Severe Thunderstorm Warning 78, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 111643
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1142 AM CDT SAT JUN 11 2005

MOC077-167-111715-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0078.000000T0000Z-050611T1715Z/
POLK MO-GREENE MO-
1142 AM CDT SAT JUN 11 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR GREENE AND POLK
COUNTIES UNTIL 1215 PM CDT...

AT 1139 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES SOUTH OF MORRISVILLE TO WILLARD TO REPUBLIC...
AND MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE...
  NEAR WILLARD BY 1150 AM CDT.
  NEAR BROOKLINE BY NOON CDT.
  NEAR PLEASANT HOPE BY 1210 PM CDT.
  NEAR SPRINGFIELD BY 1215 PM CDT.

THE TOWNS OF CAVE SPRINGS...BOIS DARC...SACVILLE...BRIGHTON...
GLIDEWELL...EBENEZER AND GALLOWAY ARE ALSO IN THE PATH OF THIS LINE
OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES LEADING KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

LAT...LON 3739 9370 3726 9370 3710 9369 3714 9308
      3735 9308 3751 9318

$$

GAEDE

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 111658
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1158 AM CDT SAT JUN 11 2005

MOC077-167-111708-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0078.000000T0000Z-050611T1715Z/
POLK MO-GREENE MO-
1158 AM CDT SAT JUN 11 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR GREENE AND POLK COUNTIES HAS
BEEN CANCELLED...

AT 1156 AM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE 
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE EITHER WEAKENED AND NO 
LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. THEREFORE...THE 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

IF SEVERE WEATHER WAS OBSERVED...PLEASE REPORT IT TO THE NEAREST LAW
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD.

LAT...LON 3739 9370 3726 9370 3710 9369 3714 9308
      3735 9308 3751 9318

$$

GAEDE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
608 AM CDT SAT JUN 11 2005

.DISCUSSION...
CONVECTION ON THE DOORSTEP OF THE FORECAST AREA EARLY THIS MORNING.
MAIN FORECAST CONCERN IN THE SHORT TERM WILL BE HOW THIS SYSTEM
EVOLVES AND THE RESULT ON PRECIPITATION CHANCES.  A PIECE OF UPPER
ENERGY EJECTED NORTHEAST INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS TOUCHING OFF THE
STORMS EARLIER IN THE EVENING.  LEADING EDGE OF THE PRECIPITATION
HAS FORMED INTO BOWING SEGMENT. THE SOUTHERN END OF THE LINE IS
BEGINNING TO FLOP OVER AND BECOME MORE EAST/WEST POSITIONED WHILE
THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE LINE IS PROGRESSING EASTWARD.  WILL
PROBABLY GO LIKELY POPS GENERALLY NORTHWEST OF A JOPLIN TO OSAGE
BEACH LINE THIS MORNING...NOT TOO CONFIDENT THE SOUTHERN END OF THE
LINE WILL GET MUCH PAST JOPLIN. LOOKING FURTHER WEST...CONVECTION
HAS BLOSSOMED ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA. UNSURE HOW LONG THE SYSTEM
WILL HOLD TOGETHER. HOWEVER...THERE COULD POSSIBLY BE A REMNANT
CIRCULATION LEFT OVER WHICH PUSHES INTO THE FORECAST AREA LATER
TODAY.  ONCE AGAIN IF CLOUDS CLEAR ENOUGH FROM THE MORNING CLOUDS
AND PRECIPITATION...THEN MORE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS HAS OCCURRED THE PREVIOUS COUPLE
OF DAYS.  THERE WILL LIKELY BE SOME OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES PRESENT...AND
MLCAPES SHOULD BE AROUND 2000 J/KG IF TEMPERATURES CAN WARM INTO THE
MIDDLE 80S. WITH HIGH PWS AND SLOW STORM MOVEMENT...LOCALIZED
FLOODING WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE TODAY AND THIS EVENING.

