Severe Thunderstorm Warning 132, NWS Tallahassee, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
927 PM EDT FRI MAY 20 2005

.SYNOPSIS...LINE OF SHRA/TSRA SLOWLY MAKING THEIR WAY DOWN THROUGH
THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF OUR CWA. SOME PRETTY IMPRESSIVE STORMS SEEN
IN THE LAST HOUR OR TWO WITH VILS EXCEEDING 70 KG/M3. QUARTER SIZE
HAIL REPORTED IN HENRY AND TIFT COUNTIES EARLIER. SEVERE TS WATCH
IS OUT FOR OUR GA AND AL COUNTIES UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT AND FOR OUR FL
ZONES UNTIL 2 AM EDT. LOOK FOR SVR THREAT TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
EARLY MORNING HRS...BUT AS TAE SOUNDING NOT SHOWING MUCH IN THE WAY
OF SHEAR...MAIN THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS. ZONES HAVE SVR WORDING AND WATCHES IN THEM AND WILL NOT UPDATE
AT THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...ONGOING STG/SVR TSTMS XPCTD TO DISSIPATE AFT 06-08Z.
AFTERWARDS...STILL XPCT MVFR CONDITIONS WITH POSSIBLE HIGH END IFR
AT SOME OF THE TAF SITES...ESPECIALLY THOSE GETTING SIGNIFICANT
RAIN...WHICH SO FAR WOULD INCLUDE DHN AND ABY.

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
FL...NONE.

&&

MCNATT/TURNAGE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
519 AM EDT FRI MAY 20 2005

...SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-GMZ750-
755-770-775-211000-
BAKER GA-BAY FL-BEN HILL GA-BERRIEN GA-BROOKS GA-CALHOUN GA-
CALHOUN FL-CLAY GA-COASTAL WALTON FL-COFFEE AL-COLQUITT GA-COOK GA-
DALE AL-DECATUR GA-DIXIE FL-DOUGHERTY GA-EARLY GA-FRANKLIN FL-
GADSDEN FL-GENEVA AL-GRADY GA-GULF FL-HENRY AL-HOLMES FL-HOUSTON AL-
INLAND WALTON FL-IRWIN GA-JACKSON FL-JEFFERSON FL-LAFAYETTE FL-
LANIER GA-LEE GA-LEON FL-LIBERTY FL-LOWNDES GA-MADISON FL-MILLER GA-
MITCHELL GA-QUITMAN GA-RANDOLPH GA-SEMINOLE GA-TAYLOR FL-TERRELL GA-
THOMAS GA-TIFT GA-TURNER GA-WAKULLA FL-WASHINGTON FL-WORTH GA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ABBEVILLE...ADEL...ALBANY...APALACHICOLA...
ASHBURN...BAINBRIDGE...BLAKELY...BLOUNTSTOWN...BONIFAY...CAIRO...
CALLAWAY...CAMILLA...CARRABELLE...CHIPLEY...COLQUITT...COTTONWOOD...
CRAWFORDVILLE...CROSS CITY...CUTHBERT...DALEVILLE...DAWSON...
DE FUNIAK SPRINGS...DONALSONVILLE...DOWNTOWN DOTHAN...ELBA...
ENTERPRISE...FITZGERALD...FORT GAINES...FORT RUCKER...GENEVA...
GEORGETOWN...HEADLAND...LAKELAND...LEESBURG...MADISON...MARIANNA...
MAYO...MONTICELLO...MORGAN...MOULTRIE...NASHVILLE...NEWTON...
OCILLA...OZARK...PANAMA CITY...PANAMA CITY BEACH...PELHAM...PERRY...
PORT ST. JOE...PUTNEY...QUITMAN...SANTA ROSA BEACH...ST. MARKS...
STEINHATCHEE...SYLVESTER...TALLAHASSEE...THOMASVILLE...TIFTON...
VALDOSTA AND VERNON
519 AM EDT FRI MAY 20 2005

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL
GEORGIA...THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN PANHANDLE...AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP...MOVE SOUTHEAST...AND
PUSH A FRONT INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE STORMS FORECAST WITH THIS SYSTEM FOR MAINLY THE WESTERN HALF
OF THE WARNING AREA. A STRONG LINE OF STORMS IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP
AND MOVE SOUTH INTO THE GULF COAST STATES IN THE EVENING. THE MAIN
THREATS FROM THESE STORMS ARE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS.
ELSEWHERE...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA AND PRODUCE HEAVY
DOWNPOURS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
CHANCES OF SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE DAY SATURDAY AS THE
FRONT MOVES SOUTH OF THE AREA AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE
SOUTHEAST USA. ANOTHER FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA ON
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT INCREASING RAIN CHANCES AGAIN.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY APPROACH SEVERE LIMITS...AND SPOTTER
ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.

FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE VIA OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TLH/ OR
LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TELEVISION OR RADIO STATIONS.

10-BOLINSKI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
907 PM EDT FRI MAY 20 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 SW BLAKELY            31.33N 85.00W
05/20/2005                   EARLY              GA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SKYWARN SPOTTER REPORTED TREES DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 62.

&&

MCNATT

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1005 PM EDT FRI MAY 20 2005

GAZ121-123-210233-
CALHOUN GA-CLAY GA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT GAINES AND MORGAN
1005 PM EDT FRI MAY 20 2005

AT 1003 PM EDT(903 PM CDT)...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR
INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER SOUTHERN CLAY AND WESTERN
CALHOUN COUNTIES...MOVING SOUTHEST AT 25 MPH.

THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH WHICH MAY
TOPPLE SMALL TREES AND BRANCHES...PEA SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING...AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WHICH MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED
FLOODING OF STREETS AND LOW LYING AREAS.

23-MCNATT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1013 PM EDT FRI MAY 20 2005

GAZ142-210243-
EARLY GA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BLAKELY
1013 PM EDT FRI MAY 20 2005

AT 1013 PM EDT(913 PM CDT)...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR
INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER NORTHERN EARLY COUNTY...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH WHICH MAY
TOPPLE SMALL TREES AND BRANCHES...PEA SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING...AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WHICH MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED
FLOODING OF STREETS AND LOW LYING AREAS.

23-MCNATT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1020 PM EDT FRI MAY 20 2005

GAZ145-146-210250-
COLQUITT GA-MITCHELL GA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMILLA...MOULTRIE AND PELHAM
1020 PM EDT FRI MAY 20 2005

AT 1019 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER MITCHELL...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH WHICH MAY
TOPPLE SMALL TREES AND BRANCHES...PEA SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING...AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WHICH MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED
FLOODING OF STREETS AND LOW LYING AREAS.

10-BOLINSKI