Flash Flood Warning 26, NWS Albuquerque, NM

000 
WGUS75 KABQ 072105
FFSABQ

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
304 PM MDT MON AUG 7 2006

NMC006-072130-
CIBOLA-
304 PM MDT MON AUG 7 2006

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM MDT FOR
EAST CENTRAL CIBOLA COUNTY...

AT 302 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN. THESE STORMS WERE 
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM SAN FIDEL TO 19 MILES SOUTH OF 
MESITA....MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  ACOMA PUEBLO...
  CUBERO...
  NEW LAGUNA...
  SKYLINE-GANIPA...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY HEAVY RAINFALL
WAS CONTINUING OVER THE WARNED AREA. ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING IS
EXPECTED.

DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED LOW WATER CROSSINGS. MANY
FLASH FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES.

LAT...LON 3509 10762 3513 10723 3469 10721 3464 10748
      3500 10770

$$

DPORTER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1000 AM MDT MON AUG 7 2006

.UPDATE...FEW CHANGES AS FORECASTS ARE ON TRACK AS WRITTEN. WILL
MAKE SMALL ADJUSTMENTS FOR SHOWER TIMING MAINLY FROM ALBUQUERQUE
SOUTHEAST TO REFLECT EXPECTED AFTERNOON COVERAGE. WATER VAPOR
LOOP SHOWING GREATEST MOISTURE FROM SILVER CITY NORTHEAST TO
TAOS...AND WILL BE WATCHING THIS CLOSELY THIS AFTERNOON FOR HIGH
RAINFALL RATES AND LOCAL FLOODING AS CONVECTION DEVELOPS. SHY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...242 AM MDT MON AUG 7 2006...ANOTHER FAIRLY ACTIVE
NIGHT...SO BEEN BUSY MONITORING FLOODING CONDITIONS AND ISSUING
ADVISORIES. AS A RESULT...THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE SHORT. ANOTHER
ACTIVE DAY AND EVENING EXPECTED ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE
STATE...BEFORE A DOWNTURN IN PRECIP EXPECTED GOING INTO THE MID WEEK
TIMEFRAME AS THE UPR LVL HIGH SHIFTS FURTHER WEST DRIVING THE
MOISTURE PLUME FURTHER WEST INTO ARIZONA. NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST. THE WESTERN HALF OF THE STATE WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE MAIN
AREA OF FOCUS FOR SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

25

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
600 AM MDT MON AUG 7 2006

NMZ001>021-026-081200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-HARDING COUNTY-FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-
WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/UPPER GILA REGION-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-
CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY-
600 AM MDT MON AUG 7 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT. HOWEVER...
SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLOODING
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...RIO GRANDE VALLEY...
NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS...WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...SOME
THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLOODING ACROSS
THE WESTERN HALF OF THE STATE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS...
RISING WATER LEVELS AND/OR FLOODING THROUGH THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE WEB SITE OR BY CALLING 1.888.386.7637.

16

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1130 AM MDT MON AUG 7 2006

NMZ001>004-008>011-071830-
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-NORTHWEST PLATEAU-
SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
1130 AM MDT MON AUG 7 2006

...MORE HEAVY RAIN THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHWEST AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON...

FIRST SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OF THE DAY ARE FORMING SOUTHWEST OF
GRANTS AND NEAR CUBA AND LOS ALAMOS. OTHER EARLY THUNDERSTORMS ARE
ALSO DEVELOPING SOUTHEAST OF ALBUQUERQUE FROM EDGEWOOD SOUTHWEST
OVER THE MANZANO MOUNTAINS. THESE EARLY STORMS WILL PRODUCE BRIEF
HEAVY RAIN OF ONE HALF INCH IN 30 MINUTES.

RAINFALL RATES FROM THE STRONGEST STORMS THIS AFTERNOON BETWEEN 1 PM
AND 5 PM WILL AGAIN RANGE FROM ONE TO TWO INCHES IN LESS THAN AN
HOUR. NEW FLOOD ADVISORIES OR POSSIBLE FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS MAY BE
REQUIRED FOR CENTRAL CIBOLA COUNTY SOUTH OF GRANTS BEFORE 1 PM AS
STORMS REPEAT OVER AREAS THAT SAW PERSIST RAINS LAST NIGHT.

CONTINUE TO LISTEN FOR ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS REGARDING THE TREND AND
MOVEMENT OF DEVELOPING STORMS.

03

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1210 PM MDT MON AUG 7 2006

NMZ002-003-071900-
NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
1210 PM MDT MON AUG 7 2006

...BRIEF HEAVY RAIN NEAR LOS ALAMOS AND NORTHWEST OF ESPANOLA...

THUNDERSTORMS NEAR LOS ALAMOS ARE PRODUCING SOME OF THE FIRST HEAVY
RAINS OF THE AFTERNOON WITH RAINFALL RATES ESTIMATED AT NEAR ONE
INCH AN HOUR. THE FIRST STORM WAS LOCATED JUST NORTHEAST OF LOS
ALAMOS OVER GARCIA CANYON. A NEW STORM IS DEVELOPING JUST SOUTHWEST
OF LOS ALAMOS AND MOVING TOWARDS THE CITY WITH INCREASING RAIN...SO
SOME STREET FLOODING MAY OCCUR IN LOS ALAMOS BEFORE 1230 PM.

STORMS ARE ALSO INCREASING JUST WEST OF HIGHWAY 84 BETWEEN ESPANOLA
AND ABIQUIU SO WATCH FOR BRIEF ARROYO FLOWS AS THESE STORMS MOVE
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE HIGHWAY.

CONTINUE TO LISTEN FOR ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS REGARDING THE TREND AND
MOVEMENT OF DEVELOPING STORMS.

03

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
100 PM MDT MON AUG 7 2006

NMZ001>005-008>011-014-015-072000-
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-NORTHWEST PLATEAU-
SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/UPPER GILA REGION-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
100 PM MDT MON AUG 7 2006

...THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN INCREASING ACROSS NORTHWEST AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING TO INCREASE IN SIZE AND
INTENSITY ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO.

BEST CHANCES FOR AN EARLY AFTERNOON HEAVY RAIN SOAKING WILL COME
FROM STORMS NOW CLUSTERED OVER CIBOLA COUNTY MAINLY SOUTH OF GRANTS
AND FROM NEW STORMS DEVELOPING BETWEEN MORIARTY AND SANTA FE. BOTH
SANTA FE AND CIBOLA COUNTIES ARE BEING MONITOR FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD
ADVISORY BEFORE 2 PM.

OTHER LESS INTENSE STORMS ARE BUILDING WEST AND NORTHWEST OF
SOCORRO. STORMS CONTINUE ALSO JUST NORTHEAST OF LOS ALAMOS AND NEAR
THE HIGHWAYS JUST NORTH AND AND NORTHEAST OF ESPANOLA.

SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGES ALSO SHOW INCREASING STORMS IN MCKINLEY
COUNTY FROM NEAR CROWNPOINT WEST TO GALLUP. STORMS IN ARIZONA WILL
LIKELY MOVE NORTHEAST INTO WESTERN SAN JUAN COUNTY SOUTH OF
SHIPROCK BEFORE 130 PM.

RAINFALL RATES FROM THE STRONGEST STORMS THIS AFTERNOON BETWEEN 2 PM
AND 5 PM WILL AGAIN RANGE MOSTLY FROM ONE TO TWO INCHES IN
LESS THAN AN HOUR.

CONTINUE TO LISTEN FOR ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS REGARDING THE TREND AND
MOVEMENT OF DEVELOPING STORMS.

03