Gale Warning 876, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 130052
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST SUN NOV 12 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-131500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL PERSIST
THROUGH TUESDAY. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DROP DOWN THROUGH
NORTON SOUND SUN EVENING AND ACROSS BRISTOL BAY AND THE ALASKA
PENINSULA MONDAY. THIS WILL BRING STRONG NORTHERLIES TO THE EASTERN
BERING AND ALASKA PENINSULA COASTAL WATERS BEGINNING SUN NIGHT.
$$

PKZ150-131500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AST SUN NOV 12 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50
KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ155-131500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AST SUN NOV 12 2006

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
9 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 13
FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-131500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AST SUN NOV 12 2006

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-131500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AST SUN NOV 12 2006

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-131500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AST SUN NOV 12 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-131500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AST SUN NOV 12 2006

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
8 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-131500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AST SUN NOV 12 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-131500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AST SUN NOV 12 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ175-131500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AST SUN NOV 12 2006

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-131500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AST SUN NOV 12 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-131500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AST SUN NOV 12 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT THIS EVENING. SEAS 10
FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-131500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AST SUN NOV 12 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 131226
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST MON NOV 13 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-140300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA WILL PERSIST INTO
THURSDAY. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH BRISTOL
BAY TODAY BRINGING STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS TO THE EASTERN BERING AND
SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA. THE STRONG WINDS WILL PERSIST INTO
THURSDAY. 
$$

PKZ150-140300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AST MON NOV 13 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT THROUGH BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT THROUGH BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-140300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AST MON NOV 13 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT THROUGH BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT THROUGH BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-140300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AST MON NOV 13 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-140300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AST MON NOV 13 2006

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-140300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AST MON NOV 13 2006

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-140300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AST MON NOV 13 2006

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-140300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AST MON NOV 13 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-140300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AST MON NOV 13 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW WIND 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-140300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AST MON NOV 13 2006

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-140300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AST MON NOV 13 2006

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-140300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AST MON NOV 13 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-140300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AST MON NOV 13 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM AST SUN NOV 12 2006

.DISCUSSION...

SYNOPTIC PATTERN THIS MORNING REMAINS RELATIVELY UNCHANGED FROM
YESTERDAY WHICH IS NOT SURPRISING GIVEN THE CURRENTLY STABLE 4-WAVE
HEMISPHERIC LONGWAVE PATTERN. AN UPPER LEVEL/SURFACE LONGWAVE RIDGE
REMAINS CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA. IR SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS EXTENSIVE STRATUS UNDER THIS RIDGE OVER MUCH OF THE BERING SEA
WITH MVFR CEILINGS. FARTHER EAST...A LONGWAVE TROUGH IS IN PLACE WITH
THE MAIN AXIS OF THE TROUGH STRETCHING FROM THE POLAR VORTEX IN THE
BEAUFORT SEA THROUGH THE YUKON TERR AND CURVING WEST ACROSS THE GULF
OF ALASKA. TWO UPPER LOWS...ONE SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND
ANOTHER IN THE EASTERN GULF ARE EMBEDDED IN THE LONGWAVE TROUGH. A
990 MB SURFACE LOW IS STACKED IN THE EASTERN GULF UNDER THE UPPER LOW
AND IS GRADUALLY DRIFTING SOUTHEAST TOWARDS THE QUEEN CHARLOTTE
ISLANDS. DRY NORTHWESTERLY FLOW IS OCCURRING ACROSS MOST OF THE STATE
IN BETWEEN THE AFOREMENTIONED RIDGE AND TROUGH...KEEPING SKIES CLEAR
ACROSS MAINLAND PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA WHERE THE MARINE STRATUS FROM THE BERING SEA HAS
WORKED ITS WAY INLAND IN THE ONSHORE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW. CLEAR SKIES
WITH MID LEVEL SUBSIDENCE AHEAD OF A SHORTWAVE RIDGE STRETCHING FROM
BETHEL TO NEAR TOK ALLOWED FOR PATCHY FOG IN THE COOK INLET AND
ANCHORAGE BOWL REGIONS OVERNIGHT.

