Small Craft Advisory 351, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
300 PM ADT MON APR 17 2006

.DISCUSSION...MODEL INITIALIZATIONS AND GENERAL FORECAST TRENDS
WITHIN TOLERANCE. PARALLELNAM/ETA DO BETTER IN DETAILS.

.EAST...OCCLUDED FRONT ALONG THE NORTHER GULF COAST/KENAI PENINSULA
SHOULD MOVE INLAND AND WEAKEN. SAT PIC SHOWS OPEN CELL CU ON BACKSIDE
OF FRONT...SO RAIN AND SNOW SHOULD BE SHIFTING TO RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS AND CONTINUING THROUGH THIS EVENING. LITTLE NET MOVEMENT OF
THE UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE UNSETTLED WEATHER WITH PERIODS OF RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

.WEST...LOW COMPLEX OVER BRISTOL BAY AND AK PEN DROPS SOUTHEAST AND
WEAKENS THROUGH TONIGHT. BRISK NW WINDS ON BACKSIDE OF CENTER OVER
THE CENTRAL/EASTERN ALEUTIANS/AK PEN SHOULD WEAKEN OVER NIGHT AS LOW
CENTER DROPS SE. EXPECT DRYING CONDITIONS OVER THE SW MAINLAND
TONIGHT WITH ONSET OF OFFSHORE FLOW. NEXT CENTER MOVES UP TO CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS TUE EVENING THEN ROTATES TO WESTERN BERING SEA AND DEEPENS
TO THE LOW 990S BY WED AFTERNOON. PROBABLY WILL SEE MINIMUM GALES
WITH THIS CENTER.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 170 AND 171
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

RMC APR 06