Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2006
Storm Warning 157, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Oct 1, 2006, 11:00 AM AKDT. It was in force for 12 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 1, 2006, 11:00 AM AKDT (19:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 1, 2006, 11:00 PM AKDT
- In force
- 12 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 FZAK52 PAFC 012310 CWFALU SOUTHWEST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-021400- .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 994 MB LOW 50 NM SOUTH OF CAPE NEWENHAM WILL DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES INLAND OVER THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA LATE SUN NIGHT. A 999 MB LOW NEAR 100 NM WEST OF SEHMYA WILL DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS SUN NIGHT. A 998 MB LOW NEAR 350 NM SOUTH OF ADAK WILL STRENGTHEN TO 984 MB AS IT MOVES TO 150 NM NORTHWEST OF UNALASKA MON AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL THEN MOVE TO 150 NM WEST OF CAPE NEWENHAM TUE AFTERNOON AT 977 MB. $$ PKZ150-021400- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ155-021400- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 40 KT THROUGH CHANNELED AREAS IN THE EVENING. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ160-021400- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ165-021400- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ180-021400- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ170-021400- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 ...STORM WARNING MONDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 24 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. .TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ171-021400- UNALASKA BAY 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 45 KT DIMINISHING AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. .TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU AND FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ172-021400- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ175-021400- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ176-021400- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 16 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. AREAS OF FOG. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ185-021400- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ179-021400- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$
3 follow-up statements
000 FZAK52 PAFC 020012 CCA CWFALU SOUTHWEST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 415 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 CORRECT ZONE 160 MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-021400- .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 994 MB LOW 50 NM SOUTH OF CAPE NEWENHAM WILL DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES INLAND OVER THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA LATE SUN NIGHT. A 999 MB LOW NEAR 100 NM WEST OF SEHMYA WILL DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS SUN NIGHT. A 998 MB LOW NEAR 350 NM SOUTH OF ADAK WILL STRENGTHEN TO 984 MB AS IT MOVES TO 150 NM NORTHWEST OF UNALASKA MON AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL THEN MOVE TO 150 NM WEST OF CAPE NEWENHAM TUE AFTERNOON AT 977 MB. $$ PKZ150-021400- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ155-021400- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 40 KT THROUGH CHANNELED AREAS IN THE EVENING. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ160-021400- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ165-021400- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ180-021400- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ170-021400- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 ...STORM WARNING MONDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 24 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. .TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ171-021400- UNALASKA BAY 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 45 KT DIMINISHING AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. .TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU AND FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ172-021400- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ175-021400- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ176-021400- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 16 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. AREAS OF FOG. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ185-021400- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ179-021400- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$
000 FZAK52 PAFC 020332 AAA CWFALU SOUTHWEST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 730 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 UPDATED ZONES 160 170 179 AND 180 MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-021400- .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 994 MB LOW 50 NM SOUTH OF CAPE NEWENHAM WILL DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES INLAND OVER THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA LATE SUN NIGHT. A 999 MB LOW NEAR 100 NM WEST OF SEHMYA WILL DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS SUN NIGHT. A 998 MB LOW NEAR 350 NM SOUTH OF ADAK WILL STRENGTHEN TO 984 MB AS IT MOVES TO 150 NM NORTHWEST OF UNALASKA MON AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL THEN MOVE TO 150 NM WEST OF CAPE NEWENHAM TUE AFTERNOON AT 977 MB. $$ PKZ150-021400- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ155-021400- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 40 KT THROUGH CHANNELED AREAS IN THE EVENING. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ160-021400- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 730 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ165-021400- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ180-021400- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 730 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ170-021400- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 730 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 ...STORM WARNING MONDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 24 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. .TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ171-021400- UNALASKA BAY 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 45 KT DIMINISHING AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. .TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU AND FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ172-021400- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ175-021400- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ176-021400- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 16 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. AREAS OF FOG. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ185-021400- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ179-021400- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 730 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. VISIBILITY LESS THAN 1 NM AT TIMES. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. AREAS OF FOG. VISIBILITY LESS THAN 1 NM AT TIMES IN THE MORNING. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$
000 FZAK52 PAFC 021102 CWFALU SOUTHWEST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM ADT MON OCT 2 2006 MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-030200- .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 997 MB LOW 90 NM WEST OF ADAK WILL DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES OVER ADAK LATE MON MORNING. A 995 MB LOW 130 NM NORTHWEST OF SAINT PAUL WILL MOVE TO 140 NM WEST OF SAINT PAUL AT 992 MB MON AFTERNOON BEFORE DISSIPATING MON NIGHT. A 992 MB LOW 190 NM SOUTHWEST OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL STRENGTHEN TO 985 MB AS IT MOVES TO 120 NM NORTHWEST OF COLD BAY MON AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL THEN MOVE TO 30 NM SOUTHEAST OF MEKORYUK TUE AFTERNOON AT 976 MB BEFORE MOVING INLAND NORTH OF KIPNUK TUE NIGHT. $$ PKZ150-030200- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 AM ADT MON OCT 2 2006 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ155-030200- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM ADT MON OCT 2 2006 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. .TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ160-030200- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 400 AM ADT MON OCT 2 2006 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT AND TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED AND THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ165-030200- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM ADT MON OCT 2 2006 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. .WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ180-030200- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 400 AM ADT MON OCT 2 2006 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING N 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ170-030200- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 400 AM ADT MON OCT 2 2006 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ171-030200- UNALASKA BAY 400 AM ADT MON OCT 2 2006 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ172-030200- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 AM ADT MON OCT 2 2006 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ175-030200- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 AM ADT MON OCT 2 2006 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT INCREASING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ176-030200- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 400 AM ADT MON OCT 2 2006 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ185-030200- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 AM ADT MON OCT 2 2006 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ179-030200- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 400 AM ADT MON OCT 2 2006 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. .TUE...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Oct 1, 9:00 AM AKDT, 2 hours earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 1, 9:00 AM AKDT, 2 hours before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM ADT SUN OCT 1 2006
.DISCUSSION...
.ANALYSIS...IR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS LARGE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA. THERE ARE TWO CENTERS AT THE
SURFACE...THE OLD ONE JUST NORTH OF SAINT PAUL AND A NEWLY FORMED
ONE ABOUT HALF WAY BETWEEN COLD BAY AND CAPE NEWENHAM. A WEAKENING
OCCLUSION EXTENDS FROM THE OLD LOW CENTER NORTHEASTWARD TO THE
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND
COOK INLET TO THE CENTRAL GULF. PRECIP ALONG THE FRONT IS LIGHT.
SNOW LEVELS ARE GENERALLY 2500 TO 3500 FEET. TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST IS PRODUCING EASTERLY GAP WINDS IN THE
35 TO 50 KT RANGE AND KEEPING LEE SIDE OF KENAI AND CHUGACH MOUNTAINS
MOSTLY DRY. INLAND AREAS WILL LIKELY REMAIN DRY AS FRONT CONTINUES
TO FALL APART. AREAS OF STRATUS AND RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH NEW LOW
NORTH OF COLD BAY AS MOVING ACROSS AKPENN TO KODIAK ISLAND AND
BRISTOL BAY. THE WEST SIDE OF THE LOW COMPLEX INCLUDING THE SOUTHERN
AKPENN AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS ARE EXPERIENCING STRONG WINDS. RECENT
SHIP REPORTS INDICATE 40 KTS OF WIND WITH STRONGER GUSTS TO 55 KT
THROUGH CHANNELED AREAS. SEAS ON THE PACIFIC SIDE HAVE BUILT UP TO
20 FEET. ELSEWHERE...A COLD CORE LOW WITH MULTIPLE CENTERS HAS
DROPPED DOWN TO JUST WEST OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS AND A DEVELOPING
LOW IS NOTED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF AMCHITKA.
MODEL ANALYSIS...MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE ALL OVER THE PLACE TODAY.
IN THE NEAR-TERM SOLUTIONS ARE FAIRLY CLOSE WITH EASTERN BERING
LOW AND ASSOCIATED UPPER TROUGH. THERE IS A KEY DIFFERENCE IN
POSITION OF UPPER TROUGH AS IT SWINGS THROUGH SOUTHCENTRAL MONDAY.