SOUTH AND EAST OF THE ALASKA RANGE...AN UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK ROUNDS
THE TOP AND DOWN THE EAST SIDE OF THE BERING SEA RIDGE TODAY IN
CONJUNCTION WITH AN H5 VORTMAX MOVING INTO THE BASE OF THE POLAR
VORTEX...ALLOWING THE POLAR TROUGH TO DIG SOUTH INTO THE NORTHEASTERN
GULF BRINGING VERY COLD AIR INTO SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA BY SUNDAY NIGHT.
H85 TEMPS RANGING FROM -18C OVER THE ANCHORAGE BOWL TO -24C OVER THE
COPPER RIVER BASIN MOVE INTO PLACE SUNDAY NIGHT...ALTHOUGH THE
COLDEST TEMPERATURES WILL BE FOUND OVER THE YUKON TERR UNDER THE
CENTER OF THE TROUGH. A LEE SIDE LOW THAT FORMS IN THE NORTHEASTERN
GULF TODAY WILL STRENGTHEN RAPIDLY SUNDAY NIGHT AS IT ENCOUNTERS
STRONG PVA AS THE SHORTWAVE DROPS DOWN WITH THE POLAR TROUGH. THIS IN
TURN WILL TIGHTEN THE NORTH-SOUTH PRESSURE GRADIENT ALONG THE
NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST AND THIS...COMBINED WITH VERY COLD AIR IN THE
COPPER RIVER BASIN...WILL LEAD TO VERY STRONG NORTH WINDS THROUGH THE
COPPER RIVER DELTA AND OTHER GAPS IN THE CHUGACH FROM VALDEZ
EAST...PROMPTING THE ISSUANCE OF HIGH WIND WARNINGS FOR ZONES 131 AND
135. STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO BE BLOWING THROUGH THE MATANUSKA VALLEY
TONIGHT WITH BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REST OF
SOUTHCENTRAL...ALLOWING FOR WIND CHILL READINGS TO DROP WELL BELOW
ZERO IN MANY LOCATIONS. INCREASING NORTH WINDS/CAA ALONG WITH PVA
FROM THE SHORTWAVE PASSAGE SHOLD PRECLUDE FOG FORMATION AROUND
ANCHORAGE AND THE PORTAGE VALLEY TONIGHT.

STRONG WINDS CONTINUE THROUGH THE COPPER RIVER DELTA AND NORTHEAST
GULF COAST ON MONDAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS TIGHT. WINDS
SHOULD BEGIN TO GRADUALLY DECREASE ON TUESDAY AS THE LOW DRIFTS SOUTH
AND THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS SLIGHTLY. THE ADVECTION OF COLD AND
DRY AIR INTO SOUTHCENTRAL WILL KEEP SKIES CLEAR AND CONDITIONS DRY
THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK. A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES DROPPING INTO
SOUTHERN ALASKA IN THE NORTHERLY FLOW AND THE ADVECTION OF MOISTURE
FROM THE NORTH MAY ALLOW FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW SNOW SHOWERS
ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE...HOWEVER MOST OF THE MOISTURE SHOULD BE
BLOCKED BY THE MOUNTAINS ALLOWING FOR DRY CONDITIONS WITH ONLY PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK.

WEST OF THE ALASKA RANGE/ALEUTIANS/BERING SEA...HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CONTINUE TO DOMINATE MOST OF THE BERING SEA THROUGH THIS WEEK WITH
CLOUDY SKIES UNDER THE HIGH. A STRONG SHORTWAVE DROPS INTO SOUTHWEST
ALASKA BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING...BRINGING SNOW INTO THE LOWER
KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND DELTA ALONG WITH BREEZY CONDITIONS ALONG THE
BERING SEA COAST. DAY SHIFT WILL NEED TO ASSESS POSSIBILITY OF
ISSUING WSW FOR THIS EVENT. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE LIMITED TO
UNDER SIX INCHES ACROSS THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY/DELTA AND BRISTOL
BAY BY THE SPEED WITH WHICH THE SHORTWAVE MOVES THROUGH THE
REGION...PASSING INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA BY LATE MONDAY NIGHT. STRONG
GAP WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AK PEN AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS
MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY IN THE COLD ADVECTION WITH THE SHORTWAVE.
SHOWER ACTIVITY SHOULD PICK UP ALONG THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS WITH THE COLD ADVECTION AND REINFORCED AS YET ANOTHER H5
SHORTWAVE MOVES THROUGH THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WEDNESDAY. THE
POSSIBILITY FOR SNOW SHOWERS ALSO REMAINS FOR MAINLAND SOUTHWESTERN
ALASKA THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK AS A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES PASSES
THROUGH THE AREA IN THE NORTHERLY FLOW.

THE EXTENDED FORECAST FOR THE WESTERN DOMAIN HAS A DEGREE OF
UNCERTAINTY.  THE GFS IS HINTING AT THE DEVELOPMENT OF A MORE
PROGRESSIVE LONGWAVE PATTERN AFTER 120 HOURS. THIS PROGRESSIVE
PATTERN HAS CAUSED DIMINISHING RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY AND CREATED
DIFFERENCES WITH THE ECMWF. THE ECMWF KEEPS A MORE AMPLIFIED RIDGE
OVER THE BERING SEA WHILE THE GFS IS GRADUALLY FLATTENING THIS RIDGE
BY A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES. DUE TO THE LACK OF CERTAINTY...JUST
KEEPING CHANCE POPS FOR NOW.

ER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...
MARINE...

WOOD