Small Craft Advisory 450, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM ADT MON MAY 15 2006

.DISCUSSION...
THE UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES BUILDING IN OVER THE STATE WITH A CLOSED
UPPER LOW OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
SLOWLY BUILD INTO SOUTHCENTRAL BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS THE TROUGH
SLIDES OFF TO THE EAST.

THE MODEL SEEM TO BE COMING INTO GOOD AGREEMENT OUT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. THE GFS WAS PREFERRED IN THE WEST AND THE ETA IN THE EAST.

THE UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE BERING AND ITS ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW
ARE MOVING INTO THE NORTH BERING SEA WILL BRING STRONG WINDS ALONG
THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN BRINGING AND MUCH OF THE BERING SEA TUESDAY. THE
STRONG WINDS AND BANDS OF MODERATE RAIN ARE FOUND ALONG THE WESTERN
AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST ALONG THE CHAIN. ALONG THE WEST
COAST MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS.  AREAS OF DENSE FOG MAINLY LATE NIGHT AND EARLY
MORNING WILL PERSIST ALONG SOME OF THE COASTAL AREAS.

IN THE EAST MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO AROUND MUCH OF THE DOMAIN FROM
A WEAK LOW PASSING THROUGH THE AREA OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. EXPECT A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK MOSTLY IN THE
LATE AFTERNOONS AND EVENINGS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 172 175 176 179 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

MAY 06