Small Craft Advisory 1132, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM AST WED DEC 7 2006

.DISCUSSION...
EAST...CONTINUED SOUTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE GULF OF ALASKA FOR THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS LOWS TRACK IN THE VICINITY OF KODIAK ISLAND. NAM
INDICATES THAT DEVELOPING LOW SOUTH OF SAND POINT THIS AFTERNOON WILL
TRACK FURTHER NORTH THAN GFS SOLUTION...THE UKMET MODEL LIKES TO KEEP
THE CENTER OVER BRISTOL BAY.  DESPITE THE LACK OF MODEL CONSENSUS...
EXPECT PERIODS OF MODERATE TO STRONG EAST WINDS ALONG THE NORTH GULF
COAST THROUGH SUNDAY. AN OCCLUDED FRONT ASSOCIATE WITH THIS NEXT
SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE WESTERN GULF ON FRIDAY...REACHING THE
NORTH GULF COAST ABOUT MIDDAY.  WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES
SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE IN THIS FRONT. LITTLE CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES
UNTIL EARLY NEXT WEEK.

WEST...A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER WESTERN ALASKA
ON SATURDAY AS NEXT LOW TRACKS INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA.
EXPECTING TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE GREATER BERING SEA AREA
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. MODELS ALSO INDICATING COOLER AIR MOVING INTO
THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST BEGINNING SATURDAY EVENING. CONTINUED
SNOW SHOWERS IN COASTAL ZONES AS NEXT FRONT MOVES INTO BRISTOL BAY
FRIDAY MORNING.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES...120.130.132.170.172.175.185.
SCA...121.125.138.140.150.155.171.176.

DEC 06