Brisk Wind Advisory 39, NWS Fairbanks, AK

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
128 PM AST MON FEB 13 2006

.DISCUSSION...

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT TODAY. THE LOW OVER THE NORTHWEST
PORTION OF NORTHERN CANADA AND NORTHEASTERN ALASKA IS RAPIDLY
MOVING EASTWARD AND FILLING. THE WEAK COLD FRONT THAT HAS PASSED
THROUGH THE INTERIOR AND SPREAD VARIOUS AMOUNTS OF SNOWFALL OVER
THE AREA. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS RESONATED NORTH OF
FAIRBANKS WHERE CHATANIKA LED THE WAY WITH MORE THAN 9 INCHES. THE
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS AROUND THE FAIRBANKS METRO AREA VARIED MOSTLY
BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES.

UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AND SURFACE RIDGE BOTH BUILD BACK IN OVER THE
EASTERN TWO THIRDS OF THE STATE BY THIS EVENING. THE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE AXIS REMAINS IN TACT AND SHIFTS TO NEAR THE ALCAN BORDER BY
WEDNESDAY AS A SERIES OF BERING SEA STORMS MOVE THROUGH THE AREA.
THE STRONG SOUTH FLOW OVER THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE STATE WILL
TRANSPORT MOISTURE INTO THAT PART OF THE STATE THROUGHOUT THE WEEK
WHICH WILL PRODUCE PERIODIC SNOWFALL. SNOW FALL SHOULD BEGIN ALONG
MOST AREAS FROM THE SEWARD PENINSULA NORTHWARD LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND THIS EVENING. THE 850 THICKNESS STAY SUFFICIENTLY LOW ENOUGH
TO ENSURE THAT MOST ALL OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE SNOW.

LONGER RANGE PROGS SHOW THAT THE RIDGE IN THE PACIFIC WILL REMAIN
FIRMLY INTACT AND BECOME MORE ROUND TOP BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

WINDS ALONG THE WEST COAST WILL DIMINISH SIGNIFICANTLY ON TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL PICK UP IN THE EASTERN ARCTIC BY WEDNESDAY
EVENING.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH WIND WATCH FOR AKZ201.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ220.

HIGH WIND WARNING FOR AKZ207-AKZ208-AKZ209-AKZ210-AKZ211-AKZ212-
AKZ213-AKZ214.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ225-PKZ230.
&&

CF FEB 06