Brisk Wind Advisory 48, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
400 AM AST SAT APR 1 2006

.DISCUSSION...
THE LOW THAT HAS BROUGHT PRECIP TO MUCH OF MAINLAND AK THE PAST
COUPLE OF DAYS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH INTO THE CHUKCHI SEA. THE
SECONDARY LOW IT GENERATED OFF THE FRONT NEAR KODIAK WILL WEAKEN AND
DISSIPATE THIS MORNING. A RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN BERING TODAY AND PROGRESS EASTWARD INTO THE GULF SUN. A
COUPLE OF WEAK SFC LOWS WILL IN THE NORTHERN GULF NEAR SEWARD ON SUN
WILL ADD TO THE PRECIP THAT IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE AROUND
SOUTHCENTRAL. OUT WEST THE STRONG JET SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS WILL
KEEP MOST OF THE UPCOMING LOWS OVER OR TO THE SOUTH OF THE ISLAND
CHAIN THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND PRODUCE EASTERLY ZONAL FLOW OVER THE
NORTHERN BERING.

IN THE EAST..CAA WILL PUSH INTO THE WESTERN PART OF THE REGION TOWARD
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND SUN CHANGING PRECIP OVER FROM RAIN TO SNOW.
ANCHORAGE BOWL COULD SEE UP TO 2 INCHES BY THE END OF SUN. EXPECT IT
TO MELT FAIRLY QUICKLY WITH A WARM UP BY MID WEEK. AREA OF CONCERN
TODAY IS THE EASTERN KENAI..STILL EXPECT AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 6 INCHES
OF WET SNOW IN WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND MORE TO COME ON SUN.
PRECIP IN KODIAK SHOULD NOT BE MUCH OF AN ISSUE AS THE LOW DISSIPATES
AND WINDS COME OUT OF THE NORTHWEST.

IN THE WEST..THRE REMNANTS OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PUSHING AGAINST
THE ALEUTIAN MTNS..CAA..AND THE SFC SW FLOW SET UP A CONVERGENCE ZONE
OVER ILIAMNA YESTERDAY AND LAST NIGHT BRINGING ABOUT 10 INCHES OF
SNOW TO THE AREA. FOR THIS MORNING SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS SHOULD
CONTINUE WITH A BRIEF RESPITE FROM THIS AFTERNOON INTO LATE SUN NIGHT
BEFORE MORE PRECIP MOVES IN WITH THE NEXT SYSTEM. HOWEVER LOOKS LIKE
WITH SOME STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS THE NEXT BATCH WILL BE RAIN ON MON.
LOWS MOVING ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS WILL BRING GALES AND RAIN AND SNOW
ACROSS THE BERING THROUGH MON.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALES 150 155 165 170 171 172 175 176 179
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

RNW APR 06