Gale Warning 97, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 292011 AAB
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1110 AM AST SUN JAN 29 2006

UPDATED ZONE 121 125 129
 
MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-300300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...AUGUSTINE VOLCANO REMAINS ACTIVE. 
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OF AROUND 988 MB WILL LINGER OVER THE
EXTREME NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. A 983 MB LOW
WILL DEVELOP 600 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY MONDAY MORNING AND MOVE TO 500
NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT AND DEEPEN TO 967 MB BY TUESDAY MORNING. 

$$

PKZ120-300300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
510 AM AST SUN JAN 29 2006

...ASHFALL ADVISORY TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 35 KT
OUT OF BAYS PASSES AND PASSES THIS MORNING. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY.  
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 20 KT OR LESS. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS
AND PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-300300-
RESURRECTION BAY
1110 AM AST SUN JAN 29 2006

...ASHFALL ADVISORY TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-300300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
1110 AM AST SUN JAN 29 2006

...ASHFALL ADVISORY TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHER
GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. HIGHER GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. HIGHER GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-300300-
PASSAGE CANAL
1110 AM AST SUN JAN 29 2006

...ASHFALL ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-300300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
900 AM AST SUN JAN 29 2006

...ASHFALL ADVISORY TODAY...
...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-300300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST SUN JAN 29 2006

...ASHFALL ADVISORY TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-300300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST SUN JAN 29 2006

...ASHFALL ADVISORY TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W TO SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-300300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST SUN JAN 29 2006

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND TO 20 KT...HIGHEST SOUTH OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-300300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST SUN JAN 29 2006

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 300052
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST SUN JAN 29 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-301500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 990 MB LOW NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. A 975 MB LOW 50N 150W MONDAY EVENING WILL MOVE
TO 200 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKA MONDAY NIGHT AND INTENSIFY TO 965 MB. 

$$

PKZ120-301500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST SUN JAN 29 2006

...ASHFALL ADVISORY TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-301500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST SUN JAN 29 2006

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-301500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST SUN JAN 29 2006

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT IN BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 3
FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-301500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST SUN JAN 29 2006

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-301500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST SUN JAN 29 2006

...ASHFALL ADVISORY TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-301500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST SUN JAN 29 2006

...ASHFALL ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.  
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-301500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST SUN JAN 29 2006

...ASHFALL ADVISORY TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT THROUGH BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. NW GUSTS TO 35 KT THROUGH BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-301500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST SUN JAN 29 2006

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. HIGHEST WINDS
AND SEAS SOUTH OF KALGIN ISLAND. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS.  

$$

PKZ141-301500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST SUN JAN 29 2006

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM AST SUN JAN 29 2006

.DISCUSSION...

12Z SATELLITE IMAGERY/SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS LITTLE CHANGE FROM
YESTERDAY. A LOW PRESSURE CENTER OF 984 MB IS CONTINUING TO SPIN IN
THE EXTREME NORTHERN GULF JUST TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SEWARD. SNOW
SHOWERS ARE CONTINUING TO MOVE ONSHORE ACROSS THE COPPER RIVER DELTA
AND EASTERN KENAI AND MORE SNOW SHOWERS ARE OCCURRING ACROSS KODIAK
ISLAND AND THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA AS THE COLD AIR ADVECTS ACROSS
THE WARMER WATERS OF THE GULF. COLD AND DRY AIR UNDER NORTHERLY FLOW
PERSISTS OVER THE SOUTHWEST INTERIOR WHILE LOW CLOUDS AND SNOW
SHOWERS ARE BEING OBSERVED ACROSS THE BERING SEA...ALASKA
PENINSULA...AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS. THE PRIMARY FEATURE OF NOTE ACROSS
THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN ALEUTIANS IS A VIGOROUS 969 MB LOW LOCATED
WELL SOUTH OF THE ISLANDS.

UPPER AIR...LITTLE CHANGE IN THE CURRENT PATTERN THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AND INTO TUESDAY. THE UPPER LOW THAT HAS BEEN ANCHORED OVER THE KENAI
WILL REMAIN IN THAT VICINITY...THUS ALLOWING THE COLD AND DRY
NORTHERLY FLOW TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF MAINLAND
ALASKA. MEANWHILE AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDING WESTWARD FROM THE LOW
WILL REMAIN OVER THE BERING SEA WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP SNOW SHOWERS IN
THE FORECAST FOR THE PRIBILOFS...AKPEN...AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS
THROUGH MONDAY.

SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEARLY STATIONARY UPPER
LOW WILL CONTINUE TO LINGER OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA
THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK. CONSEQUENTLY SNOW SHOWERS
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST THROUGH MONDAY
WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE ALONG THE EASTERN KENAI AND KODIAK
ISLAND. ELSEWHERE...NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP CONDITIONS
COLD AND DRY ACROSS THE MATSU AND ANCHORAGE BOWL. IN THE WEST...THE
TRAIN OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS WILL CONTINUE TO MARCH WELL SOUTH OF
THE ALEUTIANS AS THE JET STREAM REMAINS IN PLACE NEAR 40N WITH THE
MAIN EFFECTS BEING STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALES 172 175 176.

WOOD / BROWN