Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 240, NWS Tulsa, OK

June 16, 2005Osage County, Pawnee County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 16, 2005, 12:18 AM CDT for Osage County, Pawnee County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 57 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jun 16, 2005, 12:18 AM CDT (05:18 UTC)
Expired: Jun 16, 2005, 1:15 AM CDT
In force: 57 min
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Osage County, OK, Pawnee County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 111 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jun 16, 12:45 AM CDT	TSTM WND GST 59	7 Sw Burbank, OK
Jun 16, 12:55 AM CDT	TSTM WND GST 60	Ralston, OK

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 27 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 15, 10:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Lamont, OK (KLMN), launched 00:00Z, 5.3 hours before the alert went out and 70 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 652 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -202 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2047 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 7 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 132 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 1.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS54 KTSA 160520
SVRTSA
OKC113-117-160615-
/O.NEW.KTSA.SV.W.0240.050616T0518Z-050616T0615Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1218 AM CDT THU JUN 16 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  OSAGE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
  PAWNEE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

* UNTIL 115 AM CDT

* AT 1216 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL
  AND WINDS TO 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
  EXTENDING FROM 27 MILES NORTH OF GRAINOLA TO 47 MILES WEST OF
  PAWNEE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...GRAINOLA...
  FORAKER...SHIDLER...BURBANK...WESTPORT...RALSTON...CLEVELAND...
  SKEDEE...BLACKBURN...MARAMEC...HALLETT...TERLTON...JENNINGS...
  PAWNEE...HULAH...BIGHEART...PEARSONIA...OKESA...BARNSDALL...
  FAIRFAX...WYNONA...HOMINY...OSAGE AND PAWHUSKA.

STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 3671 9703 3637 9701 3616 9677 3619 9629
      3700 9601 3698 9673

$$

1 follow-up statement

000 
WWUS54 KTSA 160547
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1247 AM CDT THU JUN 16 2005

OKC113-117-160615-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0240.000000T0000Z-050616T0615Z/
OSAGE OK-PAWNEE OK-
1247 AM CDT THU JUN 16 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 115 AM CDT FOR
PAWNEE AND OSAGE COUNTIES...

AT 1246 AM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE
A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL
AND WINDS TO 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES WEST OF RALSTON TO 9 MILES NORTH OF
BIGHEART...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...PEARSONIA...
FAIRFAX...RALSTON...BIGHEART...HULAH...PAWNEE...PAWHUSKA...SKEDEE...
OKESA...NELAGONEY...BLACKBURN...PERSHING...WESTPORT...CLEVELAND...
MARAMEC...HALLETT...TERLTON...JENNINGS...TALLANT...BARNSDALL...
WYNONA...HOMINY AND OSAGE.

STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 3671 9703 3637 9701 3616 9677 3619 9629
      3700 9601 3698 9673

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 15, 9:35 PM CDT, 2 hours 43 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 15, 9:35 PM CDT, 2 hours 43 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
935 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2005

.DISCUSSION...
MCS DEVELOPING AS PLANNED ACROSS KANSAS AND NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA.
THIS COMPLEX WILL TRACK SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA LATE
TONIGHT AND THURSDAY WITH THE CORE OF THE SYSTEM POSSIBLY TRACKING
A BIT FURTHER WEST THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT. REGARDLESS...BELIEVE
CATEGORICAL POPS ARE WARRANTED EVERYWHERE THURSDAY. FOR
TONIGHT...THE GOING FORECAST LOOKS PRETTY GOOD BUT DID ADJUST
MINIMUM TEMPERATURES DOWN A BIT IN THE VALLEYS OF SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA WHERE CURRENT READINGS ARE ALREADY NEAR THE FORECAST LOWS.

ANOTHER MCS IS LIKELY SOMEWHERE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY BUT ITS
LOCATION WILL BE DETERMINED BY THE FATE OF THE INITIAL MCS.
SUSPECT THAT THE BRUNT OF THE SECOND SYSTEM THOUGH MAY BE WEST OF
OUR AREA AS OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IS LIKELY TO BE PUSHED RATHER FAR TO
OUR SOUTH AND WEST THURSDAY. LEFT TEMPERATURES PRETTY MUCH AS IS
FOR THURSDAY ALTHOUGH THEY MAY BE A BIT WARM IN SOME PLACES.

UPDATE COMING SHORTLY.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

FORECASTER ID= 5

PLATE

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 15, 11:12 PM CDT, 1 hour 6 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1112 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2005

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-161000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1112 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2005

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT ACROSS NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...1 AM.
	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...NORTH OF INTERSTATE 44.

DISCUSSION...
TWO THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES DEVELOPED THIS EVENING THAT MAY END UP
AFFECTING NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATE TONIGHT. ONE IS CURRENTLY OVER
CENTRAL KANSAS AND ANOTHER IS OVER NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA. THESE
COMPLEXES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT AS
THE LOW LEVEL JET INCREASES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.
THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE STRONG THUNDERSTORM
WINDS OF AROUND 65 MPH. ADDITIONAL CONCERNS WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR
HEAVY RAINS AND POSSIBLE FLOODING...ESPECIALLY FOR LOCATIONS NEAR
THE OKLAHOMA KANSAS BORDER WHERE THE GROUND IS ALREADY SATURATED FROM
PREVIOUS RAINFALL.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE TONIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT INDEX POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO BE ONGOING
THURSDAY MORNING...AND WITH UNCERTAINTIES IN THE SPEED OF THE
SYSTEMS...THUNDERSTORMS COULD REDEVELOP OR INTENSIFY OVER THE AREA
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES MAY AFFECT THE
AREA AGAIN FRIDAY.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY...AND LATER
FORECASTS SHOULD BE MONITORED CLOSELY FOR BOTH SEVERE WEATHER AND
HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 15, 10:43 PM CDT, 1 hour 35 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1043 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2005

OKZ054-059-161000-
OSAGE-PAWNEE-
1043 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2005

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
486 IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS...

IN OKLAHOMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 2 COUNTIES

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

OSAGE... PAWNEE...

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...PAWHUSKA AND PAWNEE.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 16, 1:15 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Osage, Pawnee, Tulsa, Washington	60 min
Jun 16, 1:43 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Creek	62 min
Jun 16, 1:46 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Nowata, Rogers	61 min
Jun 16, 2:15 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Tulsa, Wagoner	60 min
Jun 16, 2:21 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Mayes	54 min
Jun 16, 3:01 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Cherokee, Muskogee	27 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Oklahoma, 2005 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.