Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2005

Mesoscale Discussion 1007

May 25, 200529 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 25, 2005, 1:59 PM CDT for 29 counties in Texas. It was in force for 91 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 25, 2005, 1:59 PM CDT (18:59 UTC)
Expired
May 25, 2005, 3:30 PM CDT
In force
91 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 29 counties

Bell County, TX, Bosque County, TX, Brown County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Coke County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Concho County, TX, Coryell County, TX, Eastland County, TX, Erath County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Irion County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, Llano County, TX, Mason County, TX, McCulloch County, TX, Menard County, TX, Mills County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Runnels County, TX, San Saba County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Tom Green County, TX

The radar

The Dyess AFB radar (KDYX), 90 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 242 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2005-05-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1061 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2005-05-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 59 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1061 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-305 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1122 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
59 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
79 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 251900
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 251859 
TXZ000-252030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1007
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0159 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2005

AREAS AFFECTED...WCNTRL AND CNTRL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 251859Z - 252030Z

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED BY 21Z...

COMPLEX SFC PATTERN HAS EVOLVED ACROSS NORTH TX EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON.  ONGOING MCS CONTINUES ITS SEWD MOVEMENT INTO NERN TX
WITH STRONG PRESSURE RISES IN ITS WAKE ACROSS SWRN OK/ERN TX
PANHANDLE.  RESULTANT SFC BOUNDARY/CONVERGENCE SHOULD SHARPEN NEAR
I-20 CORRIDOR WEST OF FTW...WWD TOWARD ABI OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. 
IT APPEARS BOUNDARY LAYER AIRMASS WILL FURTHER DESTABILIZE AND
BECOME WEAKLY CAPPED ALLOWING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ALONG THIS ZONE
NEAR OR SHORTLY AFTER 21Z.  IN ADDITION...DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS
BECOMING INCREASINGLY SUPPORTIVE OF ROTATING STORMS GIVEN THE MODEST
NWLY FLOW ALOFT THAT HAS DEVELOPED BEHIND THE MCS.  ISOLATED
SUPERCELLS ARE POSSIBLE EARLY...HOWEVER STORM EVOLUTION WILL LIKELY
BECOME AN MCS AS IT PROPAGATES SWD ACROSS THE EDWARDS PLATEAU/HILL
COUNTRY AFTER 26/00Z.  LARGE HAIL CAN BE EXPECTED BEFORE DAMAGING
WIND THREAT INCREASES WITH MORE ORGANIZED CLUSTER.

..DARROW.. 05/25/2005

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT...MAF...

32550111 32749905 32149723 30899751 30539929 30980146

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 24, 7:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBowie, Cass118 min
May 24, 10:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLipscomb, Ochiltree2 hr
May 24, 11:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCHansford, Hemphill, Hutchinson, Lipscomb, Ochiltree, Roberts6 hr
May 25, 12:42 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHansford, Hemphill, Hutchinson, Lipscomb, Ochiltree, Roberts93 min
May 25, 3:39 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHansford, Hemphill, Hutchinson, Lipscomb, Ochiltree, Roberts66 min
May 25, 7:51 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Childress, Clay, Collingsworth, Foard and 8 more84 min
May 25, 9:20 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnderson, Angelina, Archer, Camp, Cass, Cherokee and 41 more7 hr
May 25, 12:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Archer, Camp, Cass, Cherokee, Clay and 39 more91 min
May 25, 2:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnderson, Angelina, Camp, Cherokee, Ellis, Franklin and 18 more5 hr
May 25, 3:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAndrews, Bell, Borden, Bosque, Brown, Callahan and 38 more7 hr
May 25, 4:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAngelina, Cherokee, Grimes, Houston, Leon, Madison and 8 more94 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2005Every mesoscale discussion in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.