ CHEBOYGAN-OTSEGO-CRAWFORD-ROSCOMMON-GLADWIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEBOYGAN...GAYLORD...GRAYLING... HOUGHTON LAKE...GLADWIN 1101 PM EST SAT FEB 4 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY. THIS REPLACES THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY THAT WAS PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT. SNOW WILL CONTINUE...HEAVY AT TIMES...OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY. BY MIDDAY SUNDAY...STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATION WILL AVERAGE 6 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS THE WARNING AREA...WITH GREATEST AMOUNTS ALONG AND EAST OF I-75. SNOW WILL COMBINE WITH WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH TO PRODUCE POOR VISIBILITY...DRIFTING SNOW AND EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ018-023-024-029-030-035-036-042-051100- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-060205T1700Z/ PRESQUE ISLE-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-OSCODA-ALCONA-OGEMAW-IOSCO-ARENAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...ATLANTA...ALPENA...MIO... HARRISVILLE...WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...STANDISH 1101 PM EST SAT FEB 4 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST SUNDAY. SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. BY MIDDAY SUNDAY...STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WILL AVERAGE 6 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE WARNING AREA...WITH LOCALLY GREATER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. ALSO...SNOW WILL COMBINE WITH WIND GUSTS 35 TO 40 MPH TO PRODUCE POOR VISIBILITY...DRIFTING SNOW AND EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL EXTREMELY TREACHEROUS. $$ MIZ016-019-021-026-027-032-033-051100- /O.EXA.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-060205T1100Z/ EMMET-CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHARLEVOIX...MANCELONA... TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY 1101 PM EST SAT FEB 4 2006 ...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY. SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. TOTAL NIGHTTIME SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL AVERAGE 3 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. ALSO...SNOW WILL COMBINE WITH WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH TO PRODUCE AREAS OF POOR VISIBILITY AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ MIZ020-025-031-051100- /O.CON.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-060205T1100Z/ LEELANAU-BENZIE-MANISTEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...MANISTEE 1101 PM EST SAT FEB 4 2006 ...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY. SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. TOTAL NIGHTTIME SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL AVERAGE 3 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. ALSO...SNOW WILL COMBINE WITH WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH TO PRODUCE AREAS OF POOR VISIBILITY AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ SPR
000 WWUS43 KAPX 050948 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 448 AM EST SUN FEB 5 2006 ...WINTER STORM CONTINUES ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN... .STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH SOUTHERN ONTARIO THIS MORNING. THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. ALSO... GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW... RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. MIZ016-019-021-051700- /O.UPG.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-060205T1100Z/ /O.EXA.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-060205T1700Z/ EMMET-CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHARLEVOIX...MANCELONA 448 AM EST SUN FEB 5 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING. BY NOON TODAY...STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WILL AVERAGE 4 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS THE WARNING AREA...WITH LOCALLY GREATER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. ALSO...SNOW WILL COMBINE WITH WIND GUSTS 25 TO 35 MPH TO PRODUCE POOR VISIBILITY...DRIFTING SNOW AND EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ017-018-022>024-028>030-034>036-041-042-051700- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-060205T1700Z/ CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA- ALCONA-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY...GAYLORD... ATLANTA...ALPENA...GRAYLING...MIO...HARRISVILLE...HOUGHTON LAKE... WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH 448 AM EST SUN FEB 5 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING. BY NOON TODAY...STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WILL AVERAGE 4 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS THE WARNING AREA...WITH LOCALLY GREATER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. ALSO...SNOW WILL COMBINE WITH WIND GUSTS 30 TO 35 MPH TO PRODUCE POOR VISIBILITY...DRIFTING SNOW AND EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL EXTREMELY TREACHEROUS. $$ MIZ008-015-052300- /O.EXB.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.060205T1100Z-060205T2300Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE 448 AM EST SUN FEB 5 2006 ...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY ACROSS EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND GRADUALLY BECOME MORE FOCUSED NEAR US-123 LATE IN THE DAY AS LAKE EFFECT SNOW BEGINS. TOTAL DAYTIME SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL AVERAGE 2 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. ALSO...SNOW WILL COMBINE WITH WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH TO PRODUCE AREAS OF POOR VISIBILITY AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ MIZ020-025>027-031>033-052300- /O.EXT.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-060205T2300Z/ LEELANAU-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD- MISSAUKEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY... KALKASKA...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY 448 AM EST SUN FEB 5 2006 ...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD SNOW WILL SLOWLY COME TO AN END THIS MORNING ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. HOWEVER...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP BY MID AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. TOTAL DAYTIME SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL AVERAGE 3 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. ALSO...SNOW WILL COMBINE WITH WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH TO PRODUCE AREAS OF POOR VISIBILITY AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ KAS
