Brisk Wind Advisory 10, NWS Fairbanks, AK

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
218 PM AST SAT JAN 7 2006

CORRECTED WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES LIST

.DISCUSSION...
ALOFT...RIDGE OVER AK FROM WESTERN CANADA WILL BREAK DOWN MONDAY
OVER THE STATE AS A LOW IN THE NORTH PACIFIC MOVES NORTHEAST
OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA. AHEAD OF THIS LOW A WEAK TROUGH NEAR THE
GULF OF ALASKA COAST WILL DRIFT NORTH OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY
PROVIDING SOME WEAK SOUTH FLOW TEMPORARILY TO THE SOUTHERN
INTERIOR. LONG WAVE TROUGH OVER BERING AND CHUKCHI SEA THEN
EXPANDS EAST SLOWLY. A TROUGH NORTH OF THE ARCTIC COAST DRIFT
SOUTH TO THE COAST MONDAY. A LOW NEAR THE PRIBILOFS CURVES NE
APPROACHING NUNIVAK ISLAND WED AM...ASSOCIATED TROUGH MOVES NORTH
OVER YUKON DELTA TUE.

SURFACE...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING OVER THE NORTHERN PORTION WILL
GENERALLY PERSIST BUT A WEAK TROUGH WILL MOVE SOUTH ONTO THE
ARCTIC COAST MONDAY AFTERNOON. 968 MB LOW IN NORTH PACIFIC WILL
MOVE TO NORTHEASTERN GULF OF ALASKA MON AFTERNOON AND WEAKEN TO
976 MB. MODERATE PRESSURE GRADIENT PERSISTING OVER WEST COAST.

MODELS...PREFER GFS OVER ETA IN TREATMENT OF NORTH PACIFIC
LOW...KEEPING IT 6-8 MB DEEPER. EXPECT GRADUAL COOLING TREND ALL
OF NORTHERN AK MON THROUGH TUE AS LOW MOVES NORTHEAST INTO GULF OF
ALASKA AND FLOW ALOFT DROPS TO NEAR NOTHING...BOTH US AND EUROPEAN
MODELS AGREE ON THIS.

NORTH SLOPE...THE BAND OF STRATUS FROM THE EASTERN COAST TO POINT
LAY BUT SOUTH OF BARROW IS SOMEWHAT PERSISTENT TODAY BUT EXPECT A
SHRINKING OF IT OVER NEXT 24 HOURS IN ADVANCE OF WEAK TROUGH
DROPPING SOUTH TO COAST ON MONDAY..WHICH SHOULD BRING ANOTHER
BATCH OF STRATUS TO THE NORTH SLOPE. WINDS REMAINING LIGHT.

WESTERN ALASKA...WINDY CONDITIONS CONTINUING ESPECIALLY WESTERN
AREAS. LITTLE IF ANY PRECIP UNTIL LOW MOVING TOWARD NUNIVAK
ISLAND SPREADS A CHANCE OF SNOW NORTH FOR ZONES 214 AND EASTERN 215
MON NIGHT...AND INTO 211-213 ON TUE.

CENTRAL/EASTERN INTERIOR...WEAK SOUTHERLY FLOW THROUGH MONDAY WILL
CONTINUE TO PROVIDE OCCASIONAL CLOUDS BUT NO PRECIPITATION. LIGHT
NORTHEAST WIND FLOW NORTH OF ALASKA RANGE WILL INCREASE OVER HILLS
TONIGHT AND TURN TO NORTHWEST THROUGH MONDAY AS SURFACE LOW MOVES
NORTHEAST IN THE GULF OF ALASKA. SOUTH WINDS THROUGH ALASKA RANGE
PASSES THROUGH MONDAY WILL REMAIN LIGHT. VALLEY INVERSIONS SHOULD
WEAKEN THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS COLDER AIR FROM NORTH SLOWLY MOVES IN.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GALE WARNING FOR PKZ210.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ220-PKZ225.
&&

JL JAN 06