Flash Flood Warning 18, NWS Topeka, KS

000 
WGUS73 KTOP 031322
FFSTOP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
822 AM CDT FRI JUN 3 2005

KSC041-061-143-031515-
OTTAWA-GEARY-DICKINSON-
822 AM CDT FRI JUN 3 2005

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 1015 AM CDT FOR DICKINSON...
GEARY AND OTTAWA COUNTIES...

AT 820 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING OVER THE WARNED AREA.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ABILENE...JUNCTION CITY...MINNEAPOLIS...HERINGTON...CARLTON...HOPE...
WOODBINE...ENTERPRISE...CHAPMAN...TESCOTT...BENNINGTON...
MANCHESTER...DELPHOS...MOONLIGHT AND TALMAGE.

AT 728 AM...AN OBSERVER REPORTED 8 TO 10 INCHES OF WATER FLOWING 
OVER HIGHWAY 57...5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF JUNCTION CITY.

AT 750 AM...A TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED WATER OVER THE ROAD ABOUT A 
HALF FOOT DEEP FLOWING OVER BROADWAY AND PAINT STREETS IN HOPE.

RUNOFF FROM THESE STORMS WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OF CREEKS AND
STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY ROADS AND FARMLANDS
ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS AND LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT
TO FLASH FLOODING.

DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

LAT...LON 3930 9740 3914 9738 3912 9736 3905 9652
      3888 9650 3886 9652 3886 9689 3880 9693
      3864 9694 3865 9732 3897 9737 3898 9788
      3930 9790

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
250 AM CDT FRI JUN 3 2005

.DISCUSSION...

CONCERNS REMAIN THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FOR TODAY AND
SATURDAY...WITH HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE.

THUNDERSTORMS JUST BEGINNING TO MOVE INTO FAR NW CWA AHEAD OF
MCS/SQUALL LINE ACROSS CTRL NEBRASKA AND NORTHWEST KANSAS. STRONGER
INSTABILITY IS SOUTH AND WEST...AND IT APPEARS ATTM THAT STORMS ARE
BEGINNING TO MOVE SE AND INTENSIFY ALONG NW TO SE INSTABILITY
GRADIENT. ETA 12 ADVERTISED A NORTH/SOUTH SPLIT...AND LOOKS LIKE
THIS MAY STILL HAPPEN AS FORWARD PROPAGATING CORFIDI VECTORS
INDICATE EASTWARD MOVEMENT OF THE NORTHERN PART OF THE LINE...AND
SOUTHERN SIDE SLIDES SOUTHEAST INTO THE CWA. EXPECT LEADING EDGE TO
BE NEAR THE SHAWNEE COUNTY LINE AROUND 5-6 AM...AND SPREAD TO THE MO
STATE LINE BY ABOUT 10AM. INITIAL FORWARD MOTION OF THE LINE IS NEAR
40 MPH. NOT GETTING MANY SEVERE REPORTS OUT OF THE LINE YET...BUT
WILL MONITOR FOR WIND THREAT AND POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL. HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE A THREAT.

LATER TODAY...UPPER WAVE IN SW US EJECTS TOWARDS THE STATE...AND
SHOULD KEEP THUNDERSTORMS GOING FOR MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AS LIFT SPREADS OVER THE AREA. 0-6KM SHEAR STILL 25-30 KTS
DESPITE BACKING OF UPPER LEVEL WINDS...AND CAPES STILL 1-2K J/KG.
ATMOSPHERE MAY BE A BIT WORKED OVER FROM THIS MORNINGS MCS...BUT
WILL DEPEND ON WHERE AND WHEN STORMS MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. ENOUGH
FOR CATEGORICAL POPS THIS MORNING MOST OF THE AREA...WITH LIKELY FAR
SOUTHEAST. WILL THEN KEEP 40-50 POPS FOR AFTERNOON AS SCATTERED
STORMS CONTINUE. HEAVY RAINFALL COULD ALSO BE A PROBLEM TODAY AS FFG
VALUES HAVE DECREASED IN SOME AREAS DUE TO RECENT RAINFALL. WILL
NEED TO WATCH THIS CAREFULLY.

NEXT S/W PROGGED OVER CO EARLY SATURDAY TO MOVE INTO KANSAS BY LATE
AFTERNOON. HAVE SOME CONCERNS ABOUT THIS ONE...AS MOIST SOUTHERLY
FLOW CONTINUES AHEAD OF THE WAVE...AND EVEN BREAKS OUT A BIT OF
SUNSHINE IN THE AFTERNOON WHICH WOULD FURTHER DESTABILIZE THE
ATMOSPHERE. WAVE AND FRONT THEN MOVE INTO THE CWA NEAR PEAK HEATING
INTO CAPES 1-3K J/KG AND 0-6KM SHEAR 35-45 KTS. IF TIMING PLAYS OUT
THIS WAY...WOULD EXPECT SEVERE STORMS THIS DAY. DID STRETCH SCT POPS
INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

CURRENT EARLY SUNDAY POPS ARE 20...AND MAY NEED TO BE ADJUSTED
DEPENDING ON SPEED OF DEPARTING WAVE. BUT HAVE LEFT FOR NOW.
BOUNDARY THEN SHIFTS SOUTH OF THE AREA AS WESTERLY FLOW MOVES IN
ALOFT AND HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO EAST CENTRAL KANSAS. FOR
MONDAY...MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW QUICKLY RETURNS TO THE AREA AS WESTERN
TROF MOVES ONSHORE. NO CHANGES TO EXTENDED.

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

67

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
416 AM CDT FRI JUN 3 2005

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-040915-
ANDERSON-BROWN-CLAY-CLOUD-COFFEY-DICKINSON-DOUGLAS-FRANKLIN-GEARY-
JACKSON-JEFFERSON-LYON-MARSHALL-MORRIS-NEMAHA-OSAGE-OTTAWA-
POTTAWATOMIE-REPUBLIC-RILEY-SHAWNEE-WABAUNSEE-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ABILENE...CLAY CENTER...CONCORDIA...
EMPORIA...HIAWATHA...JUNCTION CITY...LAWRENCE...MANHATTAN...
MARYSVILLE...OTTAWA AND TOPEKA
416 AM CDT FRI JUN 3 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL...NORTHEAST AND
EAST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA TODAY.
THE MAIN HAZARD FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL...UP TO AN
INCH PER HOUR IN SOME LOCATIONS. STRONG WIND GUSTS AND HAIL WILL ALSO
BE POSSIBLE.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...A
FEW OF WHICH MAY BECOME SEVERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA ON SATURDAY...SOME OF
WHICH MAY BE SEVERE.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE THEN POSSIBLE EACH DAY SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/TOP  (ALL LOWER CASE)

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
446 AM CDT FRI JUN 03 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0425 AM     HAIL             MARYSVILLE              39.84N 96.65W
06/03/2005  0.75 INCH        MARSHALL           KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            REPORTS RECIEVED FROM PUBLIC THAT HAIL WAS SLIGHTLY
            LARGER THAN THE SIZE OF DIME.

&&

WOLTERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
506 AM CDT FRI JUN 03 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0501 AM     HAIL             RILEY                   39.30N 96.83W
06/03/2005  0.75 INCH        RILEY              KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

WOLTERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
542 AM CDT FRI JUN 03 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0535 AM     HAIL             3 SW MANHATTAN          39.15N 96.61W
06/03/2005  1.00 INCH        RILEY              KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

WOLTERS