Wind Advisory 20, NWS Fairbanks, AK

000 
WWAK72 PAFG 170739
NPWWCZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1039 PM AST THU NOV 16 2006

AKZ217-170845-
/X.CAN.PAFG.WI.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-061117T0800Z/
UPPER KOBUK AND NOATAK VALLEYS-
INCLUDING...AMBLER...SHUNGNAK...KOBUK
1039 PM AST THU NOV 16 2006

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

$$

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
236 PM AST THU NOV 16 2006

.DISCUSSION...

UPPER AIR: HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL DRIFT
SOUTH DURING THE WEEKEND. RIDGE EXTENDING NORTH OVER EASTERN
RUSSIA TO THE ARCTIC OCEAN WILL BE FORCED EAST AS LOW MOVES NORTH
OF CENTRAL RUSSIA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON A
NARROW RIDGE WILL BE OVER THE ARCTIC OCEAN FROM THE CHUKCHI SEA
AND NORTHEAST OVER THE ARCTIC OCEAN. THE NARROW RIDGE WILL WIDEN
WESTWARD AS THE LOW WEAKENS AND MOVES WEST. ANOTHER LOW WILL
DEVELOP OVER EASTERN RUSSIA SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND MOVE ACROSS THE
SEWARD PENINSULA SUNDAY NIGHT. RIDGE OVER THE BERING SEA WILL
REBOUND ON MONDAY AS THE LOW DISSIPATES IN THE NORTH FLOW ON THE
EAST SIDE OF THE RIDGE. OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA...LOW
PRESSURE WILL PERSIST.

SURFACE: PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH OVER THE ARCTIC OCEAN AND
LOW OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA WILL WEAKEN CONSIDERABLY
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDING SOUTH FROM LOW TO THE
NORTH OF CENTRAL RUSSIA WILL MOVE EAST AND REACH THE CHUKCHI SEA
AND BERING STRAIT AT MID DAY ON FRIDAY. THE TROUGH WILL DISSIPATE
SATURDAY AS IT IS REPLACED BY WEAK RIDGE. ANOTHER LOW WILL DEVELOP
OVER EASTERN RUSSIA ON SUNDAY AND MOVE EAST TO THE BERING STRAIT
SUNDAY NIGHT. THE LOW WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE YUKON DELTA BY
MONDAY EVENING.

NORTH SLOPE: A TROUGH MOVING EAST ACROSS THE CHUKCHI SEA WILL
BRING A FEW FLURRIES TO THE WESTERN ARCTIC COAST FRIDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. FLURRIES SHOULD END SATURDAY AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS. OTHERWISE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE ARCTIC OCEAN WILL
PREVENT MOST ANY PRECIPITATION THROUGH SUNDAY. ANOTHER LOW OVER
EASTERN RUSSIA SUNDAY WILL MOVE EAST AND BRING LIGHT TO MODERATE
SOUTHEAST WINDS TO THE WESTERN ARCTIC COAST SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY...BUT LIKELY NO SNOW. HIGH PRESSURE WILL AGAIN TAKE CONTROL
AND PERSIST AT LEAST TO MID WEEK.

WEST COAST: A FEW FLURRIES MAY DEVELOP OVER THE SEWARD PENINSULA
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS TROUGH MOVES EAST INTO THAT AREA. ANY FLURRIES
WILL END SATURDAY AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS. ANOTHER LOW WILL
DEVELOP OVER EASTERN RUSSIA SUNDAY AND POSSIBLY SPREAD LIGHT SNOW
ACROSS THE BERING STRAIT AND SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND AND THEN TO THE
REST OF THE WEST COAST SUNDAY NIGHT. ANY PRECIPITATION SHOULD END
BY MONDAY EVENING AS HIGH BUILDS.

INTERIOR: TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH CENTERED OVER THE
ARCTIC OCEAN AND LOW OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA WILL RAPIDLY
LOOSEN TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. THE ADVISORIES FOR THE ALASKA RANGE
WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT...BUT THE OTHER ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN
DISCONTINUED. THE BLIZZARD WARNING FOR ATIGUN PASS HAS BEEN
REDUCED TO A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. ALL ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY
BE ENDED BY SATURDAY MORNING. A LONG PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER WITH
RATHER WEAK WINDS WILL FOLLOW INTO MID WEEK. SOMEWHAT BREEZY
CONDITIONS MAY CONTINUE OVER THE ALASKA RANGE AS LOW PRESSURE OVER
THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA PERSIST.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR AKZ225.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ218-AKZ226.

HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ225-PKZ230.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ225-PKZ230.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ235.
&&

DA NOV 06