Wind Advisory 15, NWS San Diego, CA

000 
WWUS76 KSGX 311801
NPWSGX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
1001 AM PST SAT DEC 31 2005

...STRONG WINDS TO AFFECT MOUNTAINS AND NORTHERN DESERTS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

.A PACIFIC SYSTEM WILL BRING STRONG GUSTY WINDS AT TIMES THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND NORTHERN DESERTS.
WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST OVER THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS OF THE SAN
BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND DOWNWIND FROM THE
SAN BERNARDINO MOUNTAINS. WINDS WILL BE 25 TO 40 MPH WITH LOCAL
GUSTS OVER 60 MPH AT TIMES IN THOSE AREAS. WINDS WILL BE A BIT
WEAKER OVER SAN DIEGO COUNTY...BUT GUSTS OVER 40 MPH WILL STILL BE
POSSIBLE AT TIMES. THE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH BY LATE
EVENING AS THE CORE OF THE WEATHER SYSTEM EXITS THE AREA.

CAZ055-056-060-010215-
/O.CON.KSGX.HW.W.0008.051231T2000Z-060101T0600Z/
SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
APPLE AND LUCERNE VALLEYS-
1001 AM PST SAT DEC 31 2005

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS
EVENING...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS
EVENING. 

WINDS WILL BE SOUTHWESTERLY 25 TO 40 MPH WITH LOCAL GUSTS OVER
60 MPH NEAR RIDGE TOPS AND IMMEDIATELY DOWNWIND OF THE SAN
BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS. BLOWING DUST WILL BE POSSIBLE IN
WINDIEST LOCATIONS.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

MOTORISTS...ESPECIALLY THOSE DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES...SHOULD
USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING IN THESE AREAS. TREE AND POWERLINE DAMAGE
WILL BE POSSIBLE.

$$

CAZ058-010215-
/O.CON.KSGX.WI.Y.0015.051231T2000Z-060101T0600Z/
SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
1001 AM PST SAT DEC 31 2005

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING. 

LOCAL WIND GUSTS OF GREATER THAN 40 MPH WILL OCCUR AT TIMES...MAINLY
NEAR RIDGE TOPS AND OTHER EXPOSED LOCATIONS.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH OR MORE ARE EXPECTED.
WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR
HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

PG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
930 PM PST FRI DEC 30 2005

.SYNOPSIS...INCREASING CLOUDINESS TONIGHT AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
APPROACHES. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN TO MOST AREAS SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. A STRONGER STORM WILL BRING RAIN...POSSIBLY
HEAVY...ON MONDAY. LOCAL GUSTY WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THESE
STORMS...ESPECIALLY IN THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BRING FAIR AND WARMER WEATHER DURING THE SECOND HALF OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE...
SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES...

UPDATED FORECAST. INCREASING HIGH CLOUDINESS TONIGHT. THERE WAS ALSO
PATCHY STRATUS IN THE COASTAL AREAS AND LOCAL HAZE AND FOG INLAND.
THE 00Z NKX SOUNDING SHOWED SOME OF THE MOISTURE STARTING TO MOVE
INTO THE MID AND HIGH LEVELS WITH MODERATELY STRONG NW WINDS ALOFT.
ONSHORE GRADIENTS WITH ABOUT 3 MB SAN-IPL.

MODELS STILL INDICATE PAC STORM TAKING MOST MOISTURE AND DYNAMICS
PAST TO THE N SAT. SMALL CHANCE OF PRECIP INTO OUR AREAS AS EARLY AS
SAT MORNING BUT MORE LIKELY LATE SAT AFTERNOON AND EVENING. RAINFALL
TOTALS SHOULD RANGE FROM ABOUT 1/4 INCH AT THE COAST...1/4 TO 1/2
INCH IN THE VALLEYS. OROGRAPHICS WILL CAUSE MORE RAIN ON THE COASTAL
MOUNTAINS SLOPES WITH LOCALLY NEAR 1 INCH POSSIBLE ON SOME SW FACING
SLOPES. LESS RAIN WILL OCCUR OVER SAN DIEGO COUNTY. THE SNOW LEVEL
WILL REMAIN HIGH...ABOVE 7000 FT...BUT COULD BRIEFLY LOWER TO
6000-6500 FEET BY SUN MORNING. STRONGER WINDS ALOFT AND ONSHORE
GRADIENTS WILL CAUSE LOCAL GUSTY WINDS IN THE MOUNTAINS AND
DESERTS...ESPECIALLY IN SBD COUNTY. THERE WILL BE A BRIEF BREAK
BETWEEN SYSTEMS SUN MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. A SECOND STRONGER
STORM WILL MOVE IN LATE SUN AND MOVE THROUGH ON MON. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS COULD EXCEED ONE INCH AT THE COAST AND TWO INCHES INLAND.
OROGRAPHICS WILL ONCE AGAIN ENHANCE RAINFALL ON COASTAL MOUNTAIN
SLOPES WITH UP TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY ON STEEP
SW FACING COASTAL SLOPES IN SAN BERNARDINO AND ORANGE COUNTIES.
AGAIN...GENERALLY MORE RAIN IS EXPECTED IN THE N AND LESS IN THE S.
HIGH DESERTS COULD GET ABOUT 1/2-3/4 INCH AND THE SOUTHERN DESERTS
LESS THAN A QUARTER INCH. IF THE RAIN DEVELOPS AS EXPECTED THEN WE
WILL PROBABLY NEED A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE COASTAL MOUNTAIN
SLOPES AND BURN AREAS MONDAY. STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY
THIS STORM...ESPECIALLY IN THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS BUT THERE WILL
ALSO BE STRONGER WINDS W OF THE MOUNTAINS MON.