NAM IS MUCH FURTHER EAST THAN GFS/UKMET AND WOULD RESULT IN A DRIER
FORECAST FOR ANCHORAGE AND VICINITY WITH CONTINUED STRONG SOUTHEAST
FLOW. PREFER THE WETTER GFS/UKMET IN KEEPING TROUGH FURTHER WEST AND
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVER SOUTHCENTRAL. NONE OF MODELS HAVE
A GREAT HANDLE ON COLD CORE LOW MOVING TOWARD WESTERN ALEUTIANS. IT
IS FARTHER SOUTH THAN ANY SOLUTIONS INDICATE AND FORECAST WILL BE
ADJUSTED TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS. THIS LOW WILL NOT BE A MAJOR FACTOR.
THE LOW TO WATCH IS THE DEVELOPING ONE OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC. AS
MENTIONED YESTERDAY THE GFS HAS TRENDED WESTWARD WITH THE TRACK OF
THIS LOW WITH EACH RUN AND CONTINUES TO DO SO. WITH AN AMPLIFYING
TROUGH...UPPER JET SUPPORT...AND DECENT COLD ADVECTION ON THE BACK
SIDE OF THE TROUGH...PREFER THE STRONGER AND FARTHER WEST SOLUTION
OF GFS.
.FORECAST...AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN (AND SNOW AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS)
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHERN MAINLAND TONIGHT AS OCCLUSION WEAKENS.
STEADIER PRECIP ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE OVER KODIAK
AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA THIS EVENING AND PROGRESS NORTHWARD MONDAY.
TEMPERATURE ADVECTION AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH IS NEAR NEUTRAL SO SOME
AREAS OF NORTHERN SUSITNA VALLEY MAY SEE A LITTLE SNOW LATE
MONDAY...BUT DO NOT EXPECT ANYTHING SIGNIFICANT. WINDS ALONG
AKPENN AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS WILL DIE DOWN QUICKLY TONIGHT AS
EASTERN BERING LOW MOVES INLAND AND SHORT-WAVE RIDGE MOVES OVERHEAD
AHEAD OF NEXT SYSTEM. CONDITIONS WILL HEAD QUICKLY DOWNHILL EARLY
MONDAY MORNING AS DEPPENDING LOW MOVES TO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS
AND THEN INTO THE EASTERN BERING. EXPECT STROM FORCE WINDS ALONG
THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS MONDAY AFTERNOON AS THE LOW MOVES INTO THE
BERING AND GALES MOST OTHER LOCATIONS. HIGHLY AMPLIFIED TROUGH WILL
ALLOW SYSTEM TO TAP INTO TROPICAL MOISTURE SO RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL
BE HEAVY. MODERATE COLD ADVECTION OVER WESTERN TO CENTRAL BERING SEA
EARLY TO MID WEEK WILL COOL SURFACE TEMPS AND GENERATE THE FIRST
SNOW SHOWERS OF THE SEASON ACROSS MUCH OF THE BERING SEA REGION. THE
SOUTHERN MAINLAND WILL HAVE LITTLE BREAK BETWEEN UPPER TROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT AND EFFECTS OF BERING LOW. PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL LOOSEN MONDAY
AND THEN QUICKLY TIGHTEN BACK UP MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. EVEN WITH
THESE STRONG EASTERLY WINDS ABUNDANT DEEP MOISTURE AND SOUTHERLY FLOW
ALOFT WILL PROVIDE DECENT PERIOD OF RAIN FOR ANCHORAGE AND OTHER LEE
SIDE AREAS TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT WHILE COASTAL AND UPSLOPE
AREAS WILL GET SOAKED. THERE WILL BE PLENTY OF WARM ADVECTION ACROSS
THE MAINLAND SO ALL PRECIP WILL FALL AS RAIN.
LOOKING TOWARD THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD...MEAN TROUGH POSITION
REMAINS OVER BERING SEA SO LOOK FOR CURRENT STORM TRACK FROM PACIFIC
NORTHWARD INTO BERING SEA TO CONTINUE TO PROVIDE WET WEATHER TO THE
EASTERN BERING AND SOUTHERN MAINLAND.
.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM WARNING 170.
GALE WARNING 155 165 171 172 175 176 179 180 185.
SEB OCT 06The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 11:00 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 4 days | |
| Sep 30, 11:00 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Oct 1, 2:25 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 21 hr | |
| Oct 1, 11:00 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Oct 1, 11:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 24 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.