Severe Thunderstorm Warning 142, NWS Shreveport, LA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
220 PM CDT MON JUN 6 2005

.DISCUSSION...

SEA BREEZE IS CURRENTLY ADVANCING NORTHWARD IN A LINE FROM LFK TO DRI TO LFT.
THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE SEA BREEZE APPEARS TO BE INTERACTING WITH AN OLD
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY.  THIS SHOULD ENHANCE CONVECTION IN THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS
HEADING INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL SHOULD BE THE
MAIN THREAT FROM THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS...THOUGH, SOME COULD TURN SEVERE
LATER ON.

AS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...THE SUMMER TIME PATTERN OF AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS
FROM SEA BREEZE ACTIVITY SHOULD STAY WITH US THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY.  HAVE
GONE WITH TEMPS THAT ARE SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN MAV IN THE EXTENDED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  71  90  72  91 /  20  40  20  30
MLU  70  89  70  89 /  30  50  30  30
DEQ  70  89  70  90 /  20  20  20  20
TXK  72  90  72  91 /  20  20  20  20
ELD  70  89  70  89 /  30  40  30  30
TYR  72  91  72  91 /  20  20  20  20
GGG  72  91  72  91 /  20  20  20  20
LFK  71  92  72  92 /  20  40  20  30

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1200 PM CDT MON JUN 6 2005

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-TXZ096-
097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-071100-
ANGELINA-BIENVILLE-BOSSIER-BOWIE-CADDO-CALDWELL-CAMP-CASS-CHEROKEE-
CLAIBORNE-COLUMBIA-DE SOTO-FRANKLIN-GRANT-GREGG-HARRISON-HEMPSTEAD-
HOWARD-JACKSON-LA SALLE-LAFAYETTE-LINCOLN-LITTLE RIVER-MARION-
MCCURTAIN-MILLER-MORRIS-NACOGDOCHES-NATCHITOCHES-NEVADA-OUACHITA-
PANOLA-RED RIVER LA-RED RIVER TX-RUSK-SABINE LA-SABINE TX-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SEVIER-SHELBY-SMITH-TITUS-UNION AR-UNION LA-UPSHUR-
WEBSTER-WINN-WOOD-
1200 PM CDT MON JUN 6 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...NORTHEAST
TEXAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTHWEST...AND NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

WITH THE AID OF DAYTIME HEATING...LOOK FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BECOME MORE CONCENTRATED ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA
AND EAST TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. THESE STORMS
WILL HAVE THE CAPABILITY TO PRODUCE BRIEF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. HOWEVER...WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

AFTERNOON AND EVENING SEA BREEZE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FOUR STATE
REGION...MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR OF
NORTHEAST TEXAS AND NORTHERN LOUISIANA. BRIEF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
AND STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY ISOLATED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM THROUGH THURSDAY. OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGERS...SKYWARN NETWORKS...AND STORM
SPOTTERS SHOULD NOT BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT.

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