LONGER RANGE PROGS INDICATE DRYING TUE AS THE STORM MOVES E. HIGH
PRESSURE ALOFT AND OFFSHORE FLOW WILL BRING FAIR WEATHER WITH WARMER
DAYS BUT COLDER NIGHTS DURING THE SECOND HALF OF NEXT WEEK. A LITTLE
COOLER TOWARD NEXT WEEKEND AS THE HIGH WEAKENS.

&&

.AVIATION...MARINE LAYER ABOUT 1500 FEET BUT IT WILL INCREASE
RAPIDLY AS THE FRONT APPROACHES LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SAT MORNING.
NOT EXPECTING MUCH STRATUS UNTIL SAT MORNING. CLOUDS SHOULD BE
INCREASING BY SAT MORNING WITH SEVERAL LAYERS BY THEN. RAIN POSSIBLE
BY LATE MORNING BUT MORE LIKELY BY SAT LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
BRIEF MODERATE RAIN POSSIBLE. FRONT WILL MOVE OUT SAT NIGHT.
STRONGER SYSTEM EXPECTED LATE SUN. WINDS AT 5K FT...NORTHWEST 15 TO
20 KT...BECOMING WEST 20 TO 25 KT LATE MORNING SAT THROUGH
AFTERNOON. WINDS AT 10K FT...NORTHWEST 25 TO 30 KT...BECOMING WEST
25 TO 35 KT LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SAT MORNING...THEN WEST 40 TO 50 KT
AFTERNOON.

&&

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 2 AM SATURDAY FOR CAZ043. SEE LAXCFWSGX.

OVERVIEW OF SATURDAY/MONDAY SYSTEMS. SEE LAXSPSSGX AND LAXESFSGX.

&&

PUBLIC...ATKIN
AVIATION...WHITLOW

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
1200 PM PST FRI DEC 30 2005

CAZ042-043-048-050-055-056-057-058-060-061-062-311200-
ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-
SAN DIEGO COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-
SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE-
SAN DIEGO COUNTY VALLEYS-
SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS-
SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
APPLE AND LUCERNE VALLEYS-
COACHELLA VALLEY-
SAN DIEGO COUNTY DESERTS-
1200 PM PST FRI DEC 30 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ALL OF EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN
CALIFORNIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT.

AT THE COAST...LARGE WEST SWELL WILL BRING HIGH SURF AND STRONG RIP
CURRENTS TO THE SAN DIEGO COUNTY COASTLINE. SEE LAXSRFSGX AND
LAXCFWSGX FOR DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

AT THE COAST FOR SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...LARGE WEST SWELL WILL
BRING HIGH SURF AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS THROUGH SATURDAY. SEE
LAXSRFSGX AND LAXCFWSGX FOR DETAILS.

FOR ALL OF SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA ON SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...A
PACIFIC SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA MAY
BRING MODERATE PRECIPITATION AT TIMES WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF MUD
AND DEBRIS FLOWS IN BURN AREAS. HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ON
COASTAL SLOPES.

FOR ALL OF SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA ON SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT...A STRONGER PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL LIKELY MOVE THROUGH
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND BRING STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND
HEAVY RAINFALL WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING. HEAVIEST
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ON COASTAL SLOPES. SEE LAXSPSSGX FOR DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SKYWARN WEATHER SPOTTER ACTIVATION
IS NOT REQUESTED FOR THIS AREA...HOWEVER WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE
ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO
STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

PG