Alert archive / Texas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2005

Flash Flood Warning 5, NWS San Angelo, TX

February 22, 2005Concho County, Runnels County, Texas

NWS San Angelo, TX issued this flash flood warning at Feb 22, 2005, 7:59 PM CST for Concho County, Runnels County, Texas. It was in force for 2 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Feb 22, 2005, 7:59 PM CST (01:59 UTC)
Expired: Feb 22, 2005, 10:00 PM CST
In force: 2 hr
Issued by: NWS San Angelo, TX
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Concho County, TX, Runnels County, TX

The radar

The San Angelo radar (KSJT), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 2.0 hours before the alert went out and 213 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1300 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -39 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1495 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -12 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 61 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: -0.0
Supercell composite: -1.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS54 KSJT 230203
FFWSJT
TXC095-399-230400-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
759 PM CST TUE FEB 22 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  RUNNELS COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS
  NORTHERN CONCHO COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS

* UNTIL 1000 PM CST

* AT 748 PM CST...THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUE TO      
  DEVELOP ACROSS MOST OF NORTHERN CONCHO AND SOUTHERN RUNNELS        
  COUNTIES...THEN MOVE EAST AT 20 MPH.

* UP TO 3 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAVE ALREADY FALLEN IN THIS AREA.  
  FLASH FLOODING IS LIKELY AS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3  
  INCHES ARE PRODUCED.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

LAT...LON 3197 10023 3161 10022 3144 10006 3144 9988
      3147 9961 3159 9975 3199 9972

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Feb 22, 2:38 PM CST, 5 hours 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 22, 2:38 PM CST, 5 hours 21 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
238 PM CST TUE FEB 22 2005

.SHORT TERM...
ANOTHER COMPLEX SURFACE MAP THIS AFTERNOON. COLD FRONT LOCATED
ACROSS SOUTHERN OK AND THE TX PANHANDLE. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WAS
LOCATED NEAR FST AND A DIFFUSE DRY EXTENDED SOUTH JUST WEST OF
CROCKETT COUNTY. ALSO...A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY WAS LOCATED NEAR A
TPL TO BWD LINE. HAVE A FEW BOUNDARIES TO FOCUS TSTM DEVELOPMENT
ON...HOWEVER MID LEVEL CAP STILL HOLDING ON. THE CINH NUMBERS HAVE
DECREASED TO BETWEEN 30 TO 50 ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST CWFA WITH CAPE
VALUES BETWEEN 1500 AND 200O J/KG. THE SOUTHEAST CWFA MAY SEE
ISOLD TSTMS DEVELOP NEXT FEW HOURS. INCREASING VERTICAL MOTION AND
SOME 300 MB DIVERGENCE WILL RESULT IN SCT TSTMS ACROSS CWFA
BETWEEN 22/22Z AND 23/12. INSTABILITY AN SHEAR VALUES
ARE FAVORABLE FOR A FEW SEVERE STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS THE MAIN THREAT. WILL NOT INCLUDE SEVERE STORMS IN ZONES
TONIGHT...HOWEVER WILL MENTION IN HWO.

.LONG TERM...
THE ETA AND GFS NOW CLOSER ON FRONTAL POSITION...GFS STILL 3 TO 6
HOURS FASTER FOR WEDNESDAY. ALSO...THE 12Z MOS GUIDANCE FOR THE GFS HAS
WARMED ABOUT 10 TO 15 DEGREES FOR HIGHS ON WEDNESDAY. LOOKS MORE
FAVORABLE FOR TSTMS ON TUESDAY...A FEW POSSIBLY SEVERE. THE FRONT
WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS DURING WEDNESDAY. ALSO
...INTERSECTION OF COLD FRONT AND DRY LINE JUST WEST OF SJT BY EARLY
AFTERNOON. CAPE VALUES BETWEEN 1500 AND 2000 J/KG ACROSS SOUTHERN
2/3 OF CWFA BETWEEN 23/18Z AND 24/03Z. GOING WITH CHC POPS
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. FRONT FINALLY THROUGH AREA ON
THURSDAY WITH OVERRUNNING -RA ACROSS MUCH OF AREA ON THURSDAY AND
THURSDAY NIGHT. ALSO...HIGHS TEMPS ON THURSDAY IN THE 50S TO LOWER
60S. UNSETTLED WX FOR CHC POPS ON FRIDAY...THEN MAINLY DRY WX FOR
THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ABILENE      54  60  41  48 /  60  50  50  60
SAN ANGELO   57  66  44  50 /  40  30  50  60
JUNCTION     58  71  48  52 /  50  30  50  60

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.

