Storm Warning 135, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 171218 CCA
CWFALU

SOUTHWEST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
415 AM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

CORRECTED ZONE 155

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-180200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 992 MB LOW 300 NM SOUTHWEST OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL STRENGTHEN TO 981
MB 50 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR MONDAY MORNING AND THEN WEAKEN TO 988
MB AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND WEAKEN INLAND.
A 1010 LOW 600 NM NORTHWEST OF SAINT PAUL WILL DEEPEN TO 1004 MB AND
MOVE SOUTH 250 NM NORTHWEST OF ADAK TUESDAY MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-180200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS BECOMING SE 25 KT.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED AND THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ155-180200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO SE 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED AND THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ160-180200-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS BECOMING E 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-180200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 5 FT.  
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. AREAS OF FOG.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-180200-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS BECOMING NE 20 KT.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED AND THU...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ170-180200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

...STORM WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO NE 35 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO NW 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED AND THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.   

$$

PKZ171-180200-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 25 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-180200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO NW 30 KT. 
SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ175-180200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 

$$

PKZ176-180200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ185-180200-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-180200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO N 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED AND THU...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.   

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 171532 AAA
CWFALU

SOUTHWEST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
730 AM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

UPDATED ZONES 150 155 160 165 170 176 AND 180

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-180200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 992 MB LOW 300 NM SOUTHWEST OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL STRENGTHEN TO 981
MB 50 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR MONDAY MORNING AND THEN WEAKEN TO 988
MB AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND WEAKEN INLAND.
A 1010 LOW 600 NM NORTHWEST OF SAINT PAUL WILL DEEPEN TO 1004 MB AND
MOVE SOUTH 250 NM NORTHWEST OF ADAK TUESDAY MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-180200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
730 AM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED AND THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ155-180200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
730 AM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED AND THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ160-180200-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
730 AM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND FOG.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-180200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
730 AM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING E WIND 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. AREAS OF FOG.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-180200-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
730 AM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT EXCEPT S WIND 20 KT IN KUSKOKWIM BAY THIS
MORNING. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS BECOMING NE 20 KT.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED AND THU...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ170-180200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
730 AM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

...STORM WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT BECOMING NE 35 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS
AFTER MIDNIGHT BERING SIDE. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 35 KT PACIFIC SIDE...NE WIND 35 KT BERING SIDE IN THE
MORNING. NW WIND 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED AND THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.   

$$

PKZ171-180200-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 25 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-180200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ175-180200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 

$$

PKZ176-180200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
730 AM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ185-180200-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-180200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO N 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED AND THU...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.   

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 172335
CWFALU

SOUTHWEST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-181400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 987 MB LOW 250 NM SOUTHWEST OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL DEEPEN TO 980 MB
NEAR COLD BAY MON AFTERNOON THEN WEAKEN TO 991 MB NEAR DILLINGHAM TUE
AFTERNOON. A 1009 MB LOW 600 NM NORTHWEST OF ADAK WILL MOVE TO 350 NM
NORTHWEST OF ADAK MON AFTERNOON THEN DEEPEN TO 1003 MB NEAR ADAK TUE
AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ150-181400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-181400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22 FT. PATCHY
FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.   

$$

PKZ160-181400-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-181400-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT THROUGH CHANNELED TERRAIN.
SEAS 12 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-181400-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-181400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-181400-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-181400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT WEST OF SEGUAM ISLAND. EAST OF SEGUAM ISLAND
NW WIND 45 KT INCREASING TO 60 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 21 FT. PATCHY
FOG. RAIN.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT WEST OF SEGUAM ISLAND. EAST OF SEGUAM ISLAND NW
WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-181400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-181400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-181400-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-181400-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM ADT SUN SEP 17 2006

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM ADT SAT SEP 16 2006

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS...INITIAL PRECIP FIELD ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST NOT
HANDLED WELL BY THE NAM/WRF THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE...MODELS HAVE
INITIALIZED WELL THIS MORNING. 12Z GFS SEEMS TO BE THE OUTLIER THIS
MORNING. ECMWF...NAM...CANADIAN...UKMET ALONG WITH THE 00Z AND 12Z
ENSEMBLES ALL PUSH FOR A SLOWER EVOLUTION OF THE CURRENT NORTH
PACIFIC LOW SOUTH OF SHEMYA ACROSS THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS.

