Alert archive / Iowa / Mesoscale Discussions in 2005

Mesoscale Discussion 539

April 10, 20054 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 10, 2005, 2:57 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 10, 2005, 2:57 PM CDT (19:57 UTC)
Expired
Apr 10, 2005, 5:00 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 93 counties

Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Appanoose County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Black Hawk County, IA, Boone County, IA, Bremer County, IA, Buena Vista County, IA, Butler County, IA, Calhoun County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Cass County, IA, Cerro Gordo County, IA, Cherokee County, IA, Chickasaw County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Clay County, IA, Crawford County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Dickinson County, IA, Emmet County, IA, Floyd County, IA, Franklin County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Greene County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Hamilton County, IA, Hancock County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Howard County, IA, Humboldt County, IA, Ida County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Kossuth County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Lyon County, IA, Madison County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Mills County, IA, Mitchell County, IA, Monona County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, O'Brien County, IA, Osceola County, IA, Page County, IA, Palo Alto County, IA, Plymouth County, IA, Pocahontas County, IA, Polk County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Sac County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Sioux County, IA, Story County, IA, Tama County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Warren County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Webster County, IA, Winnebago County, IA, Woodbury County, IA, Worth County, IA, Wright County, IA, Blue Earth County, MN, Cottonwood County, MN, Faribault County, MN, Freeborn County, MN, Jackson County, MN, Martin County, MN, Mower County, MN, Nobles County, MN, Waseca County, MN, Watonwan County, MN, Burt County, NE, Cass County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Dakota County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Washington County, NE, Union County, SD

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 105 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 164 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2005-04-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 181 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2005-04-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 103 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
181 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-155 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1277 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
103 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
35 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 101958
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101957 
IAZ000-MNZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-102200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0539
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0257 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND WRN IA / FAR ERN NEBRASKA / SERN TIP OF
SD / FAR SRN MN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 101957Z - 102200Z

THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS INCREASING. LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

19Z SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDING FROM WRN IA
SWWD ACROSS SERN NEBRASKA AND INTO KS. AIR MASS HAS BECOME
MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH MUCAPE NEAR 1500 J/KG.

GREATEST THREAT FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS MAY COME FROM EVOLVING
CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS NOW OVER NRN KS / SRN NEBRASKA...AS THEY
ENCOUNTER AN INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS TO THEIR NE. THESE
CLUSTERS WERE INITIALLY BEING FED BY SLY LOW LEVEL JET AND
ASSOCIATED INSTABILITY AXIS OVER SRN KS / NRN OK...BUT WILL LIKELY
TRANSITION TO BEING MORE OF A FORWARD-PROPAGATING SYSTEM AS MAIN
SOURCE OF STORM RELATIVE INFLOW AIR STARTS COMING OUT OF THE E AND
NE.  DAMAGING WINDS WOULD BE LIKELY WITH THIS SCENARIO. LARGE HAIL
WOULD LIKELY OCCUR AS WELL DUE TO COLD TEMPERATURE PROFILES ALOFT.

IN ADDITION...ALTHOUGH FORCING IS SHALLOW/WEAK...ISOLATED SEVERE
STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL MAY FORM AHEAD OF APPROACHING CONVECTIVE
CLUSTERS.

..JEWELL.. 04/10/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DVN...ARX...MPX...DMX...FSD...OAX...

40649579 41029712 43299662 44209517 44199366 43159178
40669253

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 9, 9:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLyon, Sioux115 min
Apr 10, 3:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Boone, Buena Vista, Calhoun and 37 more7 hr
Apr 9, 7:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Antelope, Arthur, Blaine, Boone, Buffalo and 33 more2 hr
Apr 9, 8:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAntelope, Blaine, Boone, Brown, Buffalo, Custer and 24 more7 hr
Apr 9, 11:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAntelope, Blaine, Boyd, Brown, Buffalo, Custer and 21 more2 hr
Apr 10, 2:33 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAntelope, Blaine, Boone, Boyd, Brown, Buffalo and 26 more57 min
Apr 10, 1:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Fillmore, Gage, Jefferson, Johnson, Nuckolls and 4 more113 min
Apr 10, 1:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Buffalo, Clay, Fillmore, Franklin, Furnas and 19 more6 hr
Apr 10, 3:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Buffalo, Clay, Fillmore, Franklin, Gage and 19 more89 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Iowa, 2005Mesoscale Discussions in Minnesota, 2005Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2005Every mesoscale discussion in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.