NOT MUCH CHANGE FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST REGARDING POPS INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK. GOING WITH THE GFS FORECAST FOR ARLENES
TRACK...THEREFORE DID NOT INCLUDE HIGH POPS ON SUNDAY ACROSS
SOUTH-CENTRAL MISSOURI AS FORECAST BY THE NAM.  LOOKS LIKE THE
FORECAST AREA WILL STAY IN A WARM AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS AS THE
SURFACE FRONT ACROSS THE PLAINS WONT PUSH THROUGH UNTIL MONDAY
NIGHT.  THIS WILL RESULT IN WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS (30 TO 40
POP COVERAGE IN GRIDS) DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
HOURS ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA.  IN ADDITION...CONVECTIVE
COMPLEXES WILL LIKELY INITIATE OVER THE PLAINS AND MAY POSSIBLY
AFFECT SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND FAR WESTERN MISSOURI DURING THE LATE
NIGHT HOURS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT.

DRY WEATHER LOOKS ON TAP ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS DRIER AND
STABLE AIR FILTERS IN BEHIND THE FRONT.

SAW

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 12Z TAFS...LOOKING AT LAST FEW HOURS OF REGIONAL RADAR...IT
APPEARS THAT THE CONVECTION OVER NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA IS HOLDING
TOGETHER AND WILL LIKELY SWEEP THROUGH BOTH TAF SITES LATER THIS
MORNING. WILL MONITOR CLOSELY FOR TAF UPDATES THROUGH THE MORNING.

BROWNING

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.MO...NONE.
.KS...NONE.

WFO SGF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
600 AM CDT SAT JUN 11 2005

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-111100-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
600 AM CDT SAT JUN 11 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. SOME STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING:
    FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
    HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS.
    WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.
    AND HEAVY RAINFALL WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

  SCATTERED NON-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS GENERALLY NORTHWEST OF A BRANSON
  TO HOUSTON LINE THIS MORNING. STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE
  ACROSS THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

  DISCUSSION:

  THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING MAY CONTAIN WIND
  GUSTS TO 40 MPH. HOWEVER...THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY
  RAINFALL AND MINOR FLOODING.

  IF SUFFICIENT CLEARING DEVELOPS IN THE WAKE OF THE MORNING CLOUDS AND
  PRECIPITATION...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
  DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.  DAMAGING WINDS AND NICKEL
  SIZE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS...IN ADDITION TO HEAVY RAINFALL
  AND LOCALIZED FLOODING.

  ADDITIONAL STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT
  AS A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS TRACKS EASTWARD
  INTO SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND FAR WESTERN MISSOURI TOWARD DAWN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

  SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL
  DISTURBANCES ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MONDAY
  NIGHT...BEFORE A COLD FRONT FINALLY PUSHES THROUGH THE OZARKS
  REGION. ABUNDANT LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL ALLOW FOR STRONG TO
  POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. IN
  ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE MINOR FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

SAW

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
917 AM CDT SAT JUN 11 2005

KSZ073-MOZ066-111445-
BOURBON-VERNON-
917 AM CDT SAT JUN 11 2005

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BOURBON AND VERNON COUNTIES UNTIL
945 AM CDT...

AT 912 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR REDFIELD...OR 8 MILES WEST OF FORT SCOTT...
AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE...
  NEAR FULTON BY 930 AM CDT.

WINDS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

GAEDE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1019 AM CDT SAT JUN 11 2005

MOZ088-093-111545-
JASPER-NEWTON-
1019 AM CDT SAT JUN 11 2005

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR JASPER AND NEWTON COUNTIES UNTIL
1045 AM CDT...

AT 1016 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR SAGINAW...OR 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF
NEOSHO...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE...
  NEAR DIAMOND BY 1025 AM CDT.
  6 MILES NORTH OF GRANBY BY 1030 AM CDT.
  NEAR SARCOXIE BY 1045 AM CDT.

WINDS UP TO 50 MPH IN ADDITION TO BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

GAEDE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1042 AM CDT SAT JUN 11 2005

MOZ094-102-111645-
BARRY-LAWRENCE-
1042 AM CDT SAT JUN 11 2005

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BARRY AND LAWRENCE COUNTIES UNTIL
1145 AM CDT...

AT 1038 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM SARCOXIE TO FAIRVIEW
TO 5 MILES WEST OF EXETER...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES
NORTHWEST OF MONETT TO 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MONETT TO 16 MILES NORTH
OF PEA RIDGE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE...
  NEAR PURDY BY 1100 AM CDT.
  NEAR MOUNT VERNON BY 1125 AM CDT.
  NEAR VERONA BY 1130 AM CDT.
  NEAR AURORA BY 1145 AM CDT.

WINDS AROUND 50 MPH IN ADDITION TO BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

GAEDE