Gale Warning 550, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 301146
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT SUN JUL 30 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-310200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST OVER THE GULF OF
ALASKA THROUGH SUNDAY. A 1001 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 30 NM SOUTHWEST OF
MIDDLETON ISLAND SUNDAY NIGHT AND MOVE TO 120 NM SOUTH OF CAPE
SUCKLING MONDAY NIGHT.

$$

PKZ120-310200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT SUN JUL 30 2006

.TODAY...W TO SW WIND TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 7 FT.  RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-310200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT SUN JUL 30 2006

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT AND SUBSIDING. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-310200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT SUN JUL 30 2006

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-310200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT SUN JUL 30 2006

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-310200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT SUN JUL 30 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-310200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT SUN JUL 30 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-310200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT SUN JUL 30 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT GUSTS TO 35 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-310200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT SUN JUL 30 2006

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-310200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT SUN JUL 30 2006

.TODAY...W TO SW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM ADT SAT JUL 29 2006

.DISCUSSION...
THE MODEL HAVE NOT CHANGED MUCH IN THE LAST FEW DAYS SO CONFIDENCE IS
STILL RATHER GOOD.

THE MAIN UPPER LOW NEAR KOTZEBUE WILL MOVE NORTH TO BECOME NEARLY
STATIONARY JUST NORTH OF THE CHUKCHI SEA TONIGHT. A SECOND WEAKER
UPPER LOW SOUTH OF THE GULF OF ANADYR WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA
SUNDAY AFTERNOON THEN WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA SUNDAY NIGHT
AND MONDAY. A BROAD UPPER TROUGH BETWEEN THESE TWO LOW WILL WESTERN
ALASKA SUNDAY AND WILL COVER MOST OF THE SOUTHERN INTERIOR MONDAY.

THE SURFACE FEATURES WILL MIRROR THE UPPER PATTERN. THE MAIN SURFACE
LOW OVER THE NORTHWEST INTERIOR WILL BECOME STACKED UNDER THE UPPER
LOW NORTH OF THE CHUKCHI SEA THROUGH MONDAY. A SURFACE TROUGH WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN BERING SEA TONIGHT AND INTO WESTERN ALASKA
SUNDAY. AS THIS TROUGH CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST INTO SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA, A LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL DEVELP OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA
MONDAY.

IN GENERAL, THE CLOUDS WILL PERSIST OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE
STATE THROUGH MONDAY AND WILL INCREASE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA AND
THE GULF THROUGH MONDAY.

THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME MORE UNSTABLE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA
SUNDAY AND MONDAY. SCTTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER THE
SUSITNA VALLEY AND AND COPPER RIVER BASIN ON BOTH DAYS. SHOWERS WILL
DEVELOP ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF COAST AND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.

SHOWERS OVER THE SOUTHWEST INTERIOR WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS SUNDAY
AND MONDAY AND THE UPPER TROUGH BECOMES THE DOMINANT FEATURE OVER THE
AREA. THE PERSISTENT WESTERLY FLOW WILL KEEP THE LOW CLOUDS AND AREAS
OF FOG ALONF MOST OF THE COASTAL SECTIONS AT LEAST THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

NM JUL 06