&&

21

Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 22, 1:39 PM CST, 6 hours 20 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
139 PM CST TUE FEB 22 2005

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140-
154-155-168>170-231939-
BROWN TX-CALLAHAN TX-COKE TX-COLEMAN TX-CONCHO TX-CROCKETT TX-
FISHER TX-HASKELL TX-IRION TX-JONES TX-KIMBLE TX-MASON TX-
MCCULLOCH TX-MENARD TX-NOLAN TX-RUNNELS TX-SAN SABA TX-SCHLEICHER TX-
SHACKELFORD TX-STERLING TX-SUTTON TX-TAYLOR TX-THROCKMORTON TX-
TOM GREEN TX-
139 PM CST TUE FEB 22 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON AS UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVE INTO THE REGION.
THE STORMS MAY BECOME MORE NUMEROUS DURING THE EVENING.  NOT ALL
AREAS WILL SEE THUNDERSTORMS...HOWEVER A FEW LOCATIONS WILL SEE
STRONG STORMS THAT WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS...ALONG WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER MAY BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTHWARD ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.
THE STRONGEST STORMS MAY PRODUCE HAIL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS EVENING.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 22, 5:20 PM CST, 2 hours 39 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
520 PM CST TUE FEB 22 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0513 PM     HAIL             8 SE SAN ANGELO         31.36N 100.36W
02/22/2005  0.88 INCH        TOM GREEN          TX   AMATEUR RADIO

0516 PM     FLASH FLOOD      5 SE SAN ANGELO         31.39N 100.39W
02/22/2005                   TOM GREEN          TX   AMATEUR RADIO

            WATER FILLED BAR DITCHES AND FLOWING ONTO OUTSIDE LANES
            OF HIGHWAY 277

&&

14

Local storm report, Feb 22, 6:06 PM CST, 1 hour 53 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
606 PM CST TUE FEB 22 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     HAIL             HATCHEL                 31.85N 99.95W
02/22/2005  0.88 INCH        RUNNELS            TX   PUBLIC

&&

14

Local storm report, Feb 22, 6:34 PM CST, 1 hour 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
634 PM CST TUE FEB 22 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     HAIL             WINTERS                 31.97N 99.93W
02/22/2005  1.75 INCH        RUNNELS            TX   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

&&

14

Local storm report, Feb 22, 7:01 PM CST, 58 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
701 PM CST TUE FEB 22 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     HAIL             6 S ABILENE             32.36N 99.73W
02/22/2005  2.00 INCH        TAYLOR             TX   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

14

Local storm report, Feb 22, 7:33 PM CST, 26 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
733 PM CST TUE FEB 22 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0712 PM     HAIL             8 SW ABILENE            32.37N 99.83W
02/22/2005  4.25 INCH        TAYLOR             TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

14

Local storm report, Feb 22, 7:45 PM CST, 14 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
745 PM CST TUE FEB 22 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0735 PM     HAIL             3 SE HAWLEY             32.58N 99.78W
02/22/2005  1.75 INCH        JONES              TX   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

14

The office that day

Everything else NWS San Angelo, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Feb 22, 6:00 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Runnels	45 min
Feb 22, 6:06 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Coke	54 min
Feb 22, 6:23 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Concho	37 min
Feb 22, 6:23 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Taylor	67 min
Feb 22, 6:42 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Coleman, Runnels	48 min
Feb 22, 7:03 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Concho	27 min
Feb 22, 7:15 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	SJT	Taylor	2 hr
Feb 22, 7:22 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Jones, Taylor	53 min
Feb 22, 7:23 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Coleman, McCulloch	52 min
Feb 22, 7:25 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Callahan	50 min
Feb 22, 7:30 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	SJT	Coleman	2 hr
Feb 22, 7:42 PM CST	Tornado Warning	SJT	Coleman, Concho, McCulloch	48 min
Feb 22, 8:09 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Jones, Shackelford	51 min
Feb 22, 8:22 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Haskell, Throckmorton	53 min
Feb 22, 8:38 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Coleman, Concho, Runnels	52 min
Feb 22, 9:13 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Haskell, Throckmorton	47 min
Feb 22, 9:29 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	SJT	Coleman, Concho, Runnels	4 hr
Feb 22, 10:53 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	SJT	Brown	3 hr
Feb 22, 11:05 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Brown	40 min
Feb 22, 11:53 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Brown	37 min
Feb 23, 1:53 AM CST	Flash Flood Warning	SJT	Brown	2 hr
Feb 23, 2:47 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Crockett	43 min
Feb 23, 3:28 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Crockett	47 min
Feb 23, 5:13 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SJT	Kimble	62 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Texas, 2005 Every flash flood warning in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.