Wind Advisory 3, NWS Albuquerque, NM

000 
WWUS75 KABQ 121858
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1158 AM MST THU JAN 12 2006

NMZ010>013-016>021-026-130000-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-060113T0000Z/
SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-
LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-
CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST...
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...SANTA ROSA...TUCUMCARI...CARRIZOZO...
RUIDOSO...FORT SUMNER...ROSWELL...PORTALES...CLOVIS
1158 AM MST THU JAN 12 2006

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON. 

WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS HAVE INCREASED ALONG THE I 40 CORRIDOR
FROM TIJERAS CANYON TO TUCUMCARI AND CLOVIS. THE WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO INCREASE SOUTH OF I 40 AND ALONG HIGHWAY 285 TO
ROSWELL THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. STRONG SURFACE WINDS OF
25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED.

THE STRONGEST WIND GUSTS WILL IMPACT THE INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR
FROM JUST EAST OF ALBUQUERQUE TO THE TEXAS STATE LINE AS WELL AS
AREAS EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE
40. THIS ADVISORY INCLUDES ALL OF EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO AS WELL
AS TORRANCE...LINCOLN AND CHAVES COUNTIES.

THE STRONG WINDS COMBINED WITH VERY LOW HUMIDITIES AND TENDER DRY
VEGETATION WILL FURTHER AGGRAVATE ALREADY VERY HIGH TO EXTREME
FIRE DANGER LEVELS. YOU ARE STRONGLY ADVISED TO POSTPONE ALL
OUTDOOR BURNING.

MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING IN THE WIND
ADVISORY AREA. SUDDEN GUSTS OF WIND MAY CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL
OF YOUR VEHICLE. EXTRA ATTENTION SHOULD BE GIVEN TO CROSS WINDS.

$$

41/49

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
259 AM MST THU JAN 12 2006

.DISCUSSION...NEXT PACIFIC FRONTAL SYSTEM POISED TO PUNCH INTO
NORTHWEST NM THIS MORNING...THEN SWEEP THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. MAIN IMPACT WILL BE...ARGH...GUSTY
WINDS. WINDY CONDITIONS ALREADY BEING REPORTED ALONG THE EAST SLOPES
OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN AND PARTS OF THE HIGH PLAINS EARLY
THIS MORNING. RH/S AT THIS EARLY HOUR IN THE TEENS AND 20S FOR MANY
AREAS ESPECIALLY EAST-- POOR RECOVERY AT BEST. SO CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS DEVELOPING EARLIER THAN USUAL.

EXPECT THE STRONGEST WINDS TO IMPACT THE I-40 CORRIDOR FROM JUST
EAST OF ABQ TO THE TX STATE LINE...AS WELL AS THE CENTRAL/
SOUTH-CENTRAL MOUNTAIN RANGES AND SOUTHEAST QUARTER. 700 MB WINDS
LOOK TO PEAK IN THE 40-45 KNOT RANGE BETWEEN 18Z-21Z.  GIVEN THE
SYNOPTIC SET UP FEEL THAT A WIND ADVISORY WARRANTED FOR THE ABOVE
MENTIONED AREAS. WILL ALSO UPGRADE THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH TO A RED
FLAG WARNING. LOW LEVEL DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL OFFSET COLD AIR
ADVECTION EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN AND ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF
I-40. HEDGED A LITTLE ABOVE THE MAV...WHICH SEEMS TOO COOL FOR THESE
AREAS

AS DISCUSSED ON WEDNESDAY...THE AIR MASS IS JUST TOO DRY TO SUPPORT
SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION BOTH AHEAD OF THE SHORT-WAVE AS IT BRUSHES
NORTHERN NEW MEXICO THIS MORNING AND IN THE POST-FRONTAL/NWLY FLOW
ALOFT ENVIRONMENT DURING THE LATE MORNING/MIDDAY HOURS. CONSIDERED
TRIMMING BACK TODAY/S POP GRID EVEN FURTHER BUT CANNOT COMPLETELY
RULE OUT THE SAN JUANS AND NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS PER
PREVIOUS FORECAST. THAT SAID...THE GFS/NAM ARE NOT FORECASTING ANY
QPF FOR OUR AREA TODAY.

