Gale Warning 488, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 121222
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT MON JUN 12 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-130200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL MOVE TO 300 NM SOUTH OF
KODIAK TUESDAY NIGHT AS 990 MB. 
$$

PKZ120-130200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT MON JUN 12 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-130200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT MON JUN 12 2006

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-130200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT MON JUN 12 2006

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-130200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT MON JUN 12 2006

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-130200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT MON JUN 12 2006

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-130200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT MON JUN 12 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-130200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT MON JUN 12 2006

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-130200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT MON JUN 12 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-130200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT MON JUN 12 2006

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
300 PM ADT SUN JUN 11 2006

.DISCUSSION...PARALLEL NAM STILL INITIALIZED BEST. NCEP MODEL MLSP
TRENDS ARE REASONABLE AND IN FAIR AGREEMENT. MODELS ALL APPEAR SLOW
WITH BRINGING MOISTURE INTO SOUTHCENTRAL/NORTH GULF COAST. CURRENT
RADAR AND SAT IMAGERY INDICATES MOISTURE FEED HAS ADVANCED FURTHER
INTO THE NORTH GULF/SOUTHCENTRAL THEN EARLIER PROJECTIONS. THIS
INDICATES IN PART THAT THE GULF HIGH AXIS HAS SHIFTED FURTHER EAST.

.EAST...
GULF HIGH IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND SHIFT EAST ALLOWING
MOISTURE OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL GULF TO SPREAD FURTHER EAST.
EXPECT CLOUDS AND RAIN TO BE GENERAL RULE OVER SOUTHCENTRAL/GULF
THROUGH MON. LOOKS LIKE SOME DRYING AGAIN TUE AS RIDGE REBUILDS OVER
NORTH GULF/SOUTHCENTRAL IN ADVANCE OF NE PACIFIC DEVELOPER. AREAS OF
FOG SHOULD BE FAIRLY WIDESPREAD ALONG THE NORTH GULF AND PORTIONS OF
SOUTHCENTRAL MON NIGHT AFTER LOSS OF HIGHER CLOUDS.
RED FLAG CONDITIONS REASONABLE THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE COPPER
RIVER BASIN. MON LOOKS LIKE A MORE DIFFICULT CALL. ALTHOUGH GUSTY
SOUTH WINDS WILL DEVELOP MON AFTERNOON...MOISTURE ADVECTION MAY BE
SIGNIFICANT ENOUGH TO KEEP RH VALUES ABOVE 40 PERCENT.
E-NE GALES LIKELY WESTERN GULF TUE AFTERNOON WITH APPROACH OF
DEVELOPING NE PACIFIC CENTER.

.WEST
LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR PRIBILOFS WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND DRIFT
SW. BRISK WINDS OVER BRISTOL BAY SHOULD DIMINISH TONIGHT...WITH
LITTLE SIGNIFICANT WIND EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY TUE...INCREASING WINDS
ALASKA PEN LATER TUE.  MOISTURE OVER SW ALASKA TODAY WILL HOLD
THROUGH MON. DRYING LIKELY TUE AS RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE MAINLAND.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES PKZ130.
FIRE WEATHER...RED FLAG WARNING THRU THIS EVENING.

RMC JUN 06