Small Craft Advisory 228, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
415 AM AST THU MAR 09 2006

.DISCUSSION...
THE MAIN STORY AGAIN TODAY IS THE WIND ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL. HIGH WIND
WARNINGS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE COPPER RIVER DELTA AND VALDEZ AS
WELL AS KODIAK TODAY. STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH CHANNELED
TERRAIN AND GAPS ON THE KENAI PENINSULA AND IN THE SUSITNA VALLEY AND
ALASKA RANGE.

STRONG PACKING OF ISOBARS ON THE BACKSIDE OF A LOW IN THE GULF WITH
GOOD CAA BEHIND IT GOING AS FAR SOUTH AS THE KENAI PENINSULA AS WELL
AS A 120 KT JET MOVING OVER KODIAK ISLAND AND THE KENAI PENINSULA ARE
CONTRIBUTING THE WIND EVENT. AS THE LOW IN THE GULF MOVES FARTHER
SOUTHEAST ALONG THE PANHANDLE THE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN ALONG THE
COPPER RIVER VALLEY. STRONG VORTICITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE JET AND THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER KODIAK AND THE KENAI PENINSULA THIS MORNING
WILL MOVE EAST INTO THE COPPER RIVER DELTA AND OVER THE NORTHERN GULF
BY TONIGHT. SO WINDS WILL CALM OVER KODIAK AND THE SUSITNA VALLEY AS
THEY PICK UP OVER VALDEZ AND THE COPPER RIVER LATER TODAY. WINDS WILL
PICK UP OVER TURNAGAIN ARM AS WELL THIS MORNING. EXPECT 50 TO 60 MPH
FOR THE MORNING WITH A TIGHTER GRADIENT. COLDER AIR WILL LINGER OVER
SOUTHCENTRAL THROUGH SAT BEFORE A WEEK LONG WARM UP FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER SHOT OF ARCTIC AIR.

OUT WEST..A TALE OF TWO LOWS..THE FIRST WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN
BERING TODAY BRINGING GALES TO MUCH OF THE AREA. ALONG THE FRONT
WINDS WILL ALSO PICK UP ALONG THE Y-K DELTA COAST AND NUNIVAK ISLAND
THIS EVENING. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED IN BLOWING SNOW. DEFINITE
BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY..WILL NEED TO MONITOR FOR BLIZZARD POTENTIAL.
THE SECOND LOW WILL MOVE UP OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS FRI BRING
STORM FORCE WINDS AHEAD OF IT AND FAIRLY STRONG WAA AT 850. IF THE
MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT WILL NEED TO WATCH THIS ONE CLOSELY FOR
POSSIBLE HWW ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW AS IT MOVES INTO THE BERING
SAT FOR THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. STORM FORCE WINDS AHEAD OF
THE LOW ARE EXPECTED FROM THE AK PENN TO NUNIVAK ISLAND BY FRI NIGHT.
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE Y-K DELTA WILL ALSO NEED TO BE WATCHED AS THERE
IS POTENTIAL WITH THE WAA TO PRODUCE SOME MIXED PRECIP AS FREEZING
RAIN OR IF IT REMAINS ALL SNOW..BLIZZARD CONDITIONS FOR SAT.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING 131 135 171
MARINE...GALE 120 121 125 138 140 150 165 171 172 175 179 180 185
      ...STORM 130 132 170
      ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 121 125 129 130 132 138 140 141 150 185

FIRE WEATHER...NONE

RNW MAR 06

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
346 PM AST THU MAR 09 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0335 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST KODIAK                  57.80N 152.40W
03/09/2006  E104 MPH                            AK   NWS EMPLOYEE

            WIND GUSTS ESTIMATED TO 104 MPH WERE REPORTED IN DOG BAY
            NEAR KODIAK AROUND 2 PM AST. THESE WINDS HAVE BLOWN OUT
            TRUCK WINDOWS AND TIPPED OVER 40 FT CONEX CONTAINERS.

&&

ALBANESE