Severe Thunderstorm Warning 274, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WUUS53 KSGF 150443 CCA
SVRSGF
KSC011-037-150530-
/O.COR.KSGF.SV.W.0274.050915T0433Z-050915T0530Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1133 PM CDT WED SEP 14 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CRAWFORD COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS.
  BOURBON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

* UNTIL 1230 AM CDT.

* AT 1138 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE
  HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE
  LOCATED NEAR WALNUT...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE...
  -2147483648 MILES NORTH OF HEPLER BY 1145 PM CDT.
  NEAR PITTSBURG BY 1150 PM CDT.
  -2147483648 MILES NORTH OF UNIONTOWN BY 1155 PM CDT.
  -2147483648 MILES NORTH OF REDFIELD BY 1205 AM CDT.
  -2147483648 MILES NORTH OF FORT SCOTT BY 1215 AM CDT.
  -2147483648 MILES NORTH OF FULTON BY 1225 AM CDT.

THE TOWNS OF GREENBUSH...BRAZILTON...BEULAH...PORTERVILLE...
CHICOPEE...LONE OAK...RINGO...PETERSBURG...FARLINGTON AND POLK ARE
ALSO IN THE PATH OF THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES LEADING KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

LAT...LON 3761 9566 3738 9543 3700 9564 3742 9464
      3775 9459 3801 9472

$$

BROWNING

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 150445
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1145 PM CDT WED SEP 14 2005

KSC011-037-150530-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0274.000000T0000Z-050915T0530Z/
BOURBON KS-CRAWFORD KS-
1145 PM CDT WED SEP 14 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR CRAWFORD AND BOURBON
COUNTIES UNTIL 1230 AM CDT...

AT 1142 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL
SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS
WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM CHANUTE TO ST. PAUL TO 6
MILES SOUTH OF MOUND VALLEY...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE...
  NEAR WALNUT BY 1155 PM CDT.
  NEAR HEPLER BY MIDNIGHT CDT.
  NEAR UNIONTOWN BY 1215 AM CDT.
  NEAR GIRARD BY 1225 AM CDT.
  NEAR FULTON BY 1230 AM CDT.

THE TOWNS OF PORTERVILLE...GREENBUSH...PETERSBURG...BRAZILTON...
HIATTVILLE...PAWNEE STATION...MARMATON...FARLINGTON...DEVON AND
BEULAH ARE ALSO IN THE PATH OF THIS LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES LEADING KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

LAT...LON 3761 9566 3738 9543 3700 9564 3742 9464
      3775 9459 3801 9472

$$

BROWNING

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 150523
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1222 AM CDT THU SEP 15 2005

KSC011-037-150532-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0274.000000T0000Z-050915T0530Z/
BOURBON KS-CRAWFORD KS-
1222 AM CDT THU SEP 15 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CRAWFORD AND BOURBON COUNTIES
HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

AT 1220 AM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE 
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED AND NO LONGER 
POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. THEREFORE...THE SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

IF SEVERE WEATHER WAS OBSERVED...PLEASE REPORT IT TO THE NEAREST LAW
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD.

LAT...LON 3761 9566 3738 9543 3700 9564 3742 9464
      3775 9459 3801 9472

$$

BROWNING

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
614 PM CDT WED SEP 14 2005

.DISCUSSION...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND PROFILERS SHOWED A SUBTLE SHORTWAVE AT 700
MB TRANSLATING EASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON.
SCATTERED SHOWERS LINGERED AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM BUT MOST OF THE
CONVECTION REMAINED WELL TO THE SOUTH ALONG A STALLED FRONT ACROSS
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS. FARTHER WEST A WELL DEFINED SHORTWAVE
WAS LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES WITH A 110 KT 250 MB JET
STREAKING FROM THE DESERT SOUTHWEST TO THE CENTRAL PLAINS.

