Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2006

Gale Warning 63, NWS Fairbanks, AK

October 2, 2006

NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this gale warning at Oct 2, 2006, 9:48 PM AKDT. It was in force for 34 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 2, 2006, 9:48 PM AKDT (05:48 UTC)
Expired
Oct 4, 2006, 7:35 AM AKDT
In force
34 hr
Issued by
NWS Fairbanks, AK

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Oct 2, 9:22 AM AKDT, 12 hours 26 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 2, 9:22 AM AKDT, 12 hours 26 minutes before
NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
222 PM ADT MON OCT 2 2006

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS APPEAR TO HAVE INITIALIZED WELL ON THE
STRUCTURE OF THE COMPLEX LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN
BERING AND THE ALEUTIANS WITH CENTERS NEAR 52N/170E...
51N/170W...59N/162W...58N/175W.

AT 18Z...NAM AND GFS ARE CLOSE ON THE CENTRAL
PRESSURE...992 MB...OF THE DEVELOPING LOW ABOUT
100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DUTCH HARBOR. GFS IS VERIFYING
BETTER THAN THE NAM ON THE POSITION...MOVING THE
LOW FASTER.

BY 12Z TUESDAY...CONSENSUS OF THE MODEL
RUNS PUTS THE LOW NEAR 58N/165W WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 982-985 MB.

BY 12Z WEDNESDAY...LOW CENTER IS PROGGED JUST EAST OF
CAPE ROMANZOF WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 977-980 MB. THERE
IS GOOD CONSENSUS BETWEEN THE GFS/ECMWF/UKMET ON THE LOW
POSITION AND CENTRAL PRESSURE. THE NAM IS CONSIDERABLY
WEAKER...AROUND 990 MB. AS THIS LOW DEEPENS IT WILL ABSORB
THE OTHER CENTERS IN THIS COMPLEX LOW SYSTEM AS THEY WEAKEN.
WE WILL GO WITH THE GFS MODEL FOR TODAYS FORECAST PACKAGE...
AND RECENT RUNS OF THE GFS HAVE SHOWN GOOD CONTINUITY ON THE
HANDLING OF THIS DEVELOPING LOW.

WINDS TO 30 KT OVER PKZ210 TONIGHT WILL EXPAND TO
THE OUTER WATERS OF PKZ220 AND PKZ225 TUESDAY...AND TO
PKZ230-235-240-245 TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS MAY REACH 35 KT IN SOME
AREAS WEST OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND IN PKZ210...BUT 30 KT IS
EXPECTED TO BE THE PREDOMINANT SPEED OVER MOST OF THAT ZONE.
EASTERLIES TO 35 KT ARE EXPECTED IN PKZ235-PKZ240-PKZ245
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH THE HIGHEST SPEEDS WELL OFFSHORE.

SOUTHERLY GAP WINDS ARE ALREADY IN PROGRESS IN ALASKA RANGE
PASSES...SEVERAL SITES IN THE FORT GREELY MESONET ARE REPORTING
GUSTS TO 40-50 MPH. MAXIMUM GUSTS TO 70 MPH ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY NIGHT WHEN THE GAP WINDS ARE REINFORCED
BY A BURST OF SOUTHERLY JETSTREAM ENERGY ALOFT. THE DELTA
JUNCTION AREA MAY EXPERIENCE GUSTS TO 55 MPH TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
TUESDAY NIGHT.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAY 3 AND 4...NONE.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
HUMIDITIES ARE NOT EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW 40 PERCENT IN THE
UPCOMING CHINOOK EVENT...SO A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOT NEEDED.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...NIL.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH WIND WATCH FOR AKZ225-AKZ226.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225.
&&

RF OCT 06

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 2, 4:59 PM AKDTWind AdvisoryAFG31 hr
Oct 2, 9:48 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFG4 days
Oct 2, 11:15 PM AKDTHigh Wind WarningAFG29 hr
Oct 3, 1:57 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFG7 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2006Every gale warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.