000 WWUS43 KAPX 051011 CCA WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 448 AM EST SUN FEB 5 2006 ...WINTER STORM CONTINUES ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN... .STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH SOUTHERN ONTARIO THIS MORNING. THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. ALSO... GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW... RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. MIZ016-019-021-051700- /O.UPG.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-060205T1100Z/ /O.EXA.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-060205T1700Z/ EMMET-CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHARLEVOIX...MANCELONA 448 AM EST SUN FEB 5 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING. BY NOON TODAY...STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WILL AVERAGE 4 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS THE WARNING AREA...WITH LOCALLY GREATER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. ALSO...SNOW WILL COMBINE WITH WIND GUSTS 25 TO 35 MPH TO PRODUCE POOR VISIBILITY...DRIFTING SNOW AND EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ017-018-022>024-028>030-034>036-041-042-051700- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-060205T1700Z/ CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA- ALCONA-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY...GAYLORD... ATLANTA...ALPENA...GRAYLING...MIO...HARRISVILLE...HOUGHTON LAKE... WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH 448 AM EST SUN FEB 5 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING. BY NOON TODAY...STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WILL AVERAGE 4 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS THE WARNING AREA...WITH LOCALLY GREATER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. ALSO...SNOW WILL COMBINE WITH WIND GUSTS 30 TO 35 MPH TO PRODUCE POOR VISIBILITY...DRIFTING SNOW AND EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL EXTREMELY TREACHEROUS. $$ MIZ008-015-052300- /O.COR.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.060205T1100Z-060205T2300Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE 448 AM EST SUN FEB 5 2006 ...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY ACROSS EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND GRADUALLY BECOME MORE FOCUSED NEAR M-123 LATE IN THE DAY AS LAKE EFFECT SNOW BEGINS. TOTAL DAYTIME SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL AVERAGE 2 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. ALSO...SNOW WILL COMBINE WITH WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH TO PRODUCE AREAS OF POOR VISIBILITY AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ MIZ020-025>027-031>033-052300- /O.EXT.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-060205T2300Z/ LEELANAU-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD- MISSAUKEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY... KALKASKA...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY 448 AM EST SUN FEB 5 2006 ...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD SNOW WILL SLOWLY COME TO AN END THIS MORNING ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. HOWEVER...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP BY MID AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. TOTAL DAYTIME SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL AVERAGE 3 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. ALSO...SNOW WILL COMBINE WITH WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH TO PRODUCE AREAS OF POOR VISIBILITY AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ KAS
000 WWUS43 KAPX 051636 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1136 AM EST SUN FEB 5 2006 ...WINTER STORM CONTINUES ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN... .STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH SOUTHERN ONTARIO THIS AFTERNOON. THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. ALSO... GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW... RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. MIZ016-017-029-030-034>036-041-042-051745- /O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-060205T1700Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-OSCODA-ALCONA-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN- ARENAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...MIO... HARRISVILLE...HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY... GLADWIN...STANDISH 1136 AM EST SUN FEB 5 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WARNING. $$ MIZ018-019-021>024-028-052300- /O.EXT.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-060205T2300Z/ PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-CRAWFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...CHARLEVOIX...MANCELONA... GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA...GRAYLING 1136 AM EST SUN FEB 5 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON. TOTAL SNOWFALL TODAY WILL AVERAGE 4 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS THE WARNING AREA...WITH LOCALLY GREATER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. ALSO...SNOW WILL COMBINE WITH WIND GUSTS 25 TO 35 MPH TO PRODUCE POOR VISIBILITY...DRIFTING SNOW AND EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ020-025>027-031>033-052300- /O.CON.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-060205T2300Z/ LEELANAU-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD- MISSAUKEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY... KALKASKA...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY 1136 AM EST SUN FEB 5 2006 ...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD SNOW WILL SLOWLY COME TO AN END THIS MORNING ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. HOWEVER...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP BY MID AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. TOTAL DAYTIME SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL AVERAGE 3 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. ALSO...SNOW WILL COMBINE WITH WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH TO PRODUCE AREAS OF POOR VISIBILITY AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ MIZ008-015-052300- /O.CON.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-060205T2300Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE 1136 AM EST SUN FEB 5 2006 ...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY ACROSS EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND GRADUALLY BECOME MORE FOCUSED NEAR M-123 LATE IN THE DAY AS LAKE EFFECT SNOW BEGINS. TOTAL DAYTIME SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL AVERAGE 2 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. ALSO...SNOW WILL COMBINE WITH WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH TO PRODUCE AREAS OF POOR VISIBILITY AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ JL
