Brisk Wind Advisory 25, NWS Fairbanks, AK

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
611 AM AST SAT FEB 4 2006

.DISCUSSION...
THE LOW THAT WAS OVER THE YUKON DELTA AT THIS TIME FRI IS NOW
NORTH OF BARROW AND MOVING OUT OF THE PICTURE. AN OLD WEATHER
FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW LIES FROM ABOUT ARCTIC VILLAGE TO
GALENA AND WESTWARD OVER NORTON SOUND. IT IS MOVING NORTH FAIRLY
RAPIDLY NOW AHEAD OF THE NEXT LOW...BUT WILL LIKELY BECOME
STATIONARY OVER THE SOUTHERN CHUKCHI SEA AND THE NORTHERN SLOPES
OF THE BROOKS RANGE THIS EVENING. PROBABLY A LITTLE SNOW LEFT FROM
THIS ONE... BUT THE MAIN EVENT IS FARTHER SOUTH.

A 965 MB LOW NEAR DUTCH HARBOR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE RAPIDLY NORTH
TODAY...TO BE JUST EAST OF SAINT PAUL ISLAND AT 3PM. IT WILL
DECELERATE THEREAFTER...CENTERING BETWEEN SAINT PAUL ISLAND AND
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND AT 3PM SUN. THE OCCLUDED FRONT HAS JUST MOVED
THROUGH COLD BAY. A SERIES OF SHORT WAVES ON THE FRONT OVER THE
WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA ARE TAKING A LOT OF THE ENERGY IN THIS
SYSTEM FARTHER EAST INTO THE GULF...ULTIMATELY TO FURTHER ENRICH
THE LIVES OF THE FOLKS ON KODIAK ISLAND AND THE NORTH GULF COAST.
RISING HEIGHTS OVER THE INTERIOR AHEAD OF THESE WAVES WILL PREVENT
THE FRONT FROM HAVING MUCH IMPACT THERE...BUT WE EXPECT THE FRONT
TO MOVE UP THE WEST COAST AT LEAST...ASHORE OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA
THIS AFTERNOON...REACHING NORTON SOUND THIS EVENING...AND NORTHWEST
ALASKA EARLY SUN.

ANOTHER POWERFUL LOW IN THIS SERIES WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN
GULF SUN AFTERNOON...NEAR KODIAK ISLAND MON MORNING...AND LIFTING
OUT OVER THE WESTERN INTERIOR MON AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR AKZ202.

WINTER STORM WATCH FOR AKZ225-AKZ226.

WINTER STORM WARNING FOR AKZ211-AKZ212-AKZ213-AKZ214.

WIND CHILL WARNING FOR AKZ213.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ219-AKZ221.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ210.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ220.
&&

DJH FEB 06