Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2006

Gale Warning 756, NWS Anchorage, AK

October 5, 2006

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Oct 5, 2006, 11:00 PM AKDT. It was in force for 12 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 5, 2006, 11:00 PM AKDT (07:00 UTC)
Expired
Oct 6, 2006, 11:00 AM AKDT
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 061125
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT FRI OCT 6 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-070200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA THROUGH SAT. 
A 992 MB LOW 110 NM SOUTHWEST OF COLD BAY SAT AFTERNOON WILL SEND 
A WEATHER FRONT ACROSS THE GULF FROM SOUTH TO NORTH SAT NIGHT AND
SUNDAY.
$$

PKZ120-070200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT FRI OCT 6 2006

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 30 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-070200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT FRI OCT 6 2006

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT OR LESS IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-070200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT FRI OCT 6 2006

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-070200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT FRI OCT 6 2006

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-070200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT FRI OCT 6 2006

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 29 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 34 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-070200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT FRI OCT 6 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 32 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 35 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-070200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT FRI OCT 6 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-070200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT FRI OCT 6 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT. STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SEAS 
SOUTH OF KALGIN ISLAND. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-070200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT FRI OCT 6 2006

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$
1 follow-up statement
000 
FZAK51 PAFC 062313
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT FRI OCT 6 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-071400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA
THROUGH THE SUNDAY. A 992 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY SAT
AFTERNOON WILL SEND A WEATHER FRONT FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST
THROUGH THE GULF SAT NIGHT INTO SUN. 

$$

PKZ120-071400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM ADT FRI OCT 6 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-071400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM ADT FRI OCT 6 2006

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-071400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM ADT FRI OCT 6 2006

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-071400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM ADT FRI OCT 6 2006

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-071400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM ADT FRI OCT 6 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-071400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM ADT FRI OCT 6 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-071400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM ADT FRI OCT 6 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-071400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM ADT FRI OCT 6 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-071400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM ADT FRI OCT 6 2006

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Oct 5, 12:00 PM AKDT, 11 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 5, 12:00 PM AKDT, 11 hours before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM ADT THU OCT 5 2006

.DISCUSSION...

SYNOPSIS...A WEAKENING UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE NORTHERN INTERIOR IS
PULLING NORTH AND FUSING WITH AN UPPER LOW DROPPING SOUTH FROM THE
ARCTIC SEA THROUGH THE BERING STRAIT.  AT THE SURFACE A POTENT TROUGH
IS MOVING NORTH OUT OF THE GULF OVER THE COPPER RIVER BASIN WHILE
ANOTHER LOW SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS HEADS WEST OVER TOP THE LARGE HIGH
IN THE NORTH PACIFIC.

MODEL ANALYSIS...GENERAL AGREEMENT AMONG THE NUMERICAL SOLUTIONS
THROUGH 48 HOURS.  THE 0Z AND 12Z GFS RUNS HAVE CONTINUED TO SLOW THE
EASTERN PROGRESSION OF THE CURRENT 998MB LOW SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS AND WILL USE THIS FOR THE AFTERNOON PACKAGE. AFTER 48 HOURS
THERE IS VERY POOR AGREEMENT AMONG THE MODELS AND HAVE GENERALLY GONE
WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST DURING THE MID TERM.  AT 72 HOURS THE
MODELS COME IN LINE AGAIN SIGNIFICANTLY DEEPENING A LOW NEAR 40N 165W
AND RUNNING IT DUE NORTH TO BRISTOL BAY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

SHORT TERM...HAVE DECREASED THE WINDS OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS AS
THE FRONT IS NOT AS STRONG AS PREVIOUS ADVERTISED...BUT ARE KEEPING
GALES IN THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALEUTIAN ZONES. MID AND LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL KEEP CLOUDS AROUND SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA WITH SHOWERS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  AS SOUTHWEST FLOW IS MAINTAINED WITH THE UPPER
LOW STATIONED OVER THE SEWARD PENINSULA...LOOKS LIKE WET WINDY AND
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE RULE. RAIN ASSOCIATED
WITH NEXT LOW WILL MOVE INTO COOK INLET FRIDAY MORNING.

LONG TERM...HAVE STARTED TO BUY INTO THE PROGNOSIS OF A VERY DEEP LOW
IMPACTING THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY
WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF GALES AND HIGH WIND WARNINGS FOR THESE AREAS.

AS THIS LOW DEEPENS IT ACTS TO AMPLIFY A LARGE RIDGE CENTERED OVER
SOUTHEAST ALASKA SETTING IN MOTION THE CHANGE FROM A LARGELY ZONAL
STABLE HEMISPHERIC PATTERN TO A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED 4 WAVE PATTERN BY
MIDWEEK NEXT WEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALE 170 172
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

SDM OCT 06

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 5, 11:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC34 hr
Oct 5, 11:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Oct 5, 11:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Oct 6, 11:00 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC5 days
Oct 6, 11:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Oct 6, 11:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2006Every gale warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.