Frost Advisory 2, NWS Topeka, KS

000 
WWUS73 KTOP 080245
NPWTOP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
945 PM CDT FRI OCT 7 2005

KSZ010>012-022>024-026-035>040-054>056-058-059-081400-
/X.CON.KTOP.FR.Y.0002.051008T0700Z-051008T1400Z/
MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-RILEY-POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-
DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-
FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARYSVILLE...HIAWATHA...MANHATTAN...
ABILENE...JUNCTION CITY...TOPEKA...LAWRENCE...EMPORIA...OTTAWA
945 PM CDT FRI OCT 7 2005

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM CDT
SATURDAY...

A FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM CDT
SATURDAY. 

CLEAR SKIES ALONG WITH LIGHT WINDS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO
DROP INTO THE LOW TO MID 30S OVERNIGHT. FROST IS LIKELY IN THE
ADVISORY AREA.

THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS IN THE ADVISORY AREA ARE
ADVISED TO PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT
OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD.

$$

WOLTERS

000 
WWUS73 KTOP 080900
NPWTOP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
400 AM CDT SAT OCT 8 2005

KSZ010>012-022>024-026-035>040-054>056-058-059-081400-
/X.CON.KTOP.FR.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051008T1400Z/
MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-RILEY-POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-
DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-
FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARYSVILLE...HIAWATHA...MANHATTAN...
ABILENE...JUNCTION CITY...TOPEKA...LAWRENCE...EMPORIA...OTTAWA
400 AM CDT SAT OCT 8 2005

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING...

A FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING. 

CLEAR SKIES ALONG WITH LIGHT WINDS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO
DROP INTO THE LOWER TO MID 30S THIS MORNING. FROST IS LIKELY TO
FORM BY SUNRISE ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA.

THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS IN THE ADVISORY AREA ARE
ADVISED TO PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT
OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD.

$$

000 
WWUS73 KTOP 081357
NPWTOP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
857 AM CDT SAT OCT 8 2005

KSZ010>012-022>024-026-035>040-054>056-058-059-081500-
/X.EXP.KTOP.FR.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-051008T1400Z/
MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-RILEY-POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-
DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-
FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARYSVILLE...HIAWATHA...MANHATTAN...
ABILENE...JUNCTION CITY...TOPEKA...LAWRENCE...EMPORIA...OTTAWA
857 AM CDT SAT OCT 8 2005

...FROST ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING...

THE FROST ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING. AREAS OF
FROST ARE DISSIPATING...AS TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE AREA CONTINUE
TO RISE THIS MORNING.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
415 AM CDT FRI OCT 7 2005

.DISCUSSION...

MAIN FORECAST CONCERN IS FROST POTENTIALS THIS MORNING AND
SATURDAY MORNING.

WATER VAPOR AND PROFILERS SHOWING SHORTWAVE AND ASSOCIATED DRYING
MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS IN COMBINATION WITH
SUBSIDENCE BEHIND THE SHORTWAVE IS AIDING GRADUAL CLEARING SKIES
ACROSS THE NORTHWEST 1/3 OF THE CWA WHICH SHOULD TRANSLATE SOUTHEAST
THROUGH SUNRISE. THIS IN COMBINATION WITH DECREASING WINDS AND DRY
AIR IN PLACE...SHOULD SEE TEMPS FALL SIGNIFICANTLY THROUGH SUNRISE
ACROSS THE NORTHWEST HALF OF THE CWA RESULTING IN FROST IN THE
CURRENT ADVISORY AREA WITH MORE PATCHY FORMATION JUST TO THE
SOUTHEAST. WILL THEREFORE KEEP FROST ADVISORY GOING NORTH UNTIL 9 AM.

ONCE CLOUDS CLEAR...THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY SHOULD GENERALLY BE
CLOUDFREE AS STRATACU DECK OVER IA/NE/MO STAYS TO THE EAST OF THE
CWA. WITH FAIRLY LIGHT WINDS...HIGHS WILL BE NEAR OR SLIGHTLY
ABOVE YESTERDAYS IN THE UPPER 50S TO NEAR 60. AS SFC HIGH SLIDES OFF
TO THE EAST TONIGHT...SFC WINDS SHOULD BECOME MORE EASTERLY...AND
WITH DRY AIR/LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES...SHOULD SEE A VERY GOOD
RADIATIONAL COOLING WITH ANOTHER FROST POTENTIAL AFTER MIDNIGHT INTO
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING AS READINGS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
CWA DROP INTO THE 33-35 RANGE. WILL KEEP WESTERN AREAS PATCHY WITH
AREAS OF FROST IN THE EAST. WITH A FROST ADVISORY ALREADY GOING THIS
MORNING IN SOME AREAS...WILL NOT ISSUE A SECOND ADVISORY YET...BUT
NEXT SHIFT WILL NEED TO CONSIDER ANOTHER ADVISORY ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA AGAIN TONIGHT.

MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL THEN PERSIST INTO SATURDAY NIGHT...BUT
WARMER AIR WILL GRADUALLY MOVE BACK INTO THE AREA...SO NO ADDITIONAL
FROST POTENTIAL ANYWHERE AFTER TONIGHT. AFTER HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
ON SATURDAY...SHOULD READINGS CLOSE TO 70 ON SUNDAY. NEXT SYSTEM
STILL ON TRACK TO DIG INTO THE PLAINS SUNDAY NIGHT AND PROVIDE
ANOTHER CHANCE FOR RAIN IN THE CWA BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING WITH
BETTER CHANCES THEN INTO TUESDAY BEFORE SYSTEM LIFTS OUT TO THE
NORTHEAST BY LATE WEDNESDAY. THIS IS WELL HANDLED IN CURRENT FCST
GRIDS SO LITTLE OR NO CHANGES MADE...BUT DID INCREASE DEWPOINTS TO
BETTER FIT MOISTURE ADVECTION TRENDS AND SURROUNDING DEWPOINT GRIDS.

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM TODAY
KSZ008-KSZ009-KSZ010-KSZ011-KSZ012-KSZ020-KSZ021-KSZ022-KSZ023-KSZ024
-KSZ034-KSZ035-KSZ036.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
623 AM CDT FRI OCT 7 2005

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-081130-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
623 AM CDT FRI OCT 7 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.