Gale Warning 1049, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 261431 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST TUE DEC 26 2006

CORRECTED ZONE 121

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-270300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST
DISSIPATES TUE AFTERNOON. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE GULF TUE
NIGHT. A STRONG WEATHER FRONT CROSSES THE GULF TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED
NIGHT.

$$

PKZ120-270300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST TUE DEC 26 2006

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
20 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO E 35 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS
23 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-270300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST TUE DEC 26 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NORTH OF CAINES HEAD N WIND 25 KT. SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD EAST
WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-270300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST TUE DEC 26 2006

.TODAY...NORTH WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS INCREASING TO E 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-270300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST TUE DEC 26 2006

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KTS OR LESS INCREASING TO E 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-270300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST TUE DEC 26 2006

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KTS DIMINISHING TO 15 KT OR
LESS IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS
9 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-270300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST TUE DEC 26 2006

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT OR LESS IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO SE 40 TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 12
FT. SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO S 30 BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 24 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-270300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST TUE DEC 26 2006

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE 10 KTS IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO NE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO NE 25 IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-270300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST TUE DEC 26 2006

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY
FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-270300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST TUE DEC 26 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...WEST WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE 10 KTS OR LESS THIS
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 270006
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST TUE DEC 26 2006

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-271500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 980 MB LOW 175 NM SOUTHEAST OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL MOVE NEAR PORT
HEIDEN AT 970 MB WED AFTERNOON. IT WILL THEN REMAIN NEARLY 
STATIONARY AND WEAKEN TO 980 MB THU AFTERNOON. A 965 MB LOW WILL 
MOVE TO 375 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKA THU AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ120-271500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST TUE DEC 26 2006

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 55 KT. SEAS 29 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-271500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST TUE DEC 26 2006

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-271500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST TUE DEC 26 2006

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-271500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST TUE DEC 26 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-271500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST TUE DEC 26 2006

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 24 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
26 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-271500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST TUE DEC 26 2006

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-271500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST TUE DEC 26 2006

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 28 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-271500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST TUE DEC 26 2006

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 18 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 24 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-271500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST TUE DEC 26 2006

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM AST MON DEC 25 2006

.DISCUSSION...

SOUTHERLY BRANCH OF THE POLAR JET NOW DEPRESSED WELL TO THE SOUTH OF
THE FORECAST AREA BETWEEN 40N AND 50N. DEEP LOW IN THE EASTERN GULF
PUSHING INLAND SOUTH OF YAKUTAT. UPSTREAM LOW OVER THE WESTERN ALASKA
ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHERLY BRANCH OF THE POLAR JET QUASISTATIONARY
BUT PHASES WITH LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CURRENTLY SOUTH OF SHEMYA LATE
TUESDAY BECOMING A FULL LATITUDE TROUGH VICINITY 165W LATE IN THE
WEEK. NOT SURPRISINGLY ENSEMBLES SHOW CONSIDERABLE DIVERGENCE FROM
THE DETERMINISTIC SOLUTION AS THE DOMINANT MODE OF THE HEMISPHERE
REMAINS IN FLUX.

THIS SHOULD LEAD TO A BRIEF MODERATION FROM THE EASTERN BERING SEA
EASTWARD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. STRONG WINDS AND PRECIPITATION
WILL
DEVELOP ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA INTO THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY
LATE TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AS THE FIRST SURFACE LOW DRIVES NORTH
INTO BRISTOL BAY. GALE AND STORM FORCE WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE
MARINE AREAS FROM THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS EASTWARD...AND LOCAL BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA INTO THE KUSKOKWIM.

IN THE SHORT TERM...OFFSHORE FLOW ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL COASTAL
AREAS IN THE COLD ADVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA
LOW PRODUCING GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE GAP FLOW AND UNUSUALLY HIGH
WAVE HEIGHTS IN A SHORT FETCH. THIS WILL BE DECREASING OVERNIGHT AS
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 155 170 175. STORM 172. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 160 180
185 179.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SCOTT DEC 06