BRISK NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT TONIGHT WILL GIVE WAY TO A BUILDING
RIDGE ON FRIDAY. DID LOWER MIN TEMPS THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY MORNING
TO BETTER MESH WITH NEW MOS GUIDANCE...WHICH IS TRENDING COLDER.
THIS REASONABLE GIVEN THE REINFORCEMENT OF VERY DRY/COOLER AIR AND
WHAT SHOULD BE AN EXCELLENT RADIATIONAL COOLING SET UP. VALLEY
INVERSIONS WILL PEAK IN STRENGTH ON FRIDAY...AND LOOKS LIKE AIR
QUALITY ISSUES WILL REGAIN THE HEADLINES IN THE ABQ METRO AREA.

THE RIDGE WILL GET REPLACED BY A STRENGTHENING SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
THIS WEEKEND...DOWNSTREAM OF THE NEXT WEST COAST TROUGH. THE PATTERN
AT LEAST LOOKS PROMISING WITH THE GFS DEPICTING A FETCH OF
SUB-TROPICAL MOISTURE GETTING PULLED NORTHWARD AHEAD OF THE TROUGH
LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY.  THE TROUGH DOES LOOK TO BECOME
INCREASINGLY FRAGMENTED AS IT SLIDES EASTWARD ACROSS NEW MEXICO
MONDAY. HOWEVER...ITS EASTWARD PROGRESSION WILL BE SLOWER THAN
PREVIOUS SYSTEMS WHICH MAY BODE WELL FOR MOISTURE RETURN.  KJ

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  48  17  50  20 /   0   0   0   0
GALLUP..........................  54   8  55  14 /   0   0   0   0
GRANTS..........................  54   9  54  15 /   0   0   0   0
GLENWOOD........................  63  20  64  23 /   0   0   0   0
CHAMA...........................  43   9  45  11 /  10   0   0   0
LOS ALAMOS......................  50  17  51  18 /   0   0   0   0
RED RIVER.......................  42   5  44   8 /   5   0   0   0
TAOS............................  49   4  48  13 /   0   0   0   0
SANTA FE........................  52  17  51  19 /   0   0   0   0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  53  19  52  21 /   0   0   0   0
ESPANOLA........................  52  10  51  13 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  56  26  55  29 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  57  19  54  23 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  55  24  54  25 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  58  23  56  26 /   0   0   0   0
SOCORRO.........................  62  20  56  24 /   0   0   0   0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  53  20  52  20 /   0   0   0   0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  56  12  54  15 /   0   0   0   0
CARRIZOZO.......................  61  19  56  24 /   0   0   0   0
RUIDOSO.........................  59  21  52  21 /   0   0   0   0
RATON...........................  51  12  52  13 /   0   5   0   0
LAS VEGAS.......................  54  18  52  21 /   0   0   0   0
ROY.............................  55  18  50  20 /   0   5   0   0
CLAYTON.........................  60  20  53  31 /   0   5   0   0
SANTA ROSA......................  66  17  58  26 /   0   0   0   0
TUCUMCARI.......................  67  18  57  30 /   0   5   0   0
FORT SUMNER.....................  66  17  55  24 /   0   0   0   0
CLOVIS..........................  67  24  56  28 /   0   0   0   0
PORTALES........................  68  23  57  27 /   0   0   0   0
ROSWELL.........................  73  28  58  25 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON
FOR NMZ107-NMZ108.

WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON
FOR NMZ010-NMZ011-NMZ012-NMZ013-NMZ016-NMZ017-NMZ018-NMZ019-NMZ020-
NMZ021-NMZ026.

&&

41

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
600 AM MST WED JAN 11 2006

NMZ001>021-026-121300-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-HARDING COUNTY-FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-
WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/UPPER GILA REGION-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-
CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY-
600 AM MST WED JAN 11 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...WEATHER CAN
CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...WATCHES AND
WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

16