Brisk Wind Advisory 37, NWS Fairbanks, AK

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
210 PM AST FRI FEB 10 2006

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH THE HIGH
AMPLITUDE RIDGE OVER CANADA BEING SUPPRESSED AS A STRONG LOW TRACKS
INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA AND EVENTUALLY LIFTS NORTH INTO MAINLAND
ALASKA. MEDIUM RANGE MODELS BEGIN TO DIVERGE AFTER MONDAY AND VARY
CONSIDERABLY LATER NEXT WEEK. GFS MODEL INDICATES A BLOCKING HIGH
DEVELOPING OVER ALASKA WHILE ECMWF/UKMET SOLUTIONS PREFER MORE
SOUTHWESTERLY OR ZONAL FLOW ACROSS THE STATE.

IN THE SHORTER TERM...LOW PRESSURE IN THE BERING SEA WILL MOVE
NORTHWARD AND CONTINUE TO SPREAD SNOW AND WINDS INTO WESTERN
ALASKA. AS THE ASSOCIATED FRONT LIFTS NORTH IT WILL ALSO BRING SOME
SNOW TO THE BROOKS RANGE OVERNIGHT. STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW ACROSS
THE ALASKA RANGE WILL KEEP THE EASTERN INTERIOR DRY AND RELATIVELY
MILD IN MOST PLACES...AS TEMPERATURES IN THE CENTRAL TANANA VALLEY
HAVE ALREADY SOARED ABOVE FREEZING THIS AFTERNOON. A TIGHTENING
PRESSURE GRADIENT THIS EVENING ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST WILL BRING
INCREASING WINDS AND AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW...WITH BLIZARD
CONDITIONS IN THE WESTERN ARCTIC. AS THE LOW PULLS BACK TOWARD THE
CHUKOTSK PENINSULA SATURDAY...WINDS AND SNOW WILL DIMINISH ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FOR AKZ223-AKZ225.

BLIZZARD WARNING FOR AKZ201.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ225-PKZ230.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225-
PKZ230-PKZ235-PKZ240-PKZ245.
&&

EWP FEB 06