Storm Warning 178, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 241310 CCA
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
510 AM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

CORRECTED ZONE 125 130 HEADLINES

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-250200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 998 MB LOW 150 NM WEST OF CHIGNIK WILL MOVE TO 150 NM EAST OF
KODIAK AT 991 MB THIS AFTERNOON. THIS LOW WILL MOVE TO 190 NM
SOUTHEAST OF CORDOVA AT 980 MB WED MORNING. THE LOW WILL REMAIN NEAR
MIDDLETON ISLAND AND WEAKEN TO 992 MB EARLY THU MORNING. 
$$

PKZ120-250200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 65 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
$$

PKZ121-250200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ125-250200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
510 AM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-250200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN IN
THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ130-250200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
510 AM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...WIND INCREASING TO NE 30 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-250200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
$$

PKZ138-250200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-250200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW.

.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ141-250200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 241713 AAA
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
900 AM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

UPDATED ZONES 130 132 AND 138

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-250200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 998 MB LOW 150 NM WEST OF CHIGNIK WILL MOVE TO 150 NM EAST OF
KODIAK AT 991 MB THIS AFTERNOON. THIS LOW WILL MOVE TO 190 NM
SOUTHEAST OF CORDOVA AT 980 MB WED MORNING. THE LOW WILL REMAIN NEAR
MIDDLETON ISLAND AND WEAKEN TO 992 MB EARLY THU MORNING. 
$$

PKZ120-250200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 65 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
$$

PKZ121-250200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ125-250200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
510 AM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-250200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN IN
THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ130-250200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
900 AM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SE WIND 25 KT EAST
OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT BY MIDNIGHT EAST OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW BY MIDNIGHT WEST OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-250200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
900 AM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
$$

PKZ138-250200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
900 AM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-250200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW.

.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ141-250200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 242145 AAB
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
145 PM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

UPDATED ZONE 130

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-250200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 998 MB LOW 150 NM WEST OF CHIGNIK WILL MOVE TO 150 NM EAST OF
KODIAK AT 991 MB THIS AFTERNOON. THIS LOW WILL MOVE TO 190 NM
SOUTHEAST OF CORDOVA AT 980 MB WED MORNING. THE LOW WILL REMAIN NEAR
MIDDLETON ISLAND AND WEAKEN TO 992 MB EARLY THU MORNING. 
$$

PKZ120-250200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 65 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
$$

PKZ121-250200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ125-250200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
510 AM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-250200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN IN
THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ130-250200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
145 PM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SE WIND 25 KT EAST
OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT BY MIDNIGHT EAST OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT WEST OF
THE BARREN ISLANDS. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-250200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
900 AM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
$$

PKZ138-250200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
900 AM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-250200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW.

.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ141-250200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 250015 RRB
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-251400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 989 MB LOW 175 NM EAST OF KODIAK TO MOVE TO 50 NM SOUTHEAST OF
CORDOVA LATE TONIGHT THEN DISSIPATE INLAND WED. A 983 MB LOW 75 NM
SOUTHWEST OF HOMER WILL MOVE TO 65 NM SOUTHWEST OF CORDOVA WED
AFTERNOON AT 984 MB. THE LOW WILL WEAKEN TO 1000 MB 75 NM SOUTHEAST
OF CORDOVA BY THU AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-251400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
11 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
20 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-251400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING S WIND 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-251400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE.
SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-251400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT DECREASING TO 2 FT.


$$

PKZ130-251400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...FLAT ISLAND AND WEST...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING W WIND 20 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT.  GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE EVENING. EAST OF FLAT
ISLAND...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING W WIND 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-251400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
45 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-251400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING W WIND 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
10 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-251400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-251400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM ADT TUE OCT 24 2006

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.

.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM ADT MON OCT 23 2006

.DISCUSSION...

ANALYSIS...IN THE UPPER LEVELS THERE IS LONG-WAVE TROUGH COVERING THE
ENTIRE ANCHORAGE FORECAST AREA WITH A NEAR ZONAL JET EXTENDING ACROSS
THE PACIFIC BETWEEN 45 AND 55 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE. A WEAK
SHORT-WAVE MOVING ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL PRODUCED A BIT OF LIGHT SNOW
ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE CHUGACH THIS MORNING INCLUDING ANCHORAGE.
NOW ALL THAT IS LEFT IS SOME CLOUDS OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND INTO THE
COPPER RIVER BASIN. AT THE SURFACE THERE IS A DEEPENING LOW OVER THE
FAR SOUTHEASTERN GULF HEADING EASTWARD TOWARD THE QUEEN CHARLOTTE
ISLANDS. THERE IS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN
BERING/SOUTHERN AKPENN WITH COLD ADVECTION DOWN THE FRONT SIDE OF
THE RIDGE. THE COMBINATION OF THE GULF LOW AND COLD ADVECTION IS
SERVING TO TIGHTEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND INCREASE WINDS ACROSS
THE GULF WATERS. ANOTHER SURFACE LOW IS LOCATED OUT OVER THE SOUTHERN
BERING NORTH OF ADAK WITH OCCLUSION EXTENDING EASTWARD ACROSS THE
CENTRAL BERING JUST SOUTH OF THE PRIBILOFS TO A TRIPLE POINT THAT
IS SHOWING A LITTLE BIT OF ROTATION. WITH LOTS OF COLD AIR FEEDING
OUT OF RUSSIA ACROSS THE WESTERN BERING AND INTO THIS SYSTEM AS WELL
AS GOOD UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT EXPECT A TRIPLE POINT LOW TO DEVELOP
OVER THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS.

