Severe Thunderstorm Warning 83, NWS Amarillo, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
313 PM CDT FRI JUN 16 2006

.DISCUSSION...
ABUNDANT MID AND HIGH CLOUDS KEPT TEMPS DOWN FOR MOST OF THE
DAY...HOWEVER DAYTIME HEATING HAS FINALLY BROKEN THE CAP ALONG THE
DRYLINE WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING FROM
CANYON TO BORGER. THIS ACTIVITY IS ALL BEING CREATED FROM AN
UNSEASONABLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE ROCKIES THAT IS
SLOWLY MOVING EAST. DIFFLUENCE AHEAD OF THE TROUGH WILL KEEP THE
THUNDERSTORMS GOING PAST MIDNIGHT IN THE EASTERN PANHANDLES. THERE
MAY BE A SECONDARY AREA OF DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE LOW CENTER AS IT
TRACKS ACROSS THE OKLAHOMA AND NORTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
TOMORROW...THUS HAVE CONTINUED SLT CHC POPS SATURDAY. THE UPPER LOW
WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT INTO THE AREA WHICH WILL COOL TEMPS OFF
SLIGHTLY OVER THE WEEKEND.

UNFORTUNATELY THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD PROMISES A RETURN
OF HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS AS AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH BUILDS INTO NEW
MEXICO AND THE PANHANDLES. AT THIS POINT IT APPEARS WINDS SHOULD NOT
GET HIGH ENOUGH TO WARRANT THE ISSUANCE OF ANY FIRE WEATHER PRODUCTS.

HENNIG

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                63  86  62  90 /  50  20  20   0
BEAVER OK                  65  84  62  91 /  70  20  20   0
BOISE CITY OK              58  83  60  89 /  40  20  20   0
BORGER TX                  63  85  66  93 /  60  20  20   0
BOYS RANCH TX              63  90  62  95 /  40  20  20   0
CANYON TX                  63  89  59  92 /  50  20  20   0
CLARENDON TX               65  82  65  92 /  70  30  20   0
DALHART TX                 58  86  61  91 /  40  20  20   0
GUYMON OK                  63  86  62  92 /  50  20  20   0
HEREFORD TX                62  89  60  91 /  40  20  20   0
LIPSCOMB TX                65  83  62  90 /  70  20  20   0
PAMPA TX                   62  84  65  88 /  70  20  20   0
SHAMROCK TX                66  87  67  92 /  70  30  20   0
WELLINGTON TX              69  87  68  94 /  70  30  20   0

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

11/10

TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
314 PM CDT FRI JUN 16 2006

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-171100-
ARMSTRONG-BEAVER-CARSON-CIMARRON-COLLINGSWORTH-DALLAM-DEAF SMITH-
DONLEY-GRAY-HANSFORD-HARTLEY-HEMPHILL-HUTCHINSON-LIPSCOMB-MOORE-
OCHILTREE-OLDHAM-POTTER-RANDALL-ROBERTS-SHERMAN-TEXAS-WHEELER-
314 PM CDT FRI JUN 16 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
NUMBER 489 FOR THE WESTERN OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE UNTIL 7 PM CDT.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ISSUED A TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 492 FOR
THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES UNTIL 9 PM
CDT.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS THE OKLAHOMA AND NORTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLES. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
THE REMAINDER OF THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH TONIGHT. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS...ALTHOUGH ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER THE
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLES.

IN ADDITION...CAUTION IS ADVISED ON AREA LAKES THROUGH THE REST OF
TONIGHT DUE TO SOUTH WINDS IN THE 20 TO 30 MPH RANGE WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE HIGH WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL INCREASE THE
FIRE DANGER THIS AFTERNOON ONCE AGAIN. LIGHTNING IGNITED FIRES MAY
ALSO OCCUR AND SPREAD RAPIDLY DUE TO THE STRONG WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON SATURDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT. THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW
SEVERE LEVELS AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS SHOULD REMAIN
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE ACTIVATION TODAY.

SCHNEIDER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
138 PM CDT FRI JUN 16 2006

OKZ001-161945-
CIMARRON-
138 PM CDT FRI JUN 16 2006

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN CIMARRON COUNTY...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED IN CIMARRON COUNTY...NEAR BLACK
MESA STATE PARK AT 135 PM CDT...MOVING NORTH NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THE
STORMS WILL AFFECT BLACK MESA STATE PARK AND THE KENTON AREA BETWEEN
145 PM AND 215 PM.

ONE QUARTER INCH SIZE HAIL AND WINDS AROUND 45 TO 55 MPH ARE LIKELY
WITH THIS STORM.

PEOPLE IN CIMARRON COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION
CLOSELY...LISTEN FOR WARNINGS AND REMAIN ALERT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

SCHNEIDER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
235 PM CDT FRI JUN 16 2006

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0220 PM     TSTM WND GST     15 NW BOISE CITY        36.88N 102.70W
06/16/2006  E60 MPH          CIMARRON           OK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            4 INCH DIAMETER TREE LIMBS BROKEN

&&

JOHNSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
347 PM CDT FRI JUN 16 2006

OKZ001-162145-
CIMARRON-
347 PM CDT FRI JUN 16 2006

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN CIMARRON COUNTY...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED IN CIMARRON COUNTY...JUST WEST OF
KEYES AND GRIGGS AT 345 PM CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. THE
STORM WILL AFFECT KEYES AND GRIGGS BETWEEN 400 PM AND 430 PM.

ONE QUARTER INCH SIZE HAIL AND WINDS AROUND 45 TO 55 MPH ARE LIKELY
WITH THIS STORM.

PEOPLE IN CIMARRON COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION
CLOSELY...LISTEN FOR WARNINGS AND REMAIN ALERT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

SCHNEIDER

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