Flash Flood Warning 35, NWS San Angelo, TX

000 
WGUS74 KSJT 141407
FFSSJT

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
859 AM CDT SUN AUG 14 2005

TXC207-447-141630-
HASKELL TX-THROCKMORTON TX-
859 AM CDT SUN AUG 14 2005

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 1130 AM CDT FOR WESTERN
THROCKMORTON AND HASKELL COUNTIES...

AT 854 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN. THESE STORMS WERE 
MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH...AND REDEVELOPING ACROSS THE WARNING AREA. 
SINCE 800 AM...DOPPLER RADAR RAINFALL ESTIMATES INDICATED 1.5 TO 2.5 
INCHES...FROM 14 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HASKELL TO THROCKMORTON. 
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 2 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH 
1130 AM ACROSS MAINLY EASTERN HASKELL AND THROCKMORTON COUNTIES.

TURN AROUND DONT DROWN DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE
THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO
ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

LAT...LON 3338 9988 3299 9989 3302 9912 3338 9914

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
309 AM CDT SUN AUG 14 2005

.SHORT TERM...
WITH UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW...TROPICAL MOISTURE PLUME CONTINUED TO
MOVE NORTH INTO WESTCENTRAL TEXAS FROM MEXICO THIS MORNING. AN
UPPER LOW WAS IN NORTHEAST BAJA CALIFORNIA...MOVING NORTHEAST.
PRECIP WATER IN TEXAS WAS NEARLY 50 PERCENT OF NORMAL IN TEXAS...
WITH DRT/CRP/BRO RAOBS SHOWING AROUND 2 INCHES AT THE 00Z
OBSERVATION. DEW POINTS IN THE LOWER 70S CONTINUED TO ADVECT INTO
THE REGION FROM SOUTH TEXAS.

SURFACE MAP INDICATED WEAK SURFACE TROUGH ALONG NORTHWEST/NORTHERN
ZONES FROM NEAR STERLING CITY TO SWEETWATER TO THROCKMORTON...
THOUGH ACTUAL COLD FRONT IS PROBABLY IN THE SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE.

GFS SHOWS HEAVY PRECIPITATION ALONG THE SURFACE TROUGH/WEAK FRONT THIS
AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT. LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER LOW MOVING
THROUGH NEW MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT SHOULD ENHANCE
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES. THUS...KEPT A FLASH FLOOD WATCH GOING FOR
THE BIG COUNTRY...CONCHO VALLEY...CROCKETT COUNTY. ALSO CONTINUED
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR BROWN AND COLEMAN...AS GROUNDS THERE ARE
EXCEPTIONALLY SATURATED FROM RAINS LAST WEEK.

.LONG TERM...
PATTERN DOES NOT CHANGE A LOT ON MONDAY...THOUGH SURFACE TROUGH
OVER THE BIG COUNTRY BECOME EVEN MORE DIFFUSE. OTHERWISE...RAIN
CHANCES DWINDLE MID WEEK AS UPPER HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE
REGION.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ABILENE      82  71  85  72 /  80  80  50  40
SAN ANGELO   85  71  86  72 /  70  60  40  40
JUNCTION     89  74  88  72 /  40  40  30  20

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 4 AM MONDAY FOR TXZ049-TXZ054-TXZ064-
TXZ065-TXZ066-TXZ071-TXZ072-TXZ076-TXZ098-TXZ099-TXZ113-TXZ114-
TXZ127-TXZ128-TXZ139-TXZ140.

&&

04/99

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
623 AM CDT SUN AUG 14 2005

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-151130-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
623 AM CDT SUN AUG 14 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG COUNTRY AND PORTIONS
OF THE CONCHO VALLEY AND HEARTLAND THROUGH TONIGHT.

A MOIST TROPICAL AIRMASS IS IN PLACE OVER WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP...AND
WILL PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. A WEAK COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM
STERLING CITY TO SWEETWATER TO HASKELL THIS MORNING WILL PUSH
SLOWLY SOUTH AND WASH OUT OVER THE BIG COUNTRY OVERNIGHT...PROVIDING
A FOCUS FOR THE HEAVY RAINFALL. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
3 TO 5 INCHES ARE LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL BE ENDING MID WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS OVER THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.