Severe Thunderstorm Warning 119, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 262004
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
303 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2005

MOC105-169-262030-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0119.000000T0000Z-050626T2030Z/
PULASKI MO-LACLEDE MO-
303 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR LACLEDE AND PULASKI
COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM CDT...

AT 257 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE
HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FORT LEONARD WOOD...AND MOVING WEST AT
10 MPH.

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF EASTERN
LACLEDE AND SOUTHERN PULASKI COUNTIES.

PEOPLE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM SHOULD PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR 
DAMAGING WINDS AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. MOVE TO AN 
INDOOR SHELTER AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3761 9211 3773 9211 3773 9249 3760 9243
      3761 9228

$$

SAW

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 262014
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
313 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2005

MOC105-169-262030-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0119.000000T0000Z-050626T2030Z/
PULASKI MO-LACLEDE MO-
313 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR LACLEDE AND PULASKI
COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM CDT...

AT 309 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY
SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THESE STORMS
WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 16 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FORT
LEONARD WOOD TO 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FORT LEONARD WOOD...AND MOVING
WEST AT 10 MPH.

THIS LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
SOUTHEASTERN LACLEDE AND SOUTHWESTERN PULASKI COUNTIES...INCLUDING
THE TOWNS OF LYNCHBURG AND FALCON.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND DEADLY CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3761 9214 3772 9215 3772 9245 3749 9243
      3748 9226 3761 9225

$$

SAW

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 262024
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
324 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2005

MOC169-262034-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0119.000000T0000Z-050626T2030Z/
PULASKI MO-
324 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR PULASKI COUNTY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED...

AT 320 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE EITHER WEAKENED OR
MOVED OUT OF THE AREA...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO
LIFE OR PROPERTY. THEREFORE...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS
BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3751 9246 3752 9248 3772 9248 3772 9242
      3770 9240 3765 9226 3749 9227 3750 9246

$$

MOC105-262030-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0119.000000T0000Z-050626T2030Z/
LACLEDE MO-
324 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2005

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR LACLEDE COUNTY UNTIL
330 PM CDT...

AT 320 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY
SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THESE STORMS
WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 17 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FORT
LEONARD WOOD TO 11 MILES WEST OF FORT LEONARD WOOD...AND MOVING WEST
AT 15 MPH.

THIS LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
SOUTHEASTERN LACLEDE COUNTY...INCLUDING THE TOWNS OF LYNCHBURG...
FALCON AND DRY KNOB.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND DEADLY CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3751 9246 3752 9248 3772 9248 3772 9242
      3770 9240 3765 9226 3749 9227 3750 9246

$$

SAW

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 262031
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
330 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2005

MOC105-262040-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0119.000000T0000Z-050626T2030Z/
LACLEDE MO-
330 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2005

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR LACLEDE COUNTY HAS BEEN
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE...

AT 329 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED...AND NO
LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. THEREFORE...THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

OTHER STRONG STORMS WERE DEVELOPING ACROSS FAR WESTERN LACLEDE 
COUNTY AND WILL MOVE INTO EASTERN DALLAS COUNTY WITHIN THE NEXT 5 
MINUTES.

IF SEVERE WEATHER WAS OBSERVED...PLEASE REPORT IT TO THE NEAREST LAW
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD.

LAT...LON 3751 9246 3752 9248 3772 9248 3772 9242
      3770 9240 3765 9226 3749 9227 3750 9246

$$

SAW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
522 AM CDT SUN JUN 26 2005

.DISCUSSION...

COMBINATION OF VISIBLE AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SINCE
SATURDAY AFTERNOON SHOW THAT LARGE SCALE CONUS RIDGE WAS BEGINNING
TO BECOME DIRTIED BY AN INCREASE IN HAZE/PARTICULATE AND A
MEANDERING UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR MOBILE, AL. CUMULUS AND
ISOLATED PULSE CONVECTION AGAIN DEVELOPED YESTERDAY IN AREAS OF HAZE
CONCENTRATION...AND EXPECT A GRADUAL INCREASE IN SHALLOW AND DEEP
MOIST CONVECTION TODAY AND AGAIN MONDAY AS UPPER CIRCULATION
RETROGRADES TO THE NORTH AND WEST. AGAIN...LONGEVITY OF ANY STORMS
THAT DO DEVELOP WILL BE MITIGATED BY POOR VERTICAL SHEAR AND WEAK
CAPES RESULTING FROM A DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER AND WEAK UPPER
LEVEL LAPSE RATES. HOWEVER...LOCALLY STRONG DOWNBURSTS COULD RESULT
GIVEN THE THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES.

