Flash Flood Warning 23, NWS Topeka, KS

000 
WGUS73 KTOP 050148
FFSTOP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
848 PM CDT SAT JUN 4 2005

KSC085-149-050400-
JACKSON-POTTAWATOMIE-
848 PM CDT SAT JUN 4 2005

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR EASTERN
POTTAWATOMIE AND JACKSON COUNTIES...

AT 835 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED FLASH FLOODING IN 
THE ST. MARYS AREA.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HOLTON...WAMEGO...ST. MARYS...BELVUE...LOUISVILLE...DELIA...HOYT...
EMMETT...MAYETTA...CIRCLEVILLE AND POTAWATOMI RESERVATION.

RUNOFF FROM THIS STORM WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OF CREEKS AND
STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY ROADS AND FARMLANDS
ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS AND LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT
TO FLASH FLOODING.

DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

LAT...LON 3919 9637 3920 9608 3915 9605 3922 9603
      3923 9566 3958 9563 3943 9639

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
225 PM CDT SAT JUN 4 2005

.DISCUSSION...
MAIN CONCERNS ARE ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL AND SEVERE WEATHER
THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

FOR TONIGHT...
TSTMS ALREADY DVLPG ERN KS IN VERY UNSTABLE MOIST AMS AS IT SLOWLY
BECOMES UNCAPPED AND READY FOR SERVICE. SPC HI RISK AND NEWLY ISSUED
TOR WATCH FIT IN WELL. UPR LOW ERN COLO AND ATTENDING SHRTWV TO
ROTATE EWD THRU RGN TNGT PROVDG GOOD LIFT OVER SFC BOUNDR AS IT
MOVES EWD TNGT. DRY LN STILL IN WRN KS, SO SVR THREAT COULD LAST
SEVERAL HRS. ALSO THREAT OF HVY RAINFALL OVER REGN WITH SATURATED
GRD FROM YDA AND OVERNGT RAINS. THUS FFA IS CONTD ACROSS ALL BUT FAR
NWRN CWA. CUD BE A VERY BUSY EVNG....

SUNDAY/SUNDAY NIGHT...THE 5H TROUGH AXIS WILL MOVE ACROSS EASTERN KS
DURING THE LATE MORNING HOURS ON SUNDAY. THIS WILL PUSH THE PACIFIC
COLD FRONT EAST INTO MO BY NOON. THERE MAY BE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST COUNTIES OF THE FA BEFORE FROPA
BY NOON. TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE MID 80S WITH DRIER CONDITIONS.

MONDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT...ANOTHER 5H TROUGH WILL MOVE ON SHORE ACROSS
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND DIG INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKY MOUNTAINS. A
MINOR 5H TROUGH WILL LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS. EASTERN
KS WILL BE UNDER A DOWN STREAM 5H RIDGE. THERE MAY BE A SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WHEN THE DEEPER MOISTURE MOVES NORTH ACROSS
THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...BUT THE RIDGE ALOFT
AND CAP MAY LIMIT ANY DEEP MOIST CONVECTION. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL BE
IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 60S.

WEDNESDAY/SATURDAY...THE LONGER RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A
LONGER WAVE LENGTH 5H TROUGH ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS. ATTM MOST OF
THE SMALLER WAVE-LENGTH 5H TROUGH WILL LIFT OUT NORTH OF THE FA. THE
GFS SHOWS A 5H TROUGH LIFTING NORTHEAST FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY. THERE MAY BE ENOUGH LIFT TO BREAK THE
CAP AND GIVE THE AREA A BETTER CHANCE OF RAIN WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. OTHERWISE EXPECT MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE THE MID 80S TO AROUND 90 DEGREES.
&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL
11 PM CDT FOR THE ENTIRE CWA. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6AM
SUNDAY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM ABILENE...TO MANHATTAN...TO
SENECA.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
245 PM CDT SAT JUN 4 2005

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-051000-
ANDERSON-BROWN-CLAY-CLOUD-COFFEY-DICKINSON-DOUGLAS-FRANKLIN-GEARY-
JACKSON-JEFFERSON-LYON-MARSHALL-MORRIS-NEMAHA-OSAGE-OTTAWA-
POTTAWATOMIE-REPUBLIC-RILEY-SHAWNEE-WABAUNSEE-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ABILENE...CLAY CENTER...CONCORDIA...
EMPORIA...HIAWATHA...JUNCTION CITY...LAWRENCE...MANHATTAN...
MARYSVILLE...OTTAWA AND TOPEKA
245 PM CDT SAT JUN 4 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL...NORTHEAST AND
EAST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

...TORNADOES POSSIBLE LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO BE LIKELY ACROSS THE AREA BY LATE
AFTERNOON CONTINUING INTO THE NIGHTTIME HOURS. A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE
WEATHER OUTBREAK IS LIKELY WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND
TORNADOES POSSIBLE FROM FAST DEVELOPING AND QUICK MOVING SEVERE
STORMS. STRONG WIND SHEAR AND VERY UNSTABLE AIR WILL LEAD TO
SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS THAT WILL BE LONG-LIVED AND HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE TORNADOES. WEATHER INFORMATION SHOULD BE
MONITORED FREQUENTLY FOR UPDATES, WATCHES AND WARNINGS...ESPECIALLY
WHERE OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES ARE PLANNED. BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF
STORMS FORM.

A FLOOD WATCH ALSO CONTINUES TONIGHT FOR A GOOD PART OF THE AREA.
MORE HEAVY RAINFALL TONIGHT OVER ALREADY SATURATED GROUND WILL LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR RESIDUAL THUNDERSTORMS EARLY SUNDAY ALONG AND
SOUTHEAST OF I-35...WITH A CHANCE FOR MORE THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS WILL BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...AND SHOULD BE
READY FOR QUICK DEPLOYMENT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/TOP  (ALL LOWER CASE)

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
717 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0705 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 W OZAWKIE             39.23N 95.50W
06/04/2005  60 MPH           JEFFERSON          KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

CAVANAUGH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
724 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 PM     HAIL             WAMEGO                  39.20N 96.30W
06/04/2005  1.00 INCH        POTTAWATOMIE       KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

CAVANAUGH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
751 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0751 PM     HAIL             TOPEKA                  39.05N 95.68W
06/04/2005  1.00 INCH        SHAWNEE            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            13TH AND GARFIELD

&&

CAVANAUGH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
753 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0751 PM     TSTM WND GST     EMPORIA                 38.40N 96.18W
06/04/2005  55 MPH           LYON               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

CAVANAUGH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
755 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0755 PM     TSTM WND GST     EMPORIA                 38.40N 96.18W
06/04/2005  65 MPH           LYON               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

CAVANAUGH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
759 PM CDT SAT JUN 04 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0748 PM     FLASH FLOOD      12 WNW PAXICO           39.14N 96.37W
06/04/2005                   WABAUNSEE          KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER OVER HIGHWAY 18 NEAR TOWN OF WABAUNSEE...ALSO OVER
            SEVERAL COUNTY ROADS NORTHWEST PART OF THE COUNTY.

&&

GS