000 WWUS43 KAPX 052120 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 420 PM EST SUN FEB 5 2006 ...ONE STORM DEPARTS...TO BE REPLACED BY LAKE EFFECT SNOWFALL... .STRONG LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER WESTERN QUEBEC PROVINCE WILL SLOWLY SPIN NORTHEAST OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS...WHILE CONTINUING TO DRAW COLD AIR ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. THIS WILL RESULT IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS OFF LAKES SUPERIOR AND MICHIGAN TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. NORTHWEST WINDS...GUSTING IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH TONIGHT...AND OVER 30 MPH MONDAY...WILL RESULT IN CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE NEW SNOW COVER...CREATING WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. MIZ019-021-022-028-061100- /O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-060205T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.LE.W.0001.060205T2120Z-060206T2300Z/ CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-CRAWFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...BELLAIRE...GAYLORD... GRAYLING 420 PM EST SUN FEB 5 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY. THIS REPLACES THE WINTER STORM WARNING THAT HAD BEEN IN EFFECT. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON OFF LAKE MICHIGAN. NEW SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WARNING AREA BY MONDAY EVENING. IN ADDITION...CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ018-023-024-061100- /O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-060205T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.SB.Y.0003.060205T2120Z-060206T1100Z/ PRESQUE ISLE-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...ATLANTA...ALPENA 420 PM EST SUN FEB 5 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY. THIS REPLACES THE WINTER STORM WARNING WHICH HAD PREVIOUSLY BEEN IN EFFECT. PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT...WITH ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. IN ADDITION...WIND GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ MIZ015-061100- /O.CAN.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-060205T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.LE.Y.0002.060205T2120Z-060206T1100Z/ MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST IGNACE 420 PM EST SUN FEB 5 2006 ...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY. THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. SNOW SHOWERS OFF OF LAKE SUPERIOR WILL BRING AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW TO WESTERN PORTIONS OF MACKINAC COUNTY TONIGHT. IN ADDITION...WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL RESULT IN CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. SLOW DOWN AND EXERCISE CAUTION IF TRAVELING. $$ MIZ025-031>033-052230- /O.CAN.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-060205T2300Z/ BENZIE-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRANKFORT...MANISTEE...CADILLAC... LAKE CITY 420 PM EST SUN FEB 5 2006 ...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY. $$ MIZ020-026-027-061100- /O.UPG.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-060205T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.LE.W.0001.060205T2120Z-060206T2300Z/ LEELANAU-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LELAND...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA 420 PM EST SUN FEB 5 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY. THIS REPLACES THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY WHICH HAD PREVIOUSLY BEEN IN EFFECT. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON OFF LAKE MICHIGAN. NEW SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WARNING AREA BY MONDAY EVENING. HEAVIEST IN ADDITION...WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WILL RESULT IN CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ008-061100- /O.UPG.KAPX.SB.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-060205T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.LE.W.0001.060205T2120Z-060206T2300Z/ CHIPPEWA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE MARIE 420 PM EST SUN FEB 5 2006 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY. THIS REPLACES THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY WHICH HAD PREVIOUSLY BEEN IN EFFECT. HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT AREAS ADJACENT TO WHITEFISH BAY THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. NEW SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED AROUND WHITEFISH POINT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS LOCALIZED HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. $$ MIZ016-017-061100- /O.NEW.KAPX.SB.Y.0003.060205T2120Z-060206T1100Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PELLSTON...CHEBOYGAN 420 PM EST SUN FEB 5 2006 ...SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY. PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT...WITH ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. IN ADDITION...WIND GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. $$ JPB
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Feb 4, 4:15 AM EST, 13 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 4, 4:15 AM EST, 13 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
415 AM EST SAT FEB 4 2006
.DISCUSSION...APX/GRB RADAR CONTINUING TO SHOW PRECIPITATION...
ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEFORMATION AXIS TO A WEAKENING SURFACE
LOW...AFFECTING AREAS NEAR NORTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN. THE BACK EDGE OF
THE PRECIPITATION IN NORTHERN LOWER IS CURRENTLY WORKING ITS WAY
ACROSS THE GAYLORD AND CHARLEVOIX AREAS...AND WILL CONTINUE SHIFTING
NORTHWARD THIS MORNING. THE DEFORMATION AXIS IS HOLDING NEARLY
STATIONARY ACROSS EASTERN WISCONSIN...INTO CENTRAL AND EASTERN UPPER
MICHIGAN...AND WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR SNOW SHOWERS TODAY.
IN THE MEAN TIME...CYCLOGENESIS IS KICKING INTO FULL GEAR IN THE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR RAPID
INTENSIFICATION OF A SURFACE LOW TODAY AND TONIGHT.
IN THE SHORT TERM...CONCERN WILL BE ON SNOW POTENTIAL ACROSS EASTERN
UPPER TODAY AS DEFORMATION AXIS CONTINUES TO SLOWLY DETERIORATE.
THE FOCUS THEN SHIFTS TO HEADLINE MANAGEMENT AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM...AND THE TIMING OF THE ONSET OF THE
PRECIPITATION LATER TODAY.
GFS AND NAM BOTH IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE STRENGTH
AND TRACK OF THE DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THE GFS HAS A SLIGHT MORE WESTERLY TRACK THAN
THE NAM...BUT THE DIFFERENCE IS NO MORE THAN 10 TO 20 MILES.
CONSIDERING THE DIFFERENCES IN THE MODELS OVER THE PAST MONTH...THIS
IS REALLY AN IMPROVEMENT. THE GFS STORM TRACK TAKES THE SURFACE LOW
UP ACROSS EASTERN OHIO...TO AROUND TORONTO IN SOUTHEAST ONTARIO BY
12Z ON SUNDAY.
TODAY...WILL GO WITH CATEGORICAL POPS ACROSS EASTERN UPPER
MICHIGAN...MAINLY TO THE WEST OF I-75...WITH THE DEFORMATION AXIS
CONTINUING TO SIT OVER THE AREA WITH A WEAK AREA OF ISENTROPIC
ACCENT AND Q VECTOR CONVERGENCE TO KEEP IT GOING A BIT LONGER. WILL
PUT IN AROUND 2 INCHES FOR TOTAL DAYTIME SNOW ACCUMULATIONS.
OTHERWISE...THERE IS SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS OCCASIONALLY SHOWING UP
TO THE SOUTH...AHEAD OF THE MAIN PRECIPITATION SHIELD OF THE
SYSTEM...SO WILL INCLUDE SCATTERED SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY FOR MUCH OF
NORTHERN LOWER FOR THE FIRST 2/3RDS OF THE DAY. BETTER FORCING AND
ISENTROPIC ACCENT WORK INTO NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN LATER IN THE
DAY. GFS BRINGS IN PRECIPITATION BY 18Z...WHILE THE ETA HOLDS OFF
UNTIL AFTER 21Z. WITH THE SURFACE LOW STILL DEVELOPING IN THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...DECIDED TO SLOW DOWN THE ONSET OF WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. ONCE THE SNOW STARTS...A QUICK
INCH OR TWO IS POSSIBLE BY 00Z.
