Storm Warning 257, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 290801 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1100 PM AST THU DEC 28 2006

UPDATED MARINE ZONES 121 125 138 140

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-291500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 964 MB LOW 475 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKA WILL INTENSIFY TO 946 MB 250
NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND THU NIGHT. THE LOW WILL MOVE NEAR
MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 957 MB FRI AFTERNOON AND INTO PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND AT 980 MB SAT MORNING.

$$

PKZ120-291500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST THU DEC 28 2006

...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO NE 60 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...NE WIND 55 KT BECOMING E 45 KT. SEAS 31 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO S 25 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-291500-
RESURRECTION BAY
1100 PM AST THU DEC 28 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT...STRONGEST SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD. GUSTS
TO 40 KT SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO N 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY NORTH OF CAINES HEAD.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 
SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-291500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
1100 PM AST THU DEC 28 2006

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY NORTH OF SEAL ISLAND. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW. 
FREEZING SPRAY NORTH OF SEAL ISLAND. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
FREEZING SPRAY NORTH OF SEAL ISLAND.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.   

$$

PKZ129-291500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST THU DEC 28 2006

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.   

$$

PKZ130-291500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST THU DEC 28 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING N 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY NORTHWEST OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. 
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO NW 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY NORTHWEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-291500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST THU DEC 28 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING N 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO NW 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-291500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
1100 PM AST THU DEC 28 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-291500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
1100 PM AST THU DEC 28 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO N 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
6 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. FREEZING SPRAY NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. SNOW. 
FREEZING SPRAY NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. SNOW.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT IN ICE
FREE WATERS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS.  

$$

PKZ141-291500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST THU DEC 28 2006

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 291234
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST FRI DEC 29 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-300300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 947 MB LOW 350 NM SOUTH OF CORDOVA WILL WEAKEN TO 952 MB 50 NM
SOUTH OF CORDOVA BY FRI AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL MOVE OVER PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND FRI EVENING AND INLAND LATE FRI NIGHT. A WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE MOVES ACROSS THE GULF ON SAT NIGHT.

$$

PKZ120-300300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST FRI DEC 29 2006

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT...DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
32 FT...HIGHEST E OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
28 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT BY MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-300300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST FRI DEC 29 2006

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD. SEAS 6
FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S BY NOON. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-300300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST FRI DEC 29 2006

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-300300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST FRI DEC 29 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT...STRONGEST TOWARD WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW
AND RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.   

$$

PKZ130-300300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST FRI DEC 29 2006

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 50 KT BECOMING NW 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY NORTHWEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.

.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-300300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST FRI DEC 29 2006

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 50 KT BECOMING W 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-300300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST FRI DEC 29 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 
5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT AND SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-300300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST FRI DEC 29 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...W WIND 25 KT S OF KALGIN ISLAND...WITH VARIABLE
WIND 15 KT OR LESS ELSEWHERE. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-300300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST FRI DEC 29 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 300105
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST FRI DEC 29 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-301500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 970 MB LOW 140 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT WILL MOVE TO 70 NM SOUTHEAST OF
YAKUTAT AND WEAKEN TO 978 MB BEFORE MOVING INLAND MON NIGHT. A 990 MB
LOW 930 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY TUE NIGHT WILL DEEPEN TO 980 MB AND
MOVE TO 200 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY WED AFTERNOON. 
SNOW 
$$

PKZ120-301500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST FRI DEC 29 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO NW 25 KT THIS EVENING.
WINDS BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 37 FT SUBSIDING TO 24 FT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE 15 KT. 
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-301500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST FRI DEC 29 2006

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO N 15 KT THIS EVENING.
GUSTS TO 35 KT SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD THIS EVENING. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING
TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS.
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-301500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST FRI DEC 29 2006

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.   

$$

PKZ129-301500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST FRI DEC 29 2006

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 
SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-301500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST FRI DEC 29 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  
.SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-301500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST FRI DEC 29 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-301500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST FRI DEC 29 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-301500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST FRI DEC 29 2006

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT SOUTH OF KALGIN ISLAND. N WIND 20 KT
ELSEWHERE. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT SOUTH OF KALGIN ISLAND. NE WIND 25 KT ELSEWHERE.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS.
.TUE...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 

$$

PKZ141-301500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST FRI DEC 29 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE 15 KT.
SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM AST THU DEC 28 2006

.DISCUSSION...

SYNOPTIC PATTERN OVER THE AOR THIS MORNING IS DOMINATED BY A DEEP
STACKED LOW OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA WHOSE MID/HIGH CLOUD
SHIELD IS OVERSPREADING MUCH OF THE STATE. PAIH RADAR SHOWING THE
PRECIP SHIELD ASSOCIATED WITH THE WARM FRONT IS MOVING ONSHORE ALONG
THE NORTH GULF COAST WHERE PRECIP IS FALLING AS RAIN ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COAST WITH SNOW FARTHER INLAND FROM THE COAST IN THE COLDER
LOW LEVEL AIR AT SEWARD AS WELL AS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF
THE KENAI PENINSULA. FARTHER WEST...NORTHERLY FLOW/COLD AIR ADVECTION
ACROSS THE EASTERN BERING SEA IS BRINGING SNOW SHOWERS AND BREEZY
CONDITIONS TO THE PRIBILOFS AND THE AKPEN WITH BLOWING SNOW REDUCING
VISIBILITIES IN THE PRIBILOFS. A WARM FRONTAL BAND IS SEEN ON IR
IMAGERY PUSHING NORTH TOWARDS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS NORTH
OF A WELL DEFINED BAROCLINIC ZONE SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS ALIGNED
ROUGHLY ALONG 47N ANCHORED BY A LOW OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC NEAR 43N
155E.

