Alert archive / Colorado / Mesoscale Discussions in 2005

Mesoscale Discussion 992

May 24, 200514 counties in Colorado; 13 counties in Kansas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 24, 2005, 4:13 PM MDT for 14 counties in Colorado; 13 counties in Kansas. It was in force for 92 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 24, 2005, 4:13 PM MDT (22:13 UTC)
Expired
May 24, 2005, 5:45 PM MDT
In force
92 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 27 counties

Adams County, CO, Arapahoe County, CO, Broomfield County, CO, Denver County, CO, Douglas County, CO, Elbert County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Logan County, CO, Morgan County, CO, Phillips County, CO, Sedgwick County, CO, Washington County, CO, Weld County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Cheyenne County, KS, Decatur County, KS, Gove County, KS, Greeley County, KS, Lane County, KS, Logan County, KS, Rawlins County, KS, Scott County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Wichita County, KS

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 52 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 91 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2005-05-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 73 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2005-05-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 17 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
73 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-398 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1712 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
17 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
22 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 242214
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242213 
KSZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-242345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0992
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0513 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN C.O..NWRN KS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 322...

VALID 242213Z - 242345Z

SCATTERED TSTMS -- INCLUDING A FEW SUPERCELLS -- OVER NERN CO ARE
EXPECTED TO MOVE EWD AND SEWD INTO NWRN KS.  ACTIVITY WILL ENCOUNTER
AXIS OF MAX CINH - NOW EVIDENT N-S ACROSS WRN KS -- BUT ALSO
INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND STRONG LOW LEVEL INFLOW.  WW WILL
BE REQUIRED OVER NWRN KS.

VIS IMAGERY SHOWS WELL-DEFINED ARC OF CUMULI EXTENDING FROM SRN
PORTION WW 324 SWD THROUGH NORTON/SHERIDAN/NESS/CLARK COUNTIES KS
AND WOODS COUNTY OK..MOVING WWD 10-15 KT.  THIS ALSO DENOTES 60 DEG
F SFC ISODROSOTHERM ACROSS KS. SFC MOIST AXIS EXTENDS NWWD FROM SRN
PORTION OF THAT PLUME...AND IS ANALYZED FROM WOODS COUNTY OK NWWD
THROUGH DDC TO ITR...THEN INTO ONGOING CONVECTION.  PRIND POTENTIAL
MCS WILL FAVOR THIS AXIS -- ALTHOUGH ANY CONVECTION SURVIVING SFC
DRY POCKET BETWEEN GLD-MCK WILL MOVE INTO RICHER MOIST PLUME AS
WELL.  FAVORABLE STORM-RELATIVE INFLOW WINDS ARE EXPECTED...WITH
15-20 KT 850 MB SELYS OBSERVED AT GLD VWP.  THIS -- COMBINED WITH
FORCED ASCENT ALONG OUTFLOWS...MAY OVERCOME CINH ENOUGH TO SUSTAIN
ACTIVITY AND ORGANIZE AN MCS.

..EDWARDS.. 05/24/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GID...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...

39160206 39160504 40960522 40990216 39160211 39990211
40000000 38249994 38250206

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 23, 8:38 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaca, Bent, Cheyenne, Kiowa, Kit Carson, Lincoln and 2 more67 min
May 24, 12:03 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Broomfield, Cheyenne, Crowley, Denver and 14 more117 min
May 24, 12:45 PM MDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Broomfield, Denver, Douglas, Elbert and 8 more7 hr
May 24, 1:10 PM MDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Broomfield, Denver, Douglas, Elbert and 8 more7 hr
May 24, 1:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBaca, Bent, Cheyenne, Crowley, El Paso, Huerfano and 6 more6 hr
May 23, 9:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarber, Barton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellis and 28 more6 hr
May 24, 12:14 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Barton, Chautauqua, Clark, Comanche, Cowley and 25 more91 min
May 24, 1:35 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCButler, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Cowley, Elk, Harvey and 5 more7 hr
May 24, 4:40 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Cowley, Elk, Harvey and 5 more95 min
May 24, 8:13 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChautauqua, Cherokee, Elk, Labette, Montgomery, Wilson32 min
May 24, 4:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCheyenne, Decatur, Gove, Graham, Greeley, Lane and 11 more7 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Colorado, 2005Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2005Every mesoscale discussion in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.