TONIGHT...THE SNOW INCREASES IN INTENSITY AND COVERAGE AS THE
SURFACE LOW DEEPENS TO 980 MB. USING THE IMR TECHNIQUE WITH MIXING
RATIOS AROUND 2.5 AND ISENTROPIC ACCENT OCCURING FOR A GOOD 12
HOURS...WOULD EXPECT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS AROUND 5 INCHES...BUT WITH
INCREASING SHALLOW OVER LAKE INSTABILITY COULD EASILY SEE AN
ADDITIONAL 2 OR 3 INCHES ON TOP OF THAT ALONG THE LAKE HURON
SHORELINE. WINDS WILL ALSO BECOME A PROBLEM WITH 950 MB WINDS AROUND
35 KTS...SO COULD EASILY SEE GUSTS REACHING 35KTS. WITH THE SNOW AND
WINDS PLAYING A HUGE FACTOR...WILL ISSUE A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...AND ALCONA COUNTIES AS DANGEROUS CONDITIONS
WILL BE SEEN TONIGHT. SNOW AMOUNTS WILL TAPER OFF AS YOU GET AWAY
FROM THE SHORELINE AREAS...AND WILL GO WITH A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW
ADVISORY FOR ALL OTHER AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF I-75...AS WINDS WILL
BE HOWLING OUT OF THE NORTH AND WITH THE FALLING SNOW...VISIBILITIES
WILL BE REDUCED TO A MILE OR LESS CREATING HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
OVERNIGHT.
SUNDAY...LOW CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWARD INTO QUEBEC AND THEN
STALLS OUT LATE IN THE DAY. THERE WILL BE ENOUGH FORCING REMAINING
FOR THE MORNING HOURS...TO KEEP PRECIPITATION GOING THROUGH NOON. WE
THEN TRANSITION TO MORE PURE LAKE EFFECT SNOW. 900-700 MB RH IS
AROUND 90% FOR MOST OF THE DAY. THE ONLY REAL PROBLEM PREVENTING
LARGE SNOWFALL TOTALS WILL BE THE SHIFTING WINDS. 1000-850 MB WINDS
WILL BEGIN IN THE NORTH (350) SUNDAY MORNING...THEN SHIFT TO THE NW
(300) BY LATE AFTERNOON. INVERSION HEIGHTS REMAIN LOCKED IN AROUND
2KFT DURING THE DAY...BUT WITH STRONG WINDS AND DELTA TS 14 TO
16C...WE SHOULD SEE PLENTY OF LAKE EFFECT ACTIVITY TOMORROW. WITH
THE SHIFTING WINDS...THE SNOWFALL WILL BE SPREAD OUT ACROSS A LARGER
THAN NORMAL AREA...WITH SLIGHTLY LESSER AMOUNTS FOR ANY PARTICULAR
LOCATION.
KAS
SUNDAY NIGHT...STRONG LOW PRESSURE WORKS INTO WESTERN QUEBEC WITH
DEEP H9-H7 MOISTURE OVERHEAD. WINDS REMAIN STRONG WITH 15-25 MPH AND
GUSTS TO 30-35 MPH COMMON. 1000-850MB WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM NNW TO
NW-WNW OVERNIGHT. GFS AND NAM DISAGREE ON THE THERMAL REGIME...AND
THEIR DIFFERENCES WILL PLAY A SIGNIFICANT ROLE IN HOW MUCH LES WE
CAN GET. NAM IS WARMER AT H8 (-10 TO -12C) BUT IS SUFFICIENT FOR
LES. GFS IS IN A MORE PRIME REGIME (-15 TO -16C) FOR BETTER LES. DO
NOT HAVE ANY -DIVQ TO SPEAK OF...BUT PARAMETERS ARE IN PLACE FOR
LES. THIS IS A LIKELY SCENARIO. IT IS LIKELY FOR A MUCH LARGER AREA
AS LONG AS THE WINDS SHIFT LIKE THEY ARE ADVERTISED TO DO. HAVE
BUMPED CHANCES UP FOR A MUCH GREATER AREA...AND WILL LIKELY BE GOING
CATEGORICAL IN THE NEAR FUTURE. AMOUNTS...LIKE SAID...ARE TOUGH TO
DISCERN. WITH INVERSION HEIGHTS AROUND 5KFT WITH COLDER GFS...COULD
END UP SEEING ADVISORY TYPE SNOWS. NAM SUGGESTS 1-2 INCHES. SINCE
THERE ARE HEADLINE CONCERNS ONGOING...WILL PLAY A CONSERVATIVE ROLE
AND GO WITH AROUND 2 INCHES IN THE SNOWBELTS FOR NOW. NAM HAS BEEN
BETTER THERMALLY LATELY TOO...SO HAVE TO BEND ITS WAY SOMEWHAT.
