Alert archive / Iowa / Mesoscale Discussions in 2005

Mesoscale Discussion 261

March 6, 200547 counties in Iowa; 4 counties in Kansas; 15 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 6, 2005, 8:26 PM CST for 47 counties in Iowa; 4 counties in Kansas; 15 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 6, 2005, 8:26 PM CST (02:26 UTC)
Expired
Mar 6, 2005, 10:30 PM CST
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 66 counties

Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Appanoose County, IA, Benton County, IA, Black Hawk County, IA, Boone County, IA, Bremer County, IA, Buchanan County, IA, Butler County, IA, Cass County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Davis County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Floyd County, IA, Franklin County, IA, Greene County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Hamilton County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Linn County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Madison County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Polk County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Story County, IA, Tama County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Warren County, IA, Washington County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Atchison County, KS, Brown County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Worth County, MO

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 2.4 hours before the alert went out and 205 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2005-03-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 92 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2005-03-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 112 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
92 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-16 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2292 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
112 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
145 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 070226
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070226 
IAZ000-MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-070430-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0261
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0826 PM CST SUN MAR 06 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN KS...NWRN MO THROUGH MUCH OF IA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 070226Z - 070430Z

THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD CONTINUE DEVELOPING NEXT SEVERAL HOURS FROM
NERN KS...NWRN MO INTO MUCH OF IA. ISOLATED STORMS MAY REMAIN
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS THIS EVENING. AT
THIS TIME...THREAT DOES NOT APPEAR SIGNIFICANT ENOUGH TO WARRANT A
WW.

WSWLY LOW LEVEL JET WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN IN ADVANCE OF STRONG
VORT MAX DROPPING SEWD THROUGH KS AND NEB. THE LOW LEVEL THETA-E
ADVECTION UNDERNEATH STEEP LAPSE RATES AND SEWD MOVING THERMAL
TROUGH WILL CONTRIBUTE TO NEWD DESTABILIZATION THROUGH NRN MO AND IA
THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...OWING TO LIMITED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...
MUCAPE SHOULD REMAIN GENERALLY AOB 500 J/KG. THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD
CONTINUE FROM NERN KS THROUGH NWRN IA WITHIN ZONE OF INCREASING
VERTICAL MOTION AND DESTABILIZATION...AND GRADUALLY SPREAD EWD
OVERNIGHT. STEEP LAPSE RATES AND COLD THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES WILL
SUPPORT A THREAT FOR HAIL WITHIN THE STRONGER STORMS. RELATIVELY DRY
BOUNDARY LAYERS MAY ALSO SUPPORT THREAT FOR ISOLATED STRONG WIND
GUSTS. WEAK INSTABILITY SHOULD SERVE AS A LIMITING FACTOR FOR A MORE
ROBUST SEVERE THREAT.

..DIAL.. 03/07/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DVN...ARX...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...

38909647 42019456 43179260 42269066 39919323

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 7, 2:33 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee117 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Iowa, 2005Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2005Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2005Every mesoscale discussion in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.