UPPER LEVELS...OVERALL...THE MEAN TROUGH NEAR 160W TO MOVE OVER THE
MAINLAND BY TUESDAY. THE MODELS DO NOT DIFFER TOO MUCH EXCEPT WITH
THE SPEED AND STRENGTH OF THE WAVE MOVING ACROSS THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS ON MONDAY. 12Z GFS WANTS TO MOVE IT QUICKLY INTO THE GULF
WHEREAS THE OTHER MODELS HOLD BACK ON THE LOW TO REMAIN OVER THE
ALASKA PENINSULA A BIT LONGER. THIS IS POSSIBLY DUE TO THE FACT A
SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL BE DIGGING INTO THE BERING NEAR 180 TO AMPLIFY
RIDGE A BIT IN THE GULF IMPEDING THE PROGRESS OF THE LOW. THE
ECMWF...CANADIAN...AND UKMET ARE EVEN MORE SOLD ON THIS PROGRESSION.
THEREFORE...WILL LEAN AWAY FROM 12Z GFS. HAVE MOSTLY STUCK WITH 00Z
GFS RUN. IN THE MEANTIME...THE WEAK TROUGH OVER THE WEST COAST OF
ALASKA TO DISSIPATE AS THE LOW IN THE SOUTHERN GULF MOVES EAST. RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE TO REMAIN OVER THE EASTERN INTERIOR. SHORT WAVE
TROUGH MOVING OUT OF THE NORTH PACIFIC TO MERGE WITH TROUGH
DEVELOPING OVER THE BERING SEA. THE DEVELOPING TROUGH OVER THE BERING
SEA IS A RESULT OF A SHORT WAVE MOVING OUT OF THE POLAR REGION. THE
TWO MERGE ON SUNDAY NEAR 170W. THE TROUGH TO BECOME NEGATIVELY TILTED
BY MONDAY AFTERNOON AS THE SOUTHERN WAVE TO MOVE THROUGH AS A CLOSED
LOW DEVELOPS NEAR SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND. ANOTHER SHORT WAVE MOVING
SOUTH IN THE WESTERN BERING TO CARVE THE TROUGH FARTHER TUESDAY. BY
THIS TIME...THE JET ASSOCIATED WITH THE ALASKA PENINSULA LOW TO SLIDE
EAST AND ALLOW THE SURFACE LOW TO FILL. THE WAVE IN THE WESTERN
BERING CONTINUES TO DIG THE TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL BERING WEDNESDAY.
THE LOW OVER THE WESTERN GULF TO PUSH INLAND. THE BERING LONG WAVE
TROUGH TO EVENTUALLY SWING OVER THE MAINLAND LATER IN THE WEEK WITH A
RIDGE OVER THE BERING. A STRONG LOW TO MOVE INTO THE WESTERN BERING
SATURDAY.

SURFACE WEST OF THE ALASKA RANGE...WEAK TROUGH ALONG THE WEST COAST
DISSIPATING THIS EVENING. ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER MUCH OF THE AREA
THROUGH TONIGHT. A RELATIVELY STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT IS PRESENT IN
THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS DUE TO THE TROUGH ALONG THE COAST
AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN BERING. STRONG WINDS TO DISSIPATE
TONIGHT AS THE TROUGH DISSIPATES. BIG STORY IS THE LOW MOVING OUT OF
THE NORTHERN PACIFIC TO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS TOMORROW AND THEN TO
THE ALASKA PENINSULA MONDAY. AS THE LOW MAKES ITS WAY TO THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIAN TOMORROW AFTERNOON...HEAVY PRECIPITATION TO ARRIVE AS WELL
AS STRONG WINDS. WRAP AROUND WINDS WILL BE STRONG AS WELL. WHEN THE
LOW MOVES TO THE EASTERN ALEUTIAN CHAIN SUNDAY NIGHT...THE NORTH
WINDS BEHIND IT WILL INCREASE TO POSSIBLE HIGH WIND CRITERIA DUE TO
THE STRONG BAROCLINIC ZONE WRAPPED IN THIS LOW. THESE WINDS TO WEAKEN
OVER THE DAY TUESDAY AS THE LOW FILLS A BIT WHEN IT MOVES TO THE
ALASKA PENINSULA. THE LOW WILL FILL FURTHER AS IT COLLAPSES BACK TO
THE UPPER LOW OVER THE EASTERN BERING/BRISTOL BAY TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. A FRONT WILL PUSH NORTH THROUGH THE GULF AT THIS TIME. A
COUPLE OF WAVES ROTATING SOUTH ACROSS THE BERING TO BRING ENHANCED
NORTHERLY WINDS AND COLD AIR ADVECTION MONDAY AND TUESDAY. LOW TO
WRAP IN THE BERING WITH PLENTY OF SHOWER ACTIVITY THROUGH THURSDAY. A
STRONG FRONT TO MOVE INTO THE WESTERN BERING FRIDAY AND INTO THE
CENTRAL BERING SATURDAY. THE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT WILL MOVE
TO SHEMYA SATURDAY.

SURFACE EAST OF THE ALASKA RANGE...WEAKENING FRONT ALONG THE NORTH
GULF COAST TO BE PUSHED AWAY WITH RIDGING INLAND. THIS IS CREATING
SOME STRONG WINDS THROUGH GAPS THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL DISSIPATE THIS
EVENING AS IT PULLS AWAY FROM THE COAST. IN ADDITION...THE LOW
PULLING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF TO HELP PULL TO PRECIP BAND SOUTH AS
WELL. GRADIENT WRINGING THE GULF TO REMAIN MODERATE WITH SMALL CRAFT
WINDS AND SEAS TO REMAIN THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING BEFORE THE LOW
WEAKENS AND MOVES NEAR CHARLOTTE ISLANDS. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
INLAND AREA TOMORROW...TO RESULT IN MAINLY DRY DAYS INTO MONDAY. THE
LOW MOVING UP THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN TO BRING STRONGER WINDS TO THE
WESTERN GULF MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH A FRONT REACHING KODIAK ISLAND.
THE FRONT TO MAKE TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST MONDAY NIGHT WITH STRONG
WINDS. THE MAIN LOW TO REMAIN NEAR BRISTOL BAY WITH A FRONT ALONG THE
COAST INTO WEDNESDAY. THE FRONT TO DISSIPATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. HOWEVER...AREA IS UNDER A BROAD TROUGH AT THIS TIME WITH
SCATTERED PRECIPITATION.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WATCH ZONE 185
MARINE...GALE 170 171 172
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

JN SEP 06