EXPLOSIVE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON
INTO THE EVENING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING
SHORTWAVE. THE CONVECTION WILL LIKELY ORGANIZE INTO A LARGE
CONVECTIVE COMPLEX THAT WILL MIGRATE EASTWARD NIGHT. INCREASING
SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT WILL SPREAD INTO THE OZARKS REGION LATE TONIGHT
INTO THURSDAY MORNING AS THE AREA COMES UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE
ENTRANCE REGION OF THE UPPER JET. IN ADDITION THE LOW LEVEL JET WILL
STRENGTHEN AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING SHORTWAVE RESULTING IN STRONG
MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI. ALTHOUGH THE DEVELOPMENT
OF PRECIPITATION LATER TONIGHT WILL BE SOMEWHAT DEPENDENT ON THE
EVOLUTION OF THE CONVECTIVE COMPLEX...AMPLE LIFT AND MOISTURE
TRANSPORT DOES SUPPORT WIDESPREAD RAINFALL. A FEW STORMS MAY REACH
SEVERE LIMITS LATE TONIGHT ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN MISSOURI WHERE MODEST
ELEVATED INSTABILITY WILL EXIST AND MOISTURE CONVERGENCE WILL BE
MAXIMIZED. HOWEVER HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE POSSIBILITY OF LOCALIZED
FLOODING WILL BE THE PRIMARY CONCERN. A FLOOD WATCH WILL NOT BE
ISSUED AT THIS TIME FOR FAR SOUTHERN MISSOURI DUE TO THE RELATIVELY
DRY CONDITIONS THAT REMAIN AND THE UNCERTAINTY OF CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT.

RAIN AND EMBEDDED CONVECTION WILL LINGER INTO THURSDAY AS THE
SHORTWAVE MAKES ITS WAY ACROSS THE REGION. PRECIPITATION WILL
GRADUALLY TAPER OFF DURING THE AFTERNOON. DRIER AIR WILL ADVECT INTO
THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES
INTO THE OZARKS.

BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL LINGER FOR ANOTHER COUPLE OF DAYS. A
SOUTHERLY FLOW AND NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL
RETURN THIS WEEKEND. WARM AIR ADVECTION PRECIPITATION MAY DEVELOP
OVER PORTIONS OF THE PLAINS AND MIDWEST LATER THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY
NEXT WEEK. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THAT THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE
FOCUSED TO OUR NORTH. ANOTHER FRONT IS PROGGED TO PUSH ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

FOSTER

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 00Z TAFS...BELIEVE THAT ELEVATED CONVECTION WILL REFOCUS
NEAR 850 MB BOUNDARY WHICH IS CLOSE TO A KJLN...KSGF LINE LATER
TONIGHT...THEN CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE MORNING. MOST OF THE
THUNDER MAY STAY SOUTH OF BOTH TAF SITES...SO HAVE NOT INCLUDED IN
THE TAFS WITH THIS ISSUANCE...BUT MAY HAVE TO INTRODUCE THUNDER WITH
THE 06Z TAFS.  HAVE BROUGHT CIGS DOWN BELOW 1000 FEET AFTER 12Z.

BROWNING

&&

SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.MO...NONE.
.KS...NONE.

WFO SGF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1011 PM CDT WED SEP 14 2005

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-160300-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
1011 PM CDT WED SEP 14 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

 WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING...
ISOLATED WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH.
ISOLATED HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES.
LOCALIZED FLOODING AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

 AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST
AREA...BUT ANY SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE CONFINED TO FAR SOUTHWEST
MISSOURI AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS AFTER MIDNIGHT.

 DISCUSSION:

A COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL OKLAHOMA WILL MOVE INTO
SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE OZARKS BETWEEN 2 AND 6 AM. DUE TO LIMITED
INSTABILITY...WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED...HOWEVER...DUE TO DEEP SHEAR AND UPPER LEVEL
ENERGY...ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE MAIN
THREAT WILL BE LOCALIZED FLOODING IN AREAS THAT RECEIVED ONE TO TWO
INCHES OF RAINFALL TUESDAY NIGHT...HOWEVER WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS
NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING THURSDAY MORNING ACROSS
SOUTHERN MISSOURI. THE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER APPEARS TO BE LOW
THURSDAY...BUT HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

DUE TO THE ISOLATED NATURE OF THE SEVERE WEATHER...SPOTTER
ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...HOWEVER RAINFALL REPORTS ARE
WELCOME ALONG WITH ANY FLOODING REPORTS.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

JLT