FORECAST SOUTH AND EAST OF THE ALASKA RANGE...MODELS ARE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH BRINGING THE GULF LOW INTO THE PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
AREA THIS AFTERNOON. STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MARINE
ZONE 120 THIS MORNING BUT SHOULD SUBSIDE THIS AFTERNOON AS THE FRONT
MOVES INLAND AND THE LOW CENTER PULLS CLOSER TO LAND.  AREAS
IMMEDIATELY ALONG THE COAST SHOULD SEE PRECIP FALL MOSTLY AS RAIN
TODAY WITH SOME MIXING WITH SNOW OCCURRING FARTHER INLAND AT
LOCATIONS INCLUDING PORTAGE AND SEWARD. SNOW FALLING IN THOMPSON PASS
IN COMBINATION WITH STRONG WINDS WILL BRING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS THERE
TODAY. ONSET OF SNOW IN THE ANCHORAGE BOWL WILL MOST LIKELY BE
DELAYED UNTIL THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS TIME WILL BE NEEDED TO SATURATE
THE SIGNIFICANT DRY LAYER INDICATED IN THE 12Z PANC SOUNDING. SNOW
OVER KODIAK ISLAND SHOULD TAPER OFF IN THE AFTERNOON AS THE LOW AND
THE MAJORITY OF THE MOISTURE PULLS AWAY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE
ISLAND.

PRECIP WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AS THE LOW MAKES LANDFALL WITH RAIN
CHANGING OVER TO SNOW LATER IN THE NIGHT ALONG THE COAST WITH COLD
ADVECTION DROPPING TEMPS BACK BELOW FREEZING OVERNIGHT. THIS COLD
ADVECTION COULD ALSO SERVE TO ENHANCE SNOWFALL ACROSS THE ANCHORAGE
BOWL. CURRENTLY GOING WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES IN ANCHORAGE WHICH MAY NEED
TO BE ADJUSTED UP OR DOWN DEPENDING ON HOW FAR EAST THE LOW ACTUALLY
MOVES INTO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. SNOW SHOULD ALSO BEGIN IN EARNEST
TONIGHT IN VALDEZ PROPER AS THE LOW MOVES ONSHORE AND EASTERLY FLOW
IS REPLACED BY SOUTHERLY FLOW WITH SNOW ALSO MOVING INTO THE COPPER
RIVER BASIN. SNOWY WEATHER SHOULD PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE LOW CONTINUES TO FILL IN PLACE OVER
SOUTHCENTRAL WITH ADDITIONAL ENHANCEMENT FROM A STRONG 500MB
SHORTWAVE THAT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.

LOOK FOR A BRIEF BREAK IN THE ACTION FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ON SUNDAY AS A
SHORTWAVE RIDGE MOVES ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL. PRECIP SHOULD RETURN TO
THE REGION BY SUNDAY NIGHT AS YET ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM ROLLS UP INTO
THE GULF OF ALASKA. THE MORE WESTERLY TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM COULD
SIGNAL A WARM UP...PARTICULARLY TO THE EAST OF ANCHORAGE AS SOUTHERLY
FLOW/WARM AIR ADVECTION DEVELOPS ACROSS THE AOR. IN THE EXTENDED...
LITTLE CHANGE IN THE OVERALL PATTERN AS THE LONGWAVE TROUGH REMAINS
ENTRENCHED OVER THE STATE. GIVEN THE GENERALLY UNSETTLED PATTERN...
CHANCE POPS ARE IN ORDER FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

FORECAST FOR MAINLAND SOUTHWEST AK...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES INTO
THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY TODAY AND TONIGHT ALLOWING FOR SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS. A SHORTWAVE RIDGE MOVES ACROSS BRISTOL BAY SATURDAY...
BRINGING A BREAK IN THE SHOWER ACTIVITY. SHOWER ACTIVITY RETURNS TO
BRISTOL BAY ON SUNDAY AS A STRONG LOW MOVES SOUTH OF THE AKPEN WHILE
NORTHEASTERLY FLOW KEEPS THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND DELTA DRY AND COLD.
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW DROPS INTO THE EASTERN BERING/KUSKOKWIM DELTA BY
TUESDAY...REINTRODUCING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS INTO THE FORECAST.

FORECAST FOR FOR THE BERING SEA AND THE ALEUTIANS...A HIGH WIND
WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WITH A WATCH FOR THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS AS THE WARM FRONTAL BAND PUSHES INTO THE CHAIN AND
THE PARENT LOW/PRESSURE GRADIENT DEEPENS IN RESPONSE TO UPPER LEVEL
FORCING ALONG WITH LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION. THIS LOW MOVES EAST TO
THE SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS SPREADING WIND AND SNOW ACROSS MUCH OF THE
CHAIN THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SNOW SHOWERS SPREAD ACROSS THE BERING SEA
IN THE COLD ADVECTION IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND
THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING 131
         HIGH WIND WARNING 191
         HIGH WIND WATCH 187
MARINE...STORM 120 130 132 172 175 176
         GALE 121 125 150 170 171
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 160 185

WOOD DEC 06