Alert archive / North Carolina / Mesoscale Discussions in 2005

Mesoscale Discussion 101

January 14, 2005Craven County, North Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jan 14, 2005, 10:23 AM EST for Craven County, North Carolina. It was in force for 67 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 14, 2005, 10:23 AM EST (15:23 UTC)
Expired
Jan 14, 2005, 11:30 AM EST
In force
67 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

County Craven County, NC

The radar

The Morehead City radar (KMHX), 44 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 3.4 hours before the alert went out and 44 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2005-01-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 31 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2005-01-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 118 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
31 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-91 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
815 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
118 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
187 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 141524
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 141523 
NCZ000-141630-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0101
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0923 AM CST FRI JAN 14 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...SE VA...ERN NC

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 18...

VALID 141523Z - 141630Z

REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 18 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS
SCHEDULED AT 16Z.

MAIN SURFACE COLD FRONT EXTENDS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN DELMARVA INTO
THE WESTERN CAROLINAS...WHERE IT IS JUST NOW SURGING ACROSS THE LEE
SLOPES OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS.  HOWEVER...MOST VIGOROUS
ONGOING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IS FOCUSED ON PRE-FRONTAL CONFLUENCE/
WIND SHIFT ASSOCIATED WITH WEAK UPPER IMPULSE EMBEDDED WITHIN STRONG
SOUTH SOUTHWESTERLY MID/UPPER FLOW.  THIS FEATURE APPEARS LIKELY TO
PROGRESS THROUGH THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS BY 17-18Z.

UNTIL THEN...RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTH
CAROLINA COASTAL AREAS...BUT OVERALL THREAT IS DIMINISHING.

..KERR.. 01/14/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...ILM...

34057790 34937731 35557662 36027628 36387589

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 13, 7:48 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Burke, Cabarrus, Catawba, Cleveland, Davie and 9 more87 min
Jan 13, 9:41 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Burke, Cabarrus, Catawba, Cleveland, Davie and 8 more94 min
Jan 13, 10:58 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Alexander, Anson, Cabarrus, Caldwell, Caswell and 27 more62 min
Jan 13, 11:40 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCAlamance, Anson, Cabarrus, Caswell, Chatham, Cumberland and 29 more5 hr
Jan 14, 2:26 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Anson, Bladen, Caswell, Chatham, Columbus and 34 more94 min
Jan 14, 3:56 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBladen, Chatham, Columbus, Cumberland, Duplin, Durham and 24 more64 min
Jan 14, 5:00 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCBertie, Camden, Chowan, Edgecombe, Franklin, Gates and 12 more6 hr
Jan 14, 7:05 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBertie, Camden, Chowan, Currituck, Dare, Edgecombe and 11 more85 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2005Every mesoscale discussion in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.