Gale Warning 269, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 140019
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST MON MAR 13 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-141500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1012 MB LOW NEAR 200 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK WILL MOVE SOUTH AND
DISSIPATE BY TUE AFTERNOON. A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL
PERSIST OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA TUE. 
$$

PKZ120-141500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST MON MAR 13 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
STRONGER GUSTS OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. STRONGER GUSTS OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. STRONGER GUSTS OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-141500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST MON MAR 13 2006

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT WITH STRONGER GUSTS. SEAS 4 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT WITH STRONGER GUSTS. SEAS 6 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-141500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST MON MAR 13 2006

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES
DIMINISHING. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-141500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST MON MAR 13 2006

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT DIMINISHING AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-141500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST MON MAR 13 2006

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH TUE NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT WITH STRONGER GUSTS. SEAS 6 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT WITH STRONGER GUSTS. 
SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-141500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST MON MAR 13 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW THIS EVENING.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-141500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST MON MAR 13 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT WITH STRONGER GUSTS. SEAS 6 FT. 
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-141500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST MON MAR 13 2006

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE 
WATERS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT WITH STRONGER GUSTS. SEAS IN ICE FREE 
WATERS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT WITH STRONGER GUSTS. SEAS IN ICE 
FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-141500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST MON MAR 13 2006

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. 
SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM AST SUN MAR 12 2006

.DISCUSSION...
WE HAVE A HIGHER CONFIDENCE LEVEL IN THE GFS MODEL THAN THE ETA MODEL
TODAY.

UPPER AIR...
THE 500 MB PATTERN CONTINUES TO BUILD A CLOSED LOW OVER WESTERN
ALASKA TODAY. THE UPPER LOW OVER THE BERING SEA WILL BE PUSHED SOUTH
OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA MONDAY NIGHT BY A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
MOVING FROM THE WESTERN BERING SEA INTO THE EASTERN BERING. SOUTH
CENTRAL ALASKA WILL REMAIN UNDER A COLD DRY FLOW FROM THE NORTH
THROUGH TUESDAY.

AT SURFACE...
THE HIGH PRESSURE CENTER WILL REMAIN OVER NORTHWEST CANADA THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. A WEAK AREA LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA AND THE
NORTHWEST PACIFIC WILL PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE MODERATE LOW OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA DRIFT NORTH AND
DISSIPATE OVER THE NORTHERN BERING SEA MONDAY EVENING. THE OLD
WEATHER FRONT OVER KODIAK ISLAND, BRISTOL BAY AND THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA
WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKEN THROUGH TONIGHT.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 173, 175, 176, 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

NM MAR 06