Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2006
Storm Warning 96, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Mar 17, 2006, 11:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 6 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 17, 2006, 11:00 PM AKST (08:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 18, 2006, 5:00 AM AKST
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 FZAK51 PAFC 181249 CWFAER SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM AST SAT MAR 18 2006 MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-190300- .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 996 MB LOW 500 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY SATURDAY MORNING MOVES 175 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY LATE SUNDAY MORNING AT 988 MB AND THEN MOVES ONSHORE NEAR SEWARD SUNDAY AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ120-190300- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 AM AST SAT MAR 18 2006 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 65 KT. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 24 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ121-190300- RESURRECTION BAY 400 AM AST SAT MAR 18 2006 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN NIGHT THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-190300- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 AM AST SAT MAR 18 2006 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-190300- PASSAGE CANAL 400 AM AST SAT MAR 18 2006 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-190300- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 AM AST SAT MAR 18 2006 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ132-190300- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 AM AST SAT MAR 18 2006 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ138-190300- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 AM AST SAT MAR 18 2006 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ140-190300- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 AM AST SAT MAR 18 2006 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ141-190300- KACHEMAK BAY 400 AM AST SAT MAR 18 2006 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
2 follow-up statements
000 FZAK51 PAFC 181729 AAA CWFAER SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 930 AM AST SAT MAR 18 2006 UPDATED AREA 130 MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-190300- .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 996 MB LOW 500 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY SATURDAY MORNING MOVES 175 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY LATE SUNDAY MORNING AT 988 MB AND THEN MOVES ONSHORE NEAR SEWARD SUNDAY AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ120-190300- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 AM AST SAT MAR 18 2006 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 65 KT. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 24 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ121-190300- RESURRECTION BAY 400 AM AST SAT MAR 18 2006 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN NIGHT THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-190300- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 AM AST SAT MAR 18 2006 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-190300- PASSAGE CANAL 400 AM AST SAT MAR 18 2006 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-190300- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 930 AM AST SAT MAR 18 2006 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ132-190300- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 AM AST SAT MAR 18 2006 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ138-190300- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 AM AST SAT MAR 18 2006 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ140-190300- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 AM AST SAT MAR 18 2006 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ141-190300- KACHEMAK BAY 400 AM AST SAT MAR 18 2006 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
000 FZAK51 PAFC 181904 AAB CWFAER SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 1000 AM AST SAT MAR 18 2006 UPDATED ZONE 138 MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-190300- .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 996 MB LOW 500 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY SATURDAY MORNING MOVES 175 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY LATE SUNDAY MORNING AT 988 MB AND THEN MOVES ONSHORE NEAR SEWARD SUNDAY AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ120-190300- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 AM AST SAT MAR 18 2006 ...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 65 KT. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 24 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ121-190300- RESURRECTION BAY 400 AM AST SAT MAR 18 2006 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SUN NIGHT THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-190300- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 AM AST SAT MAR 18 2006 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-190300- PASSAGE CANAL 400 AM AST SAT MAR 18 2006 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-190300- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 930 AM AST SAT MAR 18 2006 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ132-190300- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 AM AST SAT MAR 18 2006 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ138-190300- SHELIKOF STRAIT 1000 AM AST SAT MAR 18 2006 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ140-190300- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 AM AST SAT MAR 18 2006 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ141-190300- KACHEMAK BAY 400 AM AST SAT MAR 18 2006 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Mar 17, 9:00 AM AKST, 14 hours earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 17, 9:00 AM AKST, 14 hours before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM AST FRI MAR 17 2006
.DISCUSSION...THE LARGE LOW IN THE BERING SEA THAT HAS DOMINATED THE
WEATHER MAP THE LAST FEW DAYS IS STILL THE PROMINENT FEATURE THIS
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER THIS LOW WILL BE WEAKENING RAPIDLY OVER THE NEXT
DAY AND WILL DISSIPATE NORTH OF ST PAUL ISLAND TOMORROW EVENING. A
NEW LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE BERING SEA BEHIND IT BUT IT WILL NOT BE
NEARLY AS STRONG AS THIS ONE HAS BEEN.
A RELATIVELY WEAK FRONT THAT EXTENDS OUT OF THE BERING SEA LOW
STRETCHES FROM THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA INT SOUTHERN COOK INLET AND THEN
INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA. THIS FRONT IS SLOWLY MOVING NORTHWARD.
THE JET STREAM IS VISIBLE ON THE SATELLITE PICTURE ORIGINATING IN THE
SUBTROPICS AND EXTENDING TO NEAR KODIAK ISLANDS AS IT RIDES ALONG THE
WESTERN SIDE OF A RIDGE. A DEVELOPING LOW IS EVIDENT ALONG THIS JET
NEAR 35N 160W. THIS LOW WILL MOVE RAPIDLY NORTHWARD IN THE JET AND
INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA SATURDAY. THIS LOW WILL INTENSIFY AS IT DOES
SO AND WILL BECOME THE MAJOR WEATHER MAKER IN SOUTHERN ALASKA THIS
WEEKEND.
THE MODELS HAVE NOT BEEN AS CONSISTENT AS ONE WOULD LIKE ON THE
APPROACH OF THIS STROM. GFS AND UKMET ARE RELATIVELY WELL ALIGNED
WITH EACH OTHER FROM THE 12Z RUN. HOWEVER THE GFS SOLUTION HAS
CHANGED OVER THE LAST FEW RUNS AND THE NAM HAS BEEN MORE INTERNALLY
CONSISTENT. NAM HAS STRONGER WINDS ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST WITH
THE LOW BEING FURTHER WEST. EITHER SOLUTION BODES WELL FOR THE
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS TO DEVELOP IN THE BARRIER JET THAT WILL FORM
ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST. STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP OUT OF THE
MATANUSKA RIVER AND THROUGH TURNAGAIN ARM AS WELL AS THIS SYSTEM
MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA.
ANOTHER BIG QUESTION IS THE COMBINATION ON WIND AND SNOW AND THE
RESULTING REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITIES THAT MAY OCCUR. THE BLOWING SNOW
ADVISORY IN KODIAK OVERNIGHT STILL LOOKS GOOD. BIGGER QUESTION IS
WHETHER THERE WILL BE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS IN THE EASTERN KENAI
PENINSULA. EASTERN TURNAGAIN ARM LOOKS LIKE THE MOST LIKELY PLACE FOR
THIS TO OCCUR. DUE TO THE MODEL UNCERTAINTY AND THE EFFECT A SMALL
CHANGE IN MODEL SOLUTION WILL HAVE ON THE EVENT WE ARE GOING WITH A
BLIZZARD WATCH IN ZONE 125 TO COVER THIS POSSIBILITY.
.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WATCH 125.
MARINE...GALE 121 125 129 132 138 140 155 165 170 172 175 176 179 185
STORM 130
HURRICANE FORCE 120
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 121 140
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
EZ MAR 06The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 11:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 4 days | |
| Mar 17, 11:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 3 days | |
| Mar 17, 11:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Mar 17, 11:00 PM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 7 days | |
| Mar 17, 11:00 PM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Mar 18, 4:30 AM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 7 hr | |
| Mar 18, 5:00 AM AKST | Hurricane Force Wind Warning | AFC | 18 hr | |
| Mar 18, 11:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Mar 18, 11:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Mar 18, 11:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 12 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.