Storm Warning 95, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 180026
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST FRI MAR 17 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-181500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT IN THE GULF WILL MOVE TO THE NORTH GULF COAST FRI
NIGHT. A 998 MB LOW 500 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK FRI NIGHT WILL MOVE TO
135 NM SOUTHWEST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AND STRENGTHEN TO 983 MB SAT
NIGHT AND THEN MOVE TO NEAR SEWARD SUN AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ120-181500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST FRI MAR 17 2006

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 13 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...E WIND 55 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 22 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY 
IN THE MORNING. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 65 KT. SEAS 32 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 26 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-181500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST FRI MAR 17 2006

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-181500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST FRI MAR 17 2006

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-181500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST FRI MAR 17 2006

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-181500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST FRI MAR 17 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13
FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-181500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST FRI MAR 17 2006

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-181500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST FRI MAR 17 2006

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-181500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST FRI MAR 17 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT BECOMING N 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-181500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST FRI MAR 17 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
300 AM AST FRI MAR 17 2006

.DISCUSSION...
GFS AND ETA 0Z RUNS IN MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT ON SYSTEMS OUT WEST THAN
THEY WERE THE PREVIOUS NIGHT.  MAIN SURFACE FEATURE IS LOW IN CENTRAL
BERING WHICH IS PROGED TO SPIN IN SITU AND THEN MERGE WITH SYSTEM
MOVING IN FROM THE WEST.  WEAK SURFACE LOWS IN WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA
UNDERNEATH UPPER LEVEL TROUGH.  SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF
SOUTHCENTRAL SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.  REASONABLY GOOD CHANCE
OF OF SNOW SATURDAY IN THE SOUTHWEST AS BANDS FROM BERING SEA LOW
MOVE ONSHORE.

SECOND ROUND OF WINTER WEATHER SUNDAY AS BERING AND GULF OF AK LOWS
MERGE UNDERNEATH A FAIRLY STRONG 500 MB TROUGH.  EXPECTING
TEMPERATURES TO REMAIN A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL OR NEAR NORMAL ACROSS
MOST OF THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. BELOW NORMAL TEMPS TO RETURN
EARLY NEXT WEEK AS HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE FORMS OVER THE BERING.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...SEE PACKAGE
MARINE...SEE PACKAGE
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

*** MAR 06