Flash Flood Warning 14, NWS Wakefield, VA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
336 PM EDT THU JUN 29 2006

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SCTD TSRAS DEVELOPING THIS AFTN NR THE CST ALNG LINGERING FRNTL
BNDRY OR SEA BREEZE BNDRY...WITH SCTD SHRAS (SO FAR) APPROACHING
NW/NRN CNTIES. WITH UPR TROF YET TO PUSH ACRS THE AREA THIS EVENG
AND ERLY TNGT...WILL HAVE 40 POPS ERN ZNS AND 30 POPS WRN ZNS. ANY
TSRA THIS EVENG CUD PRODUCE LARGE HAIL OR DAMAGING WNDS. UPR
TROF/FRNTL BNDRY PUSH OFFSHR LATER TNGT...WITH DRIER AIRMASS
FILTERING INTO ENTIRE REGION FOR OVRNGT INTO FRI. HI PRES BLDS OVR
THE AREA THEN OFF THE CST FOR FRI THRU SAT. MSTLY SNY BOTH DAYS
WITH MAX TEMPS IN THE MID 80S TO NR 90 FRI...AND IN THE UPR 80S TO
LWR 90S SAT. MORE HUMID AND UNCOMFORTABLE ON SAT.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
HI PRES OFF THE MID ATLC CST WILL MAINTAIN PRTLY SNY AND HOT CONDS
FOR SUN AND MON. A FRNTL BNDRY WILL THEN DROP INTO THE AREA AND
BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY FOR LATER MON INTO AT LEAST ERLY THU
(ESPLY OVR SRN ZNS). WEAK WAVES ALNG THE BNDRY WILL HELP TO
TRIGGER SCTD SHRAS AND TSRAS ACRS THE REGION. NOT AS HOT TUE THRU
THU DUE TO MORE CLDS AND POSSIBILITY OF PCPN.

&&

.MARINE...
SFC BNDRY WILL PUSH THRU THE MARINE AREA TNGT WITH A BRIEF NW TO N
WIND SURGE BUT EXPECT SPEEDS WILL REMAIN 15KT OR LESS THRU FRI MORN.
WINDS BECOME LIGHT/VRBL FRI AFTN AND INTO FRI NIGHT AS WEAK PRES
GRADIENT SETS IN. SW WINDS WILL PICK UP BOTH SAT AND SUN AFTNS AS
PRES GRADIENT SQUEEZES BTWN OFFSHORE HIGH PRES AND LEESIDE TROF
DEVELOPMENT BUT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...
OTHER THAN IFR/MVFR CONDS INVOF TSTMS...MAINLY VFR NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAY BE PERIOD OF LIGHT BR (MVFR VSBY) AT SBY TNGT BEFORE SFC FROPA
MIXES BNDRY LAYER AND HELPS DISSIPATE FOG DURING EARLY MORN HOURS.

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
NC...NONE.
VA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM/LONG TERM...GINGRICH
AVIATION/MARINE...CULLEN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
552 AM EDT THU JUN 29 2006

MDZ021>025-NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ049-060-063>068-072>100-
301000-
DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES-
NORTHAMPTON NC-HERTFORD-GATES-PASQUOTANK-CAMDEN-INLAND CURRITUCK-
BERTIE-CHOWAN-PERQUIMANS-OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-LOUISA-
PRINCE EDWARD-HANOVER-CAROLINE-MECKLENBURG-LUNENBURG-NOTTOWAY-
AMELIA-KING WILLIAM-KING AND QUEEN-ESSEX-WESTMORELAND-RICHMOND-
NORTHUMBERLAND-LANCASTER-BRUNSWICK-DINWIDDIE-PRINCE GEORGE-
CHARLES CITY-NEW KENT-GLOUCESTER-MIDDLESEX-MATHEWS-GREENSVILLE-
SUSSEX-SURRY-JAMES CITY-YORK-SOUTHAMPTON-ISLE OF WIGHT-
NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON-NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-SUFFOLK-CHESAPEAKE-
VIRGINIA BEACH-ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA-
552 AM EDT THU JUN 29 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MARYLAND...NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...EAST
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH...AND/OR LARGE HAIL WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. FOR MORE DETAILS...REFER TO
THE SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...WBCSPSAKQ OR WWUS81 KAKQ.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT ANTICIPATED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVIATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

ANZ630>633-650-652-654-656-658-670-301000-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA-
CURRITUCK SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
20 NM-
WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC FROM
20 TO 40 NM-
552 AM EDT THU JUN 29 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
CHESAPEAKE BAY...SOUTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE MID ATLANTIC
COASTAL WATERS...CURRITUCK SOUND AND THE MID ATLANTIC OFFSHORE
WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS...AND HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. MARINERS ARE URGED TO MONITOR THEIR
WEATHER RADIOS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVIATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

VAZ048-061-062-069>071-301000-
FLUVANNA-CUMBERLAND-GOOCHLAND-POWHATAN-CHESTERFIELD-HENRICO-
552 AM EDT THU JUN 29 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
VIRGINIA AND SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH...AND/OR LARGE HAIL WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. FOR MORE DETAILS...REFER TO
THE SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...WBCSPSAKQ OR WWUS81 KAKQ.
ALSO...RIVER FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FORECAST FOR THE JAMES
RIVER...NEAR CARTERVILLE AND RICHMOND...AND PERHAPS AT OTHER
NON-GAUGED SITES. FOR MORE DETAILS...REFER TO WBCFLSAKQ OR WGUS81 AKQ.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVIATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

DR

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
437 PM EDT THU JUN 29 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0325 PM     HAIL             BELCROSS                36.35N 76.16W
06/29/2006  E0.75 INCH       CAMDEN             NC   PUBLIC

&&

BCULLEN