Alert archive / New Jersey / Mesoscale Discussions in 2005

Mesoscale Discussion 2448

November 16, 20056 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Nov 16, 2005, 12:33 PM EST for 6 states. It was in force for 87 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Nov 16, 2005, 12:33 PM EST (17:33 UTC)
Expired: Nov 16, 2005, 2:00 PM EST
In force: 87 min
Issued by: the Storm Prediction Center

All 65 counties

Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Caroline County, MD, Cecil County, MD, Charles County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Dorchester County, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Kent County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Atlantic County, NJ, Bergen County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Hudson County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Bronx County, NY, Kings County, NY, New York County, NY, Queens County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Westchester County, NY, Berks County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Chester County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA, Arlington County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Prince William County, VA

The radar

The Dover AFB radar (KDOX), 105 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD (KAPG), launched 12:00Z, 5.6 hours before the alert went out and 29 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -89 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 790 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 263 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 232 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Nov 16, 5:38 AM EST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Carroll, Frederick, Howard, Montgomery, Washington	2 hr
Nov 16, 10:44 AM EST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Albany, Clinton, Columbia, Delaware, Dutchess, Essex and 17 more	91 min
Nov 15, 8:51 PM EST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Lee, Wise, City of Norton	54 min
Nov 16, 12:07 AM EST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Lee	53 min
Nov 16, 3:03 AM EST	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Alleghany, Augusta, Bath, Bland, Botetourt, Buchanan and 30 more	117 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in New Jersey, 2005 Mesoscale Discussions in Maryland, 2005 Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2005 Every mesoscale discussion in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.