GENERALLY SPEAKING...WILL MAINTAIN A PERSISTENCE FORECAST
TEMPERATURE WISE ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA TODAY AND MONDAY...BUT WILL
SHAVE MAXES DOWN A TAD OVER ERN SECTIONS WITH EXPECTED CLOUD COVER
AND MORE EASTERLY COMPONENT TO LOW LEVEL FLOW. A SLIGHT INCREASE IN
POPS TO AROUND 20% IS ALSO NOTED IN THESE AREAS.

OTHERWISE...A SIGNIFICANT PATTERN CHANGE APPEARS TO BE IN THE OFFING
WITH EXTENDED FORECAST LIKELY UNDERDONE ON POPS. NORTH AMERICAN
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A BELT OF UNSEASONABLY STRONG WESTERLIES
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PACIFIC TAKING AIM ON BRITISH COLUMBIA...WHICH
WILL RESULT IN RAPID CYCLOGENESIS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS
SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO EVOLVE INTO THE CASCADES AS A SECONDARY LOW
DEVELOPS ALONG THE CALIFORNIA COAST IN A WEAKNESS CREATED BETWEEN
SRN CONUS RIDGE AND A SECOND LARGE UPPER RIDGE NOTED OVER THE OPEN
PACIFIC. AS THESE TWO LOWS TRANSLATE ACROSS THE ROCKIES LATE TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY...LEE SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS AND A SUPPRESSION OF THE
UPPER RIDGE WILL RESULT...PAVING THE WAY FOR AN ACTIVE ZONAL FLOW
FROM THE OZARKS NORTHWARD TO THE CANADIAN BORDER. AMPLE UPSTREAM
ENERGY FROM THE PACIFIC...COUPLED WITH IMPROVED LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE...WILL LIKELY SET THE STAGE FOR SEVERAL ROUNDS OF STRONG TO
SEVERE CONVECTION. PINPOINTING THESE EMBEDDED IMPULSES WITHIN A FAST
WESTERLY FLOW IS SIMPLY NOT PLAUSIBLE...HOWEVER THE GENERAL SYNOPTIC
FLOW REGIME DEPICTED BY MOST MEDIUM RANGE SOLUTIONS WOULD CERTAINLY
SUPPORT A RAPID TRANSITION INTO A WET PERIOD BEGINNING IN THE
WED/THURS TIME FRAME.

BOOKBINDER

&&

.AVIATION...
WILL CONTINUE WITH PERSISTENCE FORECAST IN THE 12Z TAFS FOR BOTH
SGF/JLN.  SOME ISOLATED/WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP
EAST OF THE FORECAST POINTS TODAY WITH SCATTERED CLOUD LAYERS OF
AROUND 5000 FEET EXPECTED.  HAZE WILL CONTINUE TO BE A PROBLEM
THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND HAVE KEPT MENTION OF 4 TO 6 MILE VISIBILITIES.

LINDENBERG
&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.MO...NONE.
.KS...NONE.

WFO SGF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
100 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2005

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-271100-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
100 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

  WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

  MAINLY SOUTH AND EAST OF A ROLLA TO BRANSON LINE THROUGH 8 PM.

  DISCUSSION:

  WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER
  CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI DURING THE PEAK HOURS OF
  INSTABILITY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
  REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LIMITS. HOWEVER...LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL
  COULD OCCUR DUE TO THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE STORMS. ALSO...A FEW
  STORMS COULD PRODUCE WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

  ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
  POSSIBLE MONDAY AND TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF
  THE OUTLOOK AREA.

  AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL PUSH A FRONT INTO THE AREA BY
  THURSDAY...BRINGING BETTER CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS FOR THURSDAY
  AND FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

TERRY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
237 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2005

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0220 PM     TSTM WND GST     HOUSTON                 37.33N 91.97W
06/26/2005  Est. 70 MPH      TEXAS              MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

JLT