Severe Thunderstorm Warning 260, NWS San Angelo, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
250 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2005

.SHORT TERM...
LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES DOMINATE
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON. LAST HOUR...SURFACE
TEMPERATURES ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS ARE IN THE 90 TO 93 RANGE
...A DEGREE OR TWO COOLER THAN THIS TIME YESTERDAY.

MODELS CONTINUE THIS PATTERN FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. BY
MONDAY AFTERNOON...THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE CENTERED NEAR THE
FOUR CORNERS AREA OF THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. THIS GRADUAL SHIFT WILL
TRANSITION THE UPPER-LEVEL FLOW OVER WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FROM
NORTHWEST TO NORTH INTO MORE DOMINATE NORTHEAST FLOW. THIS
SHIFT...ALONG WITH WHAT REMAINS OF HURRICANE DENNIS...WILL LIKELY
BRING MORE SUBSIDING AIR OVER WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. UNTIL
THEN...WILL CONTINUE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
OVER OUR WESTERN COUNTIES ONLY. WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SLIGHTLY
MORE CLOUD COVER OVER WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS
WILL GO WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS A DEGREE OR TWO BELOW MAV MOS.

.LONG TERM...
MODELS CONTINUE TO BUILD A VERY LARGE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE AND SHIFT
ITS CENTER FROM THE FOUR CORNERS AREA INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES BY
NEXT FRIDAY. THIS WILL ENHANCE THE NORTHEAST FLOW ALOFT OVER WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS AND FURTHER DECREASE RAIN CHANCES FOR WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS. AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S TO AROUND 100 LOOK
REASONABLE INTO THE START OF NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ABILENE      72  95  73  96 /  10  10  10  10
SAN ANGELO   73  96  72  98 /  10  10  10  10
JUNCTION     72  96  71  96 /  10  10  10  10

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.

&&

23/HUBER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
235 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2005

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140-
154-155-168>170-101935-
BROWN-CALLAHAN-COKE-COLEMAN-CONCHO-CROCKETT-FISHER-HASKELL-IRION-
JONES-KIMBLE-MASON-MCCULLOCH-MENARD-NOLAN-RUNNELS-SAN SABA-
SCHLEICHER-SHACKELFORD-STERLING-SUTTON-TAYLOR-THROCKMORTON-TOM GREEN-
235 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WEST OF A SWEETWATER...
SAN ANGELO...SONORA LINE. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE GUSTY WINDS TO
40 MPH...SMALL HAIL AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING. ORGANIZED SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN SUNDAY AND
SUNDAY EVENING WEST OF A SWEETWATER...SAN ANGELO...SONORA LINE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

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