MONDAY...GREATER THAN 75% RH IN THE H9-H7 LAYER REMAINS OVERHEAD. NO
-DIVQ...AND WINDS WEAKEN A BIT TO 25-30KTS AT 1000-850MB...BUT ARE
MORE LOCKED IN. TEMPS AT H8 MAY BE MODIFYING A TOUCH (1-2 DEGREES
WARMER). UNTIL BETTER DETAIL CAN BE HAD...WILL JUST GO WITH ANOTHER
1-2 INCHES OF SNOW. FURTHER REFINEMENTS WILL BE DONE IN LATER
FORECASTS.
MONDAY NIGHT ONWARD...LARGE UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO ENGULF THE NE
HALF OF THE CONUS...WHILE SEVERAL SHORTWAVES/CLIPPERS WILL DIVE INTO
THE GREAT LAKES. LAKE EFFECT WILL GRADUALLY DWINDLE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...BUT MAY NOT STOP (CONTINUE AS FLURRIES THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON). SO...WILL KEEP CHANCES FOR LES GOING THROUGH BY LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT. BEST CLIPPER SYSTEM INTO NEXT WEEKEND MAY BE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT BUT CANNOT GET TOO CUTE WITH TIMING/STRENGTH AT THIS
POINT. BEHIND THIS FEATURE HOWEVER...DOES LOOK LIKE WE WILL HAVE
SOME COLDER AIR THAT WILL POUR INTO THE AREA...CONSISTENT WITH
LATEST THINKING. WE MAY TAP INTO -20C TO -26C AIR AT H8 WHICH LOOKS
TO SIT OVER NW ONTARIO FRIDAY AFTERNOON. BETWEEN CLIPPER SYSTEMS AND
MARGINALLY COLD TO SUFFICIENT H8 AIR FOR LES...CHANCES FOR SNOW
SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE ENTIRE EXTENDED. READY FOR THE
REAL NRN MICHIGAN WINTER?...WE LOOK TO BE TRANSITIONING THAT
DIRECTION. SMD
&&
.APX...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER STORM WARNING...TONIGHT UNTIL SUNDAY AT
NOON...MIZ018-024-030.
SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY...TONIGHT UNTIL SUNDAY AT
NOON...MIZ017-022-023-028-029-034-035-036-041-042.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 3, 3:30 PM EST, 12 hours 58 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 330 PM EST FRI FEB 3 2006 MIZ008-015>036-041-042-LSZ321-322-LMZ323-341-342-344-345- LHZ345>349-041100- ALCONA-ALPENA-ANTRIM-ARENAC-BENZIE-CHARLEVOIX-CHEBOYGAN-CHIPPEWA- CRAWFORD-EMMET-GLADWIN-GRAND TRAVERSE-IOSCO-KALKASKA-LEELANAU- MACKINAC-MANISTEE-MISSAUKEE-MONTMORENCY-OGEMAW-OSCODA-OTSEGO- PRESQUE ISLE-ROSCOMMON-WEXFORD...INCLUDING THE ADJACENT WATERS WITHIN FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE ON LAKE MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON...AND LAKE SUPERIOR 330 PM EST FRI FEB 3 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER AND EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE IN PARTS OF NORTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY MORNING. IN ADDITION...WINDY CONDITIONS WILL PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. SEE ONGOING WATCHES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS COULD PRODUCE SOME ACCUMULATIONS SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. && MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING URL: HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD (ALL LOWER CASE) KAS/JZ
The office that day
Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 4:28 AM EST | Snow and Blowing Snow Advisory | APX | Antrim, Arenac, Benzie, Cheboygan, Crawford, Emmet and 13 more | 36 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in Michigan, 2006Every winter storm warning in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.