MODEL DISCUSSION...12Z MODELS WERE A BIT TOO WEAK WITH GULF LOW AND
LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THEY TRACK IT TOO FAR NORTH. ALL
MODELS ARE REASONABLY CLOSE WITH THE LOW OUT WEST. MODELS ARE SHOWING
FAIRLY GOOD RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY THE PAST FEW RUNS AND THE IDEA OF
DEVELOPING MULTIPLE TRIPLE POINT LOWS AS THE WHOLE LOW COMPLEX HEADS
EASTWARD. FORECAST IS BASED OFF A BLEND OF NAM/GFS...TAKING ADVANTAGE
OF THE NAMS HIGHER RESOLUTION AND BETTER DEPICTION OF TRIPLE POINT
LOWS. HAVING SAID THAT...MODELS USUALLY DONT HANDLE THE EXACT
POSITION AND STRENGTHS OF TRIPLE POINT LOWS IN RELATION TO
ORIGINATING LOW...SO WILL CLOSELY MONITOR SYSTEM EVOLUTION VIA
SATELLITE IMAGERY.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS FORECAST...WITH THE NEAR ZONAL JET THE LOW
COMPLEX WILL TRACK ALMOST DUE EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN BERING
SEA TONIGHT...BRISTOL BAY MONDAY...AND INTO THE GULF TUESDAY. WITH
VERY COLD AIR FEEDING IN BEHIND THE LOW EXPECT WIDESPREAD STRATOCU
AND SHOWERS OVER THE WARMER WATERS AND PRECIPITATION TO CHANGE TO
MAINLY SNOW BY TUESDAY NIGHT. COLD ADVECTION WILL ALSO PRODUCE SOME
GUSTY WINDS ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE SYSTEM TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT. AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE WESTERN BERING
WEDNESDAY EVEN COLDER AIR WILL BE TRANSPORTED SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN BERING AND GUSTY NORTHERLIES WILL CONTINUE.
THIS WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST AS WE REACH THE END OF THE WEEK
AND ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM COMES INTO THE PICTURE.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST...VERY WEAK FLOW OVER THE KUSKOKWIM HAS
MAINTAINED A LAYER OF STRATUS OVER THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY THE PAST
COUPLE DAYS. LOOKS LIKE THIS WILL HANG IN THERE UNTIL WE GET ENOUGH
MIXING WHICH SHOULD OCCUR AS THE LOW COMPLEX MOVES INTO BRISTOL BAY
TUESDAY. THE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA IS HEAVILY DEPENDENT ON
WHERE THE TRIPLE POINT LOWS DEVELOP AND HOW STRONG THEY ARE. AS IT
LOOKS NOW...PRECIP WILL MAKE IT UP TO THE SOUTHERN KUSKOKWIM VALLEY
AND KUSKOKWIM DELTA TUESDAY IN THE FORM OF SNOW. WITH FLOW OFF THE
WARM WATERS OF BRISTOL BAY PRECIPITATION IN THAT REGION WILL BE
MAINLY RAIN. AS THE SYSTEM TRANSITIONS TO THE GULF TUESDAY NIGHT
CONDITIONS WILL DRY OUT FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AND MUCH COLDER AIR WILL
MOVE IN...CREATING SOME GUSTY WINDS...ESPECIALLY THROUGH CHANNELED
AREAS AND AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SURFACE RIDGE BUILDING INTO SOUTHCENTRAL
TONIGHT WITH SURFACE TROUGH REMAINING ALONG GULF COAST WILL GENERATE
SOME GUSTY NORTH WINDS ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST. MOST AREAS WILL
CLEAR OUT...BUT SOME STRATUS MAY REMAIN IN THE COPPER RIVER BASIN
WITH GENERALLY WEAK FLOW THERE. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM BERING LOW
COMPLEX WILL REACH THE WESTERN GULF BY TUESDAY MORNING SO CONDITIONS
WILL QUICKLY HEAD DOWNHILL FOR KODIAK ISLAND TUESDAY MORNING AND
SPREAD TO THE GULF COAST TUESDAY NIGHT. MULTIPLE TRIPLE POINT
DEVELOPMENT WILL MEAN QUICKLY CHANGING WIND DIRECTIONS OVER THE
GULF WATERS. IT WILL ALSO MAINTAIN MAINLY OFFSHORE FLOW IN THE LOW
LEVELS ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL. THEREFORE..DO NOT EXPECT PRECIP TO
PENETRATE INLAND. IT SHOULD HOLD RIGHT ALONG THE GULF COAST. WITH
MULTIPLE UPPER LEVEL SHORT-WAVES IT WILL TAKE A WHILE BEFORE UPPER
TROUGH MOVES THROUGH SOUTHCENTRAL. SO A SURFACE LOW WILL REMAIN OVER
THE NORTHERN GULF/PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND REGION THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK. THERE MAY BE A CHANCE THAT A BIT OF MOISTURE MAKES IT INLAND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...BUT IF SO IT SHOULD BE LIGHT
AND BRIEF. STRONG COLD ADVECTION WILL THEN CLEAR THINGS OUT AND COOL
DOWN TEMPS AS WE HEAD TOWARD THE WEEKEND.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 130 150 155 165 170